{"id":949049,"date":"2026-10-28T06:10:18","date_gmt":"2026-10-28T06:10:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/949049\/"},"modified":"2026-10-28T06:10:18","modified_gmt":"2026-10-28T06:10:18","slug":"larson-says-its-not-over-nascar-math-says-otherwise","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/949049\/","title":{"rendered":"Larson Says \u2018It\u2019s Not Over.\u2019 NASCAR Math Says Otherwise"},"content":{"rendered":"<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"0\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">After blitzing the rest of the victory contenders with a slick last-second winning move Sunday at Talladega Superspeedway, Kyle Larson spent most of the rest of the afternoon trying to convince people that the race for the NASCAR Cup Series championship isn\u2019t over.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"1\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">Literally, of course, it isn\u2019t.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"2\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">Realistically, however, they can start printing those \u201cKyle Larson 3-Time Champion\u201d T-shirts. It\u2019s easy to imagine that somewhere they\u2019re preparing championship banners to hang above the Larson pit area once the deed is done.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"4\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">In the Chase, Larson has made a shambles of the NASCAR hope that the championship run might come down to the final race at Homestead-Miami Speedway with six or seven drivers battling within a few points of each other. Instead, the championship clinching could occur this Sunday at Martinsville Speedway, which would harken back to the days when drivers sewed up the title before the last race, a result which led to the now-defunct idea of settling the championship at the final race with four drivers in a final shootout.<\/p>\n<p><img draggable=\"true\" alt=\"NASCAR Cup Series YellaWood 500\" title=\"NASCAR Cup Series YellaWood 500\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"4472\" height=\"2981\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent;width:100%;height:auto;\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/c0ef9a7a-7acc-4b36-a791-603ae2d9cdd8.jpeg\" class=\"css-0 e1ddfba50\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Scott Taetsch\/\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"6\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">\u201cIt\u2019s so easy to look at it and be like, \u2018Oh, the 5\u2019s got it,\u2019\u201d Larson said. \u201cWe could go to Martinsville and there be a stack in turn 3 on the first lap. I could cave in the radiator and be done. I\u2019m just saying there\u2019s still a lot of racing left. So much in the Chase. All you (media) guys in here are like, \u2018This person is out; this person has it locked up.\u2019 They win or something happens, boom, the picture completely changes.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"7\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">\u201cI\u2019m not getting ahead of myself at all. I\u2019m not going to let you guys get me ahead of myself, either.\u201d<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"8\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">This is a logical point of view for Larson to present. Never count your chickens, etc., etc.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"10\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">But the numbers speak for themselves, and they\u2019re loud. After eight Chase drivers had their worst finishes of the playoffs in Sunday\u2019s chaos at Talladega and every other driver lost points to Larson, he shot away from the crowd like Halloween fireworks. He leads second-place Denny Hamlin by 73 points and third-place Christopher Bell by 74. The six drivers below Larson in the standings technically remain eligible for the title, but an incredible sequence of events would have to happen for anyone else to emerge with the championship.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"11\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">Larson\u2019s point lead is the largest of the Chase. This is similar to Milwaukee\u2019s 3\u20130 lead in the World Series.<\/p>\n<p><img draggable=\"true\" alt=\"NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400\" title=\"NASCAR Cup Series Cook Out 400\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"4027\" height=\"2685\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" style=\"color:transparent;width:100%;height:auto;\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/f7405756-70ea-462c-8c82-353296f9136b.jpeg\" class=\"css-0 e1ddfba50\"\/>David Jensen\/\/Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Denny Hamlin (right) at Martinsville in March.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"13\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">If Larson scores 59 points at Martinsville, he will lock up the championship regardless of the results of the other contenders. He has only one win at the half-mile, but he has finished in the top 10 in eight straight races there.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"14\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">The last, best challenge to Larson comes from Hamlin, whose futile quest to win the Cup championship is well-documented. Hamlin rolls into Martinsville as the track\u2019s top dog (not to be confused with the track\u2019s famous hot dogs) with six victories, twice as many as any other active driver. He has led a staggering total of 3,014 laps at Martinsville, easily his best track in that category.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"15\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">Larson\u2019s Martinsville hopes are bolstered by Hendrick Motorsports\u2019 long history of success there. Hendrick\u2019s 31 victories at the speedway are the most ever by a team at an individual track. Hendrick drivers have won 13 of the past 22 Martinsville Chase races.<\/p>\n<p data-journey-content=\"true\" data-node-id=\"16\" class=\"css-2x47mx emevuu60\">It\u2019s not time for Larson to celebrate, but maybe bring in the party planners.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" data-dynamic-svg=\"true\" src=\"https:\/\/www.autoweek.com\/_assets\/design-tokens\/autoweek\/static\/images\/logos\/lettermark.de67f45.svg?primary=%2523000\" loading=\"lazy\" data-testid=\"dynamic-svg-base\" height=\"100\" width=\"100\" alt=\"Lettermark\" class=\"css-1gzwuo6 ev8dhu50\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Mike Hembree has covered auto racing for numerous media outlets, including USA Today, NASCAR Scene, NBC Sports, The Greenville News and the SPEED Channel. He has been roaming garage areas and pit roads for decades (although the persistent rumor that he covered the first Indianapolis 500 is not true). Winner of numerous motorsports and other media awards, he also has covered virtually every other major sport. He lives near Gaffney, South Carolina and can be convinced to attend Bruce Springsteen concerts if you have tickets.\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"After blitzing the rest of the victory contenders with a slick last-second winning move Sunday at Talladega Superspeedway,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":949050,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[446],"tags":[49,48,782,324803,784,237154,1642,634,324802,273948,82,183339],"class_list":["post-949049","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-nascar","tag-ca","tag-canada","tag-content-type-news","tag-contentid-4e2a38f5-2bdc-4701-a0c4-115b49bc03e9","tag-displaytype-standard-article","tag-issyndicated-false","tag-locale-us","tag-nascar","tag-shorttitle-kyle-larson-says-the-nascar-title-isnt-over-yet","tag-sponsored-false","tag-sports","tag-subsection-nascar"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/949049","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=949049"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/949049\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/949050"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=949049"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=949049"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=949049"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}