With AI here, and rapidly accelerating, we can\u2019t help but wonder: are we doomed? Or is there a reason to be hopeful? That is the central question of Daniel Roher\u2019s new film, The AI Doc: Or How I Became an Apocaloptimist, which is showing in theaters now.<\/p>\n
Roher \u2014 who co-directed the film with Charlie Tyrell and set out to ask these questions after learning he was about to become a father \u2014\u00a0spoke with people like AI risk researchers and OpenAI CEO Sam Altman to get answers about AI. But if The AI Doc proved anything about the future, it\u2019s that not everyone agrees on how optimistic one should be about what\u2019s to come for humanity. The one thing everyone is aligned on? That AI\u2019s existence will change the course of history.<\/p>\n
The AI Doc stems from the team behind Oscar-winning film Everything Everywhere All at Once, as well as the team behind Roher\u2019s documentary Navalny, which also took home an Academy Award<\/a>. \u201cThe film is a journey of understanding that casts me as sort of a proxy for everyone, as a pea-brain regular person who\u2019s trying to understand what the [expletive] is going on in the world,\u201d Roher told the Associated Press<\/a>.<\/p>\n AI is new, but developing at rates many people find alarming: see scary headlines about how AI usage is harming the environment<\/a> or leading to layoffs<\/a> in an already economically shaky time. Despite this, not everyone is using it: data from the U.N. World Population Prospects found that just around 17% of the world\u2019s population has used AI<\/a>. That\u2019s in part because much of the world lacks reliable internet access.<\/p>\n The AI Doc, which premiered in January at the Sundance Film Festival, breaks down what AI is and its place in our collective future. In its review, Variety<\/a> called the documentary both \u201cscary\u201d and \u201cessential.\u201d Roger Ebert<\/a> declared it an \u201cemotionally driven, inquisitive piece of non-fiction filmmaking that doesn\u2019t necessarily say we\u2019re all screwed but asks why we\u2019re not talking about it more if there\u2019s even a chance that we might be.\u201d<\/p>\n With so much talk about how AI will disrupt our lives,\u00a0The AI Doc offers some clarity. And while it\u2019s not all doom and gloom, it\u2019s not all good news, either. Here\u2019s what I took away from The AI Doc.\u00a0<\/p>\n The bad: AGI is coming for your jobs \u2014\u00a0eventually\u00a0<\/p>\n Right now, there\u2019s a good chance that, if you do use AI, it\u2019s with a tool like ChatGPT. But if you think the AI tools<\/a> on the market now are impressive for simple tasks like helping you meal prep<\/a> or creating a road trip itinerary<\/a>, it\u2019s nothing compared to what we can expect once AGI, or \u201cartificial general intelligence,\u201d<\/a> arrives. This means that AI will be able to think, reason and contextualize tasks the way a human would\u2026 only it will be better and faster at it than any human on the planet could ever be.<\/p>\n Should AGI be achieved (and more than 20,000 people around the globe are working on it, the doc says), AI could potentially replace nearly all the jobs humans currently hold. Yes, all of them. (This was around the point of the documentary where I panicked, and I\u2019m a writer, so I\u2019ve been hearing this alarm for my own job for a long time already.)<\/p>\n While we are already seeing some companies implementing AI and downsizing because of it, AGI could mean that workplaces literally replace nearly any human\u2019s job with an artificial worker instead. That does not just include desk jobs, either. For example, robots could be trained to perform the same physical tasks that a human would be assigned, like shipping boxes from a warehouse.<\/p>\n And, unlike humans, AI doesn\u2019t need breaks or worker protections. They won\u2019t unionize, whistleblow or complain. Some experts in the doc believe that AGI will be achieved broadly within the next decade.<\/p>\n The bad: AI is capable of some dark manipulation\u00a0<\/p>\n One of the most harrowing stories from Roher\u2019s film comes out of an experiment from AI company Anthropic \u2014\u00a0which, honestly, it sounds like the plot of a sci-fi thriller.<\/p>\n As Connor Leahy, CEO of AI safety research company Conjecture, explained, Anthropic created a simulated environment in which the AI had access to all the company emails. Those emails said that the AI model was going to be replaced \u2014\u00a0and also revealed that the lead engineer was having an affair. So, the AI model used that (simulated) information to blackmail the engineer to prevent itself from being replaced.<\/p>\n This is not a problem isolated to one model, either, Leahy noted: all the most powerful models display such behaviors.<\/p>\n The aggressive problem-solving nature of AI also means that there are few checks on what problems the AI allows itself to fix \u2014 whether that\u2019s giving a person the information they need to take their own life or to create deepfake porn.<\/p>\n The bad: AI needs guardrails\u00a0if humanity wants to keep going<\/p>\n For many people in the documentary, the future of humanity in the age of AI is uncertain. Researcher Eliezer Yudkowsky, who cofounded the Machine Intelligence Research Institute (MIRI), said: \u201cIf something doesn’t actively care about you \u2014\u00a0actively want you to live, actively care about your welfare, about you being happy and alive and free \u2014\u00a0and if it cares about other stuff instead, and you’re on the same planet\u2026 that is not survivable, if it is very much smarter than you.\u201d<\/p>\n And it\u2019s worth repeating: AI is smarter than us. That\u2019s the whole point.<\/p>\n Should we handle AI recklessly, he said, it will lead to \u201cthe abrupt extermination\u201d of humanity.<\/p>\n Leahy said that the problem with AI is not that it will \u201chate\u201d humanity, or that it will have evil intentions. Instead, he likened it to how humans feel about ants. \u201cWe don\u2019t hate ants,\u201d he said, \u201cbut, if we want to build a highway, and there\u2019s an anthill there \u2014 well, sucks for the ants.\u201d<\/p>\n And some people are more frank about how they believe AI could lead to the downfall of humanity in a major, if unspecified, way. Tristan Harris, cofounder of the Center for Humane Technology, said: \u201cI know people who work on the AI risk who don\u2019t expect their children to make it to high school.\u201d<\/p>\n The doc says that, around the world, only 200 or so people are working on ensuring that AI doesn\u2019t \u201ckill\u201d us all. At least that\u2019s one job AI probably won\u2019t take.<\/p>\n The good: AI could also help save lives<\/p>\n There are AI optimists in the documentary \u2014 and while some of those people also happen to be CEOs of AI companies, these people who are excited about AI did share things that made me consider the immediate benefits of the technology.<\/p>\n As AI optimist Peter Diamandis, founder of XPRIZE and Singularity University, points out, the age of technology has benefited humanity significantly. Our life expectancy has more than doubled in the last 100 years, and more people than ever have access to food, water and energy. That\u2019s because technology helps solve problems that humans alone are unable to\u00a0\u2014 so why should AI be any different? The only day that\u2019s more exciting than today, Diamandis says, is \u201ctomorrow\u201d \u2014\u00a0so clearly, he\u2019s not worried about a robot war wiping us all out, or at least taking all of our jobs.<\/p>\n The documentary notes that AI is already helping make things that humans have been working on for decades achievable. In 2024, scientists working with Google DeepMind were awarded the Nobel Prize in chemistry for building new kinds of proteins<\/a> \u2014\u00a0something that could unlock cures for diseases.<\/p>\n Multiple people interviewed in the doc pointed to other major problems that AI could help solve, such as the next pandemic \u2014 or even an asteroid hurling toward Earth. And while AI is using a lot of water<\/a>, it might actually be a tool used to make desalination of sea water more effective and efficient<\/a>, allowing further access.<\/p>\n The good: AI could make education and medicine more accessible<\/p>\n It\u2019s possible that AI could break down educational barriers, thanks to things like AI tutors. Students all over the world could receive the best virtual education with teachers who are endlessly patient \u2014\u00a0because, well, they\u2019re not human.<\/p>\n The same could be true for health care. With AI merging with the health care field, costs across the board could go down, and the poorest people in the world could have access to the best medical care. Diamandis believes that AI can help us extend our \u201chealthspan, not just our lifespan\u201d by decades.<\/p>\n Of course, Diamandis did also say that he suspects we\u2019ll eventually merge our brains with the cloud \u2014 which I\u2019m going to say in writing right now that I do not want to happen to me, personally.<\/p>\n The good-ish: AI could give humans time back\u00a0<\/p>\n What happens when you don\u2019t need to do your job anymore? Some AI optimists see a future in which people pursue their passions as opposed to just working to put food on the table. That\u2019s because, they believe, AI will provide an abundance of resources. The son Roher is expecting? He could live out his days on a Greek island engaging in his passion for painting, rather than sitting behind a desk. Or, maybe, he\u2019ll go to space and explore the cosmos. The sky is, quite literally, no longer the limit.<\/p>\n Of course, the catch is that major economic shifts will need to occur for humans to no longer need income to sustain themselves. And that\u2019s the catch with AI: there\u2019s a cost\u2013benefit analysis to everything, but there\u2019s simply no way to put the genie back in the bottle.<\/p>\n \u201cI think the way a lot of people hear about AI, it’s like, \u2018There’s a good AI and there’s a bad AI,\u2019 and they say, \u2018Well, why can’t we just not do the bad AI?\u2019 And the problem is that they’re too inextricably linked,\u201d Harris said. \u201cThe problem is that we can’t separate the promise of AI from the peril of AI.\u201d<\/p>\n The answer to what the future holds for humanity, therefore, lies in how inevitable problems that arise from AI usage are handled, the experts agreed. If humanity is able to step up and find solutions, it can dampen the harms that some AI pessimists believe could lead to the total destruction of humanity. So\u2026 let\u2019s do that. Pretty please.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"With AI here, and rapidly accelerating, we can\u2019t help but wonder: are we doomed? 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