{"id":170562,"date":"2025-12-02T06:30:07","date_gmt":"2025-12-02T06:30:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/170562\/"},"modified":"2025-12-02T06:30:07","modified_gmt":"2025-12-02T06:30:07","slug":"ireland-has-two-economies-one-bourgeois-one-proletarian-both-have-problems-the-irish-times","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/170562\/","title":{"rendered":"Ireland has two economies, one bourgeois, one proletarian. Both have problems \u2013 The Irish Times"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">How do you know our rulers are spoofing? A cynic might say the tell is that they have their mouths open. But being sweet-natured, I would suggest two sure signs. One is that they are posing as persecuted truth-tellers. The other is that they are implying they will do something they will never actually do \u2013 take on major power centres in the Irish economy. On both counts, the Government is clearly spoofing about migration.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">A big thing has happened in Irish public life in the last month: the Government has decided there are too many migrants coming to live in Ireland and that the growth in our population must be slowed. It is not obvious how this momentous decision has been reached or what detailed studies lie behind it. But both T\u00e1naiste <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/tags\/simon-harris\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/tags\/simon-harris\/\">Simon Harris<\/a> and  Minister for Justice <a href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/tags\/jim-ocallaghan\/\" target=\"_self\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" title=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/tags\/jim-ocallaghan\/\">Jim O\u2019Callaghan<\/a> have explicitly announced this momentous shift in national strategy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">It\u2019s a shift saturated in spoofery. The first tell is Harris posturing as Honest Simon beset by \u201cpathetic\u201d people trying to \u201cshut down &#8230; debate\u201d. This combination of self-pity and self-aggrandisement is familiar from the allegedly anti-elitist mode of right-wing populism.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Let\u2019s be clear: Ireland needs a genuine debate about migration. But debate is not sloganeering. It\u2019s not verbal gesturing. It\u2019s not resort to sweeping generalities. It\u2019s not peddling disinformation. It is serious engagement with tangible realities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Deciding to reduce migration is perfectly legitimate. One may or may not agree with it, but it is a government\u2019s duty to make these big decisions about the future of the country. The only problem is that it\u2019s also a government\u2019s duty to say why it has come to this decision and how it is going to act on it. And here the rest is silence.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">So far, the Government might as well have announced that Ireland is too damn wet, that we can\u2019t cope with the floods and that the amount of rainfall has to be reduced. Except that while complaining about the weather is a harmless national pastime, complaining about immigration is assuredly not harmless. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">What is especially damaging is the deliberate confusion of immigration and asylum. The Government wants to discourage asylum seekers and speed up the deportation of those who fail to be granted the right to remain here. This is in itself a reasonable subject for debate. But  90 per cent of immigrants are not asylum seekers. They are people who come here to work or study.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">In the second category, Government could cut the 30,000 visas it issues to language schools. But it also reiterated last week its desire to make Ireland \u201ca hub for international students\u201d, so presumably those reductions would be nullified by increases in the number of foreign students attending Irish universities.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">That leaves us with the workers. Any genuine debate about whether there are \u201ctoo many\u201d immigrants and how to cut their numbers has to start with the facts about the Irish labour market. Where, exactly, does it have an over-supply of workers?<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Let\u2019s be a little crude and say that Ireland has two roughly equal economies, one bourgeois and one proletarian. Both have serious labour shortages.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph b-it-article-body__interstitial-link\">[\u00a0<a aria-label=\"Open related story\" class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/opinion\/2025\/12\/01\/nick-henderson-ireland-has-choice-on-migration-follow-the-uk-into-the-vortex-or-hold-onto-its-values\/\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ireland has a choice on migration: Follow the UK into the vortex or hold on to its valuesOpens in new window<\/a>\u00a0]<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">In the first economy, the bourgeoisification of the Irish workforce is a remarkable phenomenon. In a mere five years  (2019-2024) we have increased the number of professionals and \u201cassociate professionals\u201d by a third and the number of managers by 25 per cent. In real terms that is an extra 262,400 professionals and managers \u2013 a new Cork and new Galway of experts and technocrats.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Last year, of the almost half a million new hires by Irish employers, close to half (44 per cent) were filled by people with third-level qualifications. In 2023 (the latest year for which we have this figure) more than half of all Irish job vacancies advertised online were for high-skilled professionals. This is what a knowledge economy looks like.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \"> It is undoubtedly true both that this success creates more demand for housing and that many of these new jobs are being filled by migrants. Let\u2019s therefore imagine the Government is serious about putting a halt to this particular gallop.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">To do so, it needs to have a big showdown with two very large power centres. One is the multinationals whose corporate tax revenue (and whose well-paid employee\u2019s PAYE) the Government so delights in spending. The other is the health service that sucks up much of that spending.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">The pharmaceutical and medical device sectors have big demands for more scientists, engineers and technicians than Ireland can produce. And the part of the export economy most dependent on migrants is ICT \u2013 37 per cent of all those employed in ICT jobs in Ireland are not Irish nationals. So here\u2019s the question: is the Government going to tell Pfizer and Eli Lily and Microsoft and Apple to feck off somewhere else if they want more international workers because we have \u201ctoo many\u201d already? No it isn\u2019t.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph b-it-article-body__interstitial-link\">[\u00a0<a aria-label=\"Open related story\" class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/opinion\/2025\/11\/30\/mark-oconnell-icc-judges-wanted-netanyahu-arrested-now-theyre-being-targeted-by-trump\/\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ICC judges wanted Netanyahu arrested. Now they\u2019re being targeted by TrumpOpens in new window<\/a>\u00a0]<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Meanwhile, a quarter of all work permits issued in 2024 were for healthcare professionals. So, equally, is the Government going to tell everybody in Ireland who ever uses the health services that they can feck off too if they think there are going to be enough nurses and doctors to treat them? <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">As for the other, proletarian, half of the workforce, I look forward to a Government that capitulated so supinely to the demands of the hospitality sector for a VAT cut telling the same lobby that it can\u2019t have chefs, waiters, cleaners and reception staff, all of whom remain in high demand. And to similar messages going to out to employers in agriculture and food processing \u2013 not to mention Fianna F\u00e1il\u2019s old friends in the construction industry being told that they can\u2019t bring in people to build the vast number of houses and the major infrastructure projects we are promised. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Of course the Government isn\u2019t going to risk upsetting any of these interests. It is just sitting on a barstool moaning about the demographic weather. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"How do you know our rulers are spoofing? A cynic might say the tell is that they have&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":170563,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[936,12250,895,33743,61,60,18573,1071,43,28202,70],"class_list":["post-170562","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ireland","tag-apple","tag-eli-lilly","tag-fianna-fail","tag-fintan-otoole","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-jim-ocallaghan","tag-microsoft","tag-news","tag-pfizer","tag-simon-harris"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170562","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=170562"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/170562\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/170563"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=170562"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=170562"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=170562"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}