{"id":950504,"date":"2026-10-29T10:06:12","date_gmt":"2026-10-29T10:06:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/950504\/"},"modified":"2026-10-29T10:06:12","modified_gmt":"2026-10-29T10:06:12","slug":"edmonton-and-calgary-rejected-her-referendum-does-danielle-smith-have-a-city-problem","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/950504\/","title":{"rendered":"Edmonton and Calgary rejected her referendum. Does Danielle Smith have a city problem?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">This week the Alberta government pivots back to governing, with MLAs returning to the legislature for the first time since a contentious referendum on separation exposed the divide between, among other things, urban and rural Albertans.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Much of the pushback on the 10 referendum questions came from the province\u2019s two largest centres. Calgary collectively voted &#8220;no&#8221; on all questions except proof of citizenship to vote, while Edmonton was a &#8220;no&#8221; across the board. Nowhere was the prospect of a second separation vote less popular.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cWe all know there\u2019s an urban-rural divide in Alberta politics,\u201d says Lisa Young, a political scientist at the University of Calgary. \u201cBut the referendum results make it really stark.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">This presents a quandary for Premier Danielle Smith, who has historically been supported by \u2014 and focused her attention on \u2014 rural Alberta. Now, she must contend with a sizable group of urban Albertans who appear to have rejected her latest political project, while she <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/calgary\/blanket-rezoning-repeal-not-replace-9.7374913\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">publicly spars<\/a> with councillors over local issues such as zoning.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Meanwhile, it remains to be seen whether her list of priorities for the upcoming sitting, which include public sector <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/edmonton\/alberta-government-bill-stops-dei-hiring-9.7398443\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">hiring based on &#8220;merit<\/a>,&#8221; protections for data centre development and the future of bike lanes, will speak to the cities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cI think a lot of the recent focus on the more performative politics has served the UCP minority base really well,\u201d said Calgary Mayor Jeromy Farkas on Tuesday.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cBut the more we debate \u2026 which books should be in a library,\u201d he said, referring to a <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/edmonton\/alberta-public-library-changes-9.7151744\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recent bill <\/a>to limit sexually explicit material in public libraries, \u201cthe more you lose the mainstream Calgarians who actually just want to get things done, want to know that life is safe and affordable.\u201d\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Smith herself has talked about the need to refocus on voters in Edmonton and Calgary, <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/listen\/live-radio\/1-5-calgary-eyeopener\/clip\/16244698-alberta-premier-danielle-smith-provinces-path-forward\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">telling CBC News<\/a> last week that her government needed to \u201cidentify the issues\u201d that were important to residents of the two urban centres, which together make up just over half of the provincial population.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Urban voters are focused on issues like education, health care and affordability, which is why her government has (temporarily) paused the <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/calgary\/alberta-pause-gas-tax-9.7354046\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">gas tax<\/a> at the pumps and rolled out \u201c<a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/edmonton\/alta-classroom-complexity-support-9.7086966\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">complexity teams<\/a>\u201d in classrooms, Smith said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cThe issues that were of the referendum, I think it\u2019s pretty clear those are &#8230; of greater interest to those who are in political parties and punditry circles and in rural Alberta than they were in Calgary or Edmonton.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>WATCH | Mapping out where Albertans voted to remain (or not) in Canada:<img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1793268371_179_default.jpg\"  alt=\"\" class=\"thumbnail\" loading=\"lazy\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"video-item-title\">Mapping out where Albertans voted to remain (or not) in Canada<\/p>\n<p>Alberta voters overwhelmingly chose &#8220;remain in Canada&#8221; in the Oct. 19 referendum. CBC&#8217;s Helen Pike maps the ridings that favoured Option 2 to explore separation, and the results may surprise you.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">It\u2019s a change of script from 2022 when Smith, then a newly-minted party leader, made waves by suggesting she didn\u2019t need much urban support. Instead, she had mapped out a \u201crural-based\u201d path to electoral victory, <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/calgarysun.com\/opinion\/columnists\/bell-danielle-smith-how-she-thinks-shell-win-the-next-election\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">telling a columnist<\/a> that she\u2019d done the math and would only need a relative handful of city seats if she won everywhere else.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Smith delivered, winning a majority the following year. She took a dozen seats in Calgary and a few on the outskirts of Edmonton, but painted most of the map blue everywhere else. <\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">But Calgary has since rejected most of Smith\u2019s referendum questions and, Young points out, flipped the reliably right-leaning riding of Calgary-Shaw to the NDP in a <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/calgary\/calgary-shaw-byelection-results-alberta-ndp-9.7344149\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">recent byelection<\/a>.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cIt looks like Calgary is in a different place than it was a couple of years ago,\u201d Young said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">It may not help that Smith, a frequent critic of federal overreach, has waded into municipal issues in recent months, essentially <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/canada\/edmonton\/edmonton-mayor-housing-experts-react-to-provinces-infill-regulation-9.7394374\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">overturning the decisions<\/a> of city councils on issues like infill housing and zoning, and now appears to have her sights set on bike lanes, Young added.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">It \u201cdoesn\u2019t really signal wanting to have a relationship of respect with these urban governments,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cIt\u2019s going to be really interesting to watch and see whether there\u2019s a softening of the hostility with Edmonton and Calgary city governments.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"A man in a suit.\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1793268372_109_default.jpg\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.7777777777777777\" data-cy=\"image-img\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"imageCaption-oOSXz\">Mayor Jeromy Farkas says he&#8217;s not surprised most Calgarians rejected the referendum questions, and he will be looking to see how the provincial government prioritizes investment in his city over the next year. (Brendan Coulter\/CBC)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">But as Farkas points out, a year away from a provincial election, there\u2019s still time for Smith to turn it around. He\u2019s waiting to see what\u2019s in the provincial budget: \u201cI don\u2019t watch what the politicians are saying; I watch what the politicians are doing.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cWe want to see much more substantive investment here locally in Calgary around affordability, public safety and essential infrastructure.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">The idea of Alberta as the land of cowboys and open prairie can clash with its urban reality as, contrary to stereotypes, Alberta is actually one of the country\u2019s most urbanized provinces.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">According to <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www12.statcan.gc.ca\/census-recensement\/2021\/as-sa\/98-200-x\/2021002\/98-200-x2021002-eng.cfm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Statistics Canada<\/a>, it had the third smallest proportion of rural residents as of 2021 at roughly 15 per cent. That makes it more urbanized than the national average, and close on the heels of uber-urban provinces like Ontario and British Columbia.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">But rural issues play a big role in provincial politics here, Young notes. That\u2019s in part a result of the electoral map, which allows for a smaller number of residents in some rural ridings, in order to ensure remote areas have adequate representation.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Drawing the map to ensure each riding has roughly the same number of people while making sure some don\u2019t become unmanageably large is a longstanding struggle in Alberta. The <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.elections.ab.ca\/uploads\/abebc_2017_rpt_final.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">report from the 2017 electoral boundary commission<\/a> noted that at the time, the constituency of Lesser Slave Lake had a population of 28,858 people while Calgary-South East had 92,148.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">In other words, a vote in Lesser Slave Lake had about three times the punch of a vote in Calgary.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">But there\u2019s also the consideration of the economic importance of rural areas, given the extent to which the actual action of key industries like oil and gas take place outside of urban centres, Young said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">History plays a role, too: \u201cThere\u2019s a sense, historically, of people in rural communities seeing themselves as the authentic Albertans, the people who are generating value and prosperity for the province,\u201d said Young.<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">The issues faced by urban and rural communities are actually not that different, but they show up in different ways, said Colin Aitchison, a former United Conservative press secretary who is now a managing director at communications and public affairs firm Enterprise Canada.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Whether it\u2019s pressure from immigration or the need for jobs, the real challenge for governments is tailoring the message to respect the different ways each community is affected, he said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cThe policy solutions are going to be different, but the overarching issues are the same.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Most of the priorities Smith\u2019s government laid out for the new session were likely put in place before the referendum and do represent issues that are important to conservative voters regardless of where they live, Aitchison said.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">But he expects to see Smith start speaking to a more general audience as the election approaches.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/1793268372_542_default.jpg\" style=\"aspect-ratio:1.5\" data-cy=\"image-img\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"imageCaption-oOSXz\">Under Jason Kenney, the United Conservative Party made inroads in Calgary, and could do so again, argues Colin Aitchison, a former press secretary who is now a managing director at Enterprise Canada. (Jeff McIntosh\/The Canadian Press)<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">Aitchison points to the 2019 election as an example of when the United Conservative message was heard loud and clear in the cities. That year, the party under Jason Kenney formed government with the help of most of the seats in Calgary and even a few on the outskirts of Edmonton.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cWhen [the UCP] made significant gains in Calgary, they focused on jobs, economy, pipelines,\u201d he said. \u201cA very simple message, and issues that resonate for both urban and rural communities.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">In interviews, Smith has pointed out that hers is not the only conservative government to struggle in urban areas. But Aitchison, who was involved with the campaign, said the recent victory of the B.C. Conservatives, in which they <a class=\"link-_o8iA html-anchor\" href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/bc-election-results-9.7392895\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">picked up seats<\/a> even in parts of tony downtown Vancouver, shows that the UCP shouldn\u2019t be counted out.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201c[B.C. Conservatives] focused on affordability, they focused on pocketbook issues, jobs,\u201d he said. \u201cThose are issues that affect both rural and urban communities.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">For her part, Smith said she\u2019s focused on cracking the urban code, to figuring out which issues are important to voters in Calgary and Edmonton and \u201cprioritizing them in a serious way.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p class=\"paragraph-b3GxD html-paragraph\">\u201cThat\u2019s what the job of politics is,\u201d she said. \u201cYou\u2019ve got to find out what\u2019s bugging people and then you\u2019ve got to focus on solving the problems,\u201d she said. \u201cI\u2019m committed to doing that.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"This week the Alberta government pivots back to governing, with MLAs returning to the legislature for the first&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":950505,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[194293],"tags":[49,2798,48],"class_list":["post-950504","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-calgary","tag-ca","tag-calgary","tag-canada"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/950504","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=950504"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/950504\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/950505"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=950504"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=950504"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ca\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=950504"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}