{"id":375954,"date":"2026-04-01T06:03:30","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T06:03:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/375954\/"},"modified":"2026-04-01T06:03:30","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T06:03:30","slug":"britain-facing-one-of-the-largest-shocks-from-iran-war-energy-crisis-warns-imf","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/375954\/","title":{"rendered":"Britain facing one of the largest shocks from Iran war energy crisis, warns IMF"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Your support helps us to tell the story<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iCTyfe\">From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The Independent is on the ground when the story is developing. Whether it&#8217;s investigating the financials of Elon Musk&#8217;s pro-Trump PAC or producing our latest documentary, &#8216;The A Word&#8217;, which shines a light on the American women fighting for reproductive rights, we know how important it is to parse out the facts from the messaging.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iCTyfe\">At such a critical moment in US history, we need reporters on the ground. Your donation allows us to keep sending journalists to speak to both sides of the story.<\/p>\n<p class=\"sc-1uza6dc-0 iCTyfe\">The Independent is trusted by Americans across the entire political spectrum. And unlike many other quality news outlets, we choose not to lock Americans out of our reporting and analysis with paywalls. We believe quality journalism should be available to everyone, paid for by those who can afford it.<\/p>\n<p>Your support makes all the difference.Read more<\/p>\n<p>The UK is facing one of the largest shocks from the conflict in the Middle East, the International Monetary Fund (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/imf\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">IMF<\/a>) <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/business\/strait-of-hormuz-iran-middle-east-asia-spain-b2948532.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has warned<\/a>, saying <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/politics\/uk-fuel-oil-prices-diesel-petrol-rachel-reeves-b2948868.html\" title=\"Reeves urged to follow Europe\u2019s example and protect consumers amid spiralling fuel prices\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Britain\u2019s economy <\/a>is \u201cespecially exposed\u201d to<a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/home-news\/keir-starmer-iran-government-cobra-middle-east-b2948887.html\" title=\"Prime Minister to chair Cobra meeting on economic hit of Iran war\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> spiralling prices<\/a> because of its reliance on gas\u2011fired power. <\/p>\n<p>Comparing the impact of rising prices to a \u201clarge sudden tax on income\u201d for a family, the IMF warned that the \u201cde facto closure of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/world\/middle-east\/iran-us-war-live-trump-oil-kharg-israel-houthis-updates-b2948815.html\" title=\"Iran-US war latest: Massive Kuwaiti oil tanker off Dubai port hit as Trump issues fresh warning to Tehran\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Strait of Hormuz<\/a> and damage to regional infrastructure have produced the largest disruption to the global oil market in its history\u201d. <\/p>\n<p>The IMF, which advises on policy and gives financial aid to member countries, said it was stepping up support, especially to the most vulnerable economies.<\/p>\n<p>Writing in a blog post on Monday, it explained that the war\u2019s impact is \u201cboth global and highly uneven\u201d, with some countries likely to face a renewed cost of living squeeze. <\/p>\n<p>Large energy importers in Asia and Europe are bearing the brunt of higher fuel prices and input costs due to the effective closure of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/topic\/strait-of-hormuz\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Strait of Hormuz<\/a>, a key shipping lane, which has caused shipments of oil and gas to grind to a halt.<\/p>\n<p>Countries such as the UK and Italy have been particularly exposed, while France and Spain were relatively protected by their greater use of nuclear and renewable energy sources, according to the IMF.<\/p>\n<p>The organisation also warned of mounting concerns about food prices shooting up because of the disruption to shipments of fertiliser from the Middle East.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/7b7787c70a3adb009f4fe2226b850100Y29udGVudHNlYXJjaGFwaSwxNzc0NjAyMzM2-2.83914305.jpg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"Rachel Reeves faces mounting calls to abandon the increase in fuel duty planned for September\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/>Rachel Reeves faces mounting calls to abandon the increase in fuel duty planned for September (PA)<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe interruption of crop-nutrient supplies from the Gulf comes just as planting season begins in the Northern Hemisphere, threatening yields and harvests through the year and pushing food prices higher,\u201d it said.<\/p>\n<p>The most vulnerable countries will \u201cbear the heaviest burden\u201d, with people in low-income countries spending a bigger proportion of their incomes on food.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cAlthough the war could shape the global economy in different ways, all roads lead to higher prices and slower growth,\u201d the IMF warned.<\/p>\n<p>The ultimate impact depends on how long the war lasts and how much damage it does to infrastructure and supply chains, but the world may \u201csettle somewhere in between \u2013 tensions linger, energy stays costly, and inflation proves hard to tame\u201d, it wrote.<\/p>\n<p>The warnings come after Sir Keir Starmer told business and military chiefs in a Downing Street meeting on Monday that his priority was ending the Middle East conflict and working on a \u201cviable plan\u201d to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.<\/p>\n<p>Downing Street said the aim of the meeting, which included representatives from energy firms Shell and BP, the shipping giant Maersk, maritime insurance specialist Lloyd\u2019s of London and the HSBC and Goldman Sachs banks, was to discuss how the government and private sector can work together in responding to the situation.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Middle-East-conflict-rhblcr3l.jpeg\"  loading=\"lazy\" alt=\"The blockage of the Strait of Hormuz has also sent petrol prices soaring\" class=\"sc-1mc30lb-0 ggpMaE inline-gallery-btn\"\/>The blockage of the Strait of Hormuz has also sent petrol prices soaring (PA Wire)<\/p>\n<p>Sir Keir told bosses that it must be a \u201cjoint effort\u201d to tackle the impact of the war, adding: \u201cThe government can\u2019t do it on its own. You can\u2019t do it on your own. We\u2019re going to have to work together on this.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>There is expected to be a Cobra meeting on Tuesday, at which senior ministers will discuss the ongoing economic hit caused by the war. <\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/business\/rac-government-rachel-reeves-iran-b2948367.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rachel Reeves<\/a> faces growing pressure to follow European countries and take action to protect consumers from <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/business\/strait-of-hormuz-iran-government-rachel-reeves-diesel-b2948358.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">rapidly rising fuel prices<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Oil prices, which have a significant effect on the wholesale cost of fuel, have soared in response to Iran\u2019s stranglehold on tankers passing through the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/world\/middle-east\/iran-us-war-live-trump-israel-oil-kharg-island-b2948081.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Strait of Hormuz<\/a>, pushing up pump prices and piling pressure on the government to abandon a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/world\/trump-war-iran-uk-bills-interest-rates-mortgages-b2944591.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">planned increase in fuel duty <\/a>due in September.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/business\/rac-government-rachel-reeves-iran-b2948367.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">chancellor<\/a> announced in the November budget that the fuel duty reduction \u2013 introduced by the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/news\/uk\/home-news\/andrew-rosindell-conservatives-reform-uk-robert-jenrick-government-b2902867.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Conservative government <\/a>in March 2022 after the outbreak of the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.independent.co.uk\/bulletin\/news\/samara-chemical-plant-ukraine-russia-b2948190.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Ukraine war <\/a>\u2013 would be extended until the end of August 2026, with rates then gradually returning to previous levels over the next five years.<\/p>\n<p>But she now faces mounting calls to abandon the increase in fuel duty planned for September and instead follow European allies who have taken significant steps to keep prices down as the war continues.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Your support helps us to tell the story From reproductive rights to climate change to Big Tech, The&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":375955,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[72,113,61,60],"class_list":["post-375954","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-ie","tag-ireland"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/375954","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=375954"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/375954\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/375955"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=375954"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=375954"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=375954"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}