{"id":137777,"date":"2025-11-13T15:33:10","date_gmt":"2025-11-13T15:33:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/137777\/"},"modified":"2025-11-13T15:33:10","modified_gmt":"2025-11-13T15:33:10","slug":"ptsb-buyer-will-have-to-significantly-cut-headcount-and-branches-new-analysis-warns","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/137777\/","title":{"rendered":"PTSB buyer will \u2018have to significantly cut headcount and branches,\u2019 new analysis warns"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-91174671_secondary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom4 indo-1d70522a_marginleft0 indo-1d70522a_marginright0 indo-1d70522a_margintop4\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\" data-testid=\"title-summary\">Acquirer unlikely to pay more than \u20ac1.1bn, according to Royal Bank of Canada (RBC)\n<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe. Photo: Collins\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/11\/8889f3f9-cb99-4ac0-ac15-5a3a828adb35.jpg\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"100%\" data-testid=\"article-image\"  \/><\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_caption1 indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_secondary indo-66f0fec7_regular indo-1d70522a_marginbottom0 indo-1d70522a_marginleft0 indo-1d70522a_marginright0 indo-1d70522a_margintop3 indo-b48c4984_left\" style=\"color:var(--color-grey-60)\">Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe. Photo: Collins<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom0 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">A sale of PTSB is unlikely to command a premium and may value the majority state owned bank at less than the share price before it out itself on the market last month, according to analysts at Royal Bank of Canada (RBC).<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">In a brutal assessment, they say the bank is unlikely to be attractive to an international bank while a private equity buyer that would be prepared to do the \u201cheavy lifting\u201d of slashing  headcount and shutting branches is far less likely to pay a premium given the limited synergy potential.<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">\u201cWe understand Ireland&#8217;s attractiveness as a market with high relative concentration and growth. But we do not see the attractiveness of PTSB for an acquirer, and we would be surprised if anyone will pay more than \u20ac2 per share (\u20ac1.1bn) for the bank,&#8221; the RBC analysts wrote in a note. <\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">A price of \u20ac2 a share would be lower than where the stock traded (\u20ac2.35 each) before its board announced the launch of a formal sale process led by Goldman Sachs on October 30.<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">The shares shot up after that announcement and have hovered around \u20ac3.20 each since in anticipation a buyer would pay a premium to buy the bank as a whole. <\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">RBC points to what they see as tow big drags on the potential price. <\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">PTSB&#8217;s revenue very dependent on net interest income in what is now a falling rate environment, and the bank is on course, they say, to have the worst cost-to-income ratio of any EU or UK bank by 2027.<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">The analysis makes for grim reading for Minister for Finance Paschal Donohoe.<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">A price of \u20ac2 a share would value the State\u2019s majority stake at just \u20ac631m, well short of any prospect of breaking even on the remaining shortfall on the cost of rescuing the bank. <\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">Taxpayers have recouped around \u20ac2.8bn of the cost of the former Irish Life &amp; Permanent (IL&amp;P) since its rescue, including from the \u20ac1.3bn sale of Irish Life back in 2013. A sale at \u20ac2 a share, if the Government allowed that to happen, would crystalize a \u20ac530m cash loss on the bailout.<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">The analysts highlight their view that PTSB is not attractive to buy for a cross-border bank, given its relative small size and what they see as a need for radical cost cutting that will inevitably be unpopular.<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">\u201cIn order to generate meaningful cost synergies, we think any acquirer would have to significantly cut headcount and branches. Given PTSB&#8217;s largest shareholder is the Irish government (57pc), we do not see how the aforementioned will be politically palatable without onerous stipulations being attached to the deal,\u201d they said. <\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">While some buyer might see the chance to slash costs as an opportunity their ability to capitalise on that is limited unless they already have a bank in Ireland, the analysts think. <\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">\u201cPTSB&#8217;s cost problem could be presented as an opportunity with plenty of low-hanging fruit, but<\/p>\n<p class=\"indo-ebe0ecc6_root indo-ebe0ecc6_paragraph indo-300db776_none indo-91174671_primary indo-1d70522a_marginbottom5 indo-1d70522a_margintop0 indo-b48c4984_inherit\" style=\"color:var(--color-primary-80)\">potential synergies will be significantly curtailed if this is not a domestic transaction.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Acquirer unlikely to pay more than \u20ac1.1bn, according to Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) Finance Minister Paschal Donohoe.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":137778,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[72,14486,61,60],"class_list":["post-137777","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-business","tag-business","tag-donal-odonovan","tag-ie","tag-ireland"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/137777","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=137777"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/137777\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/137778"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=137777"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=137777"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=137777"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}