We already know that GTA VI is a highly anticipated game, with the game’s second trailer reportedly crossing over 475 million views in its first 24 hours across all platforms. Now, analytics firm Newzoo has predicted that GTA VI may sell anywhere between $3.3 billion and $5.2 billion globally in its first launch week.
According to the firm, GTA VI garnered $260 million in pre-orders during the first week of pre-order sales. The firm’s models, which evaluate past game pre-orders and sales, and uses that to predict release performance, suggests that the first week of launch will see GTA VI earn around $4.5 billion in revenue from around 51 million unit sales.
The aforementioned figure is based on the firm’s “Proven Sequel” model, which is its most optimistic model. Using the other estimation models still shows the game earning massive numbers—the more conservative “Sequel with Performance Uncertainty” curve suggests revenue of $3.25 billion in week one from 37 million sales, which is still a massive figure, considering games like Resident Evil Requiem celebrated 6 million sales just after two weeks post-launch. It’s also worth noting that these predictions are in the context of a timed console exclusive, and, as we’ve seen from Sony’s PC port numbers, PC launches do generate a notable second wave of game sales.