{"id":271704,"date":"2026-01-30T09:57:10","date_gmt":"2026-01-30T09:57:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/271704\/"},"modified":"2026-01-30T09:57:10","modified_gmt":"2026-01-30T09:57:10","slug":"a-trade-the-government-would-happily-make-the-irish-times","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/271704\/","title":{"rendered":"a trade the Government would happily make \u2013 The Irish Times"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Would the Government trade some of its impressive GDP (gross domestic product) performance for a more pronounced rise in new home completions? In a heartbeat. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Two big economic indicators were published by the Central Statistics Office on Thursday. One is politically charged as it relates to the State\u2019s principal challenge, housing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">The other will be dismissed as an aberration and filed in the leprechaun economics folder.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">The Irish economy grew by 12.6 per cent in GDP terms last year, according to preliminary estimates. That will almost certainly make Ireland the fastest-growing economy in Europe and perhaps the world.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">But the traditional measure of economic growth has become so warped by multinationals that it bears little relation to actual economic conditions on the ground.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">The bulge in 2025 was down to the front-loading of exports into the US to avoid tariffs, something that will unwind next year, resulting in much lower GDP growth. It\u2019s merely statistical noise triggered by Washington\u2019s on-off tariff announcements.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">GDP fell by 0.6 per cent in the final quarter of 2025 \u201cas these export patterns normalised\u201d, AIB chief economist David McNamara noted.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">The more significant of the two statistical measures, new home completions, came in at 36,284 for 2025, which was up 20 per cent on the previous year and ahead of expectations. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph b-it-article-body__interstitial-link\">[\u00a0<a aria-label=\"Open related story\" class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/business\/2026\/01\/29\/irish-home-completions-rose-by-a-fifth-to-36284-units-last-year\/\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Number of homes built in Ireland rose by 20% in 2025, ahead of expectations of Central Bank and ESRIOpens in new window<\/a>\u00a0]<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">The Central Bank and the Economic and Social Research Institute  had forecast 33,000-35,000, so the Government will take positives from that.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">But its new housing plan targets a minimum of 300,000 new homes by 2030 and that will require annual output to increase to above 50,000 units a year, a level we haven\u2019t reached since the heady Celtic Tiger years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Getting homebuilding  to that level will require another surge in institutional investment, which had stalled in 2023 and 2024 on the back of higher interest rates.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Government policy in recent months has been focused on enticing private rental sector investors back into the market. <\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">It has overhauled the rental rules, changed apartment design standards and lowered the VAT rate on new-build apartments, while also streamlining the planning system.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph b-it-article-body__interstitial-link\">[\u00a0<a aria-label=\"Open related story\" class=\"c-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishtimes.com\/business\/2026\/01\/29\/economy-grows-by-almost-13-in-gdp-terms-last-year\/\" rel=\"noreferrer nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Economy grows by almost 13% in GDP terms last yearOpens in new window<\/a>\u00a0]<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">These changes already seem to be bearing fruit: the number of apartments completed in 2025 was 12,047, up 39 per cent from 2024. Housing starts, an indicator of future supply, rose to more than 3,000 in December, twice the November total.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">But meeting the target of 300,000 by 2030  will require a sea change in what we\u2019ve seen to date. It is something the Coalition has staked its reputation on.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">Kate English, chief economist at Deloitte, said the first six months of 2026 would be pivotal, suggesting that at least 20,000 new homes need to be completed by the end of June for the Government\u2019s medium-term targets to remain credible.<\/p>\n<p class=\"c-paragraph paywall \">\u201cIf we don\u2019t see an improvement in the first half of 2026, then it\u2019s certain that 2026 will be another year of missed Government targets. We need to see a rise in both housing commencements and completions figures if there is to be any confidence from people in Ireland,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Would the Government trade some of its impressive GDP (gross domestic product) performance for a more pronounced rise&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":271705,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[72,113,3662,61,60],"class_list":["post-271704","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-housing-crisis","tag-ie","tag-ireland"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/271704","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=271704"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/271704\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/271705"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=271704"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=271704"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=271704"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}