{"id":389246,"date":"2026-04-09T05:00:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-09T05:00:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/389246\/"},"modified":"2026-04-09T05:00:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-09T05:00:08","slug":"ireland-ai-job-loss-warning-as-new-report-pinpoints-which-workers-are-most-at-risk","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/389246\/","title":{"rendered":"Ireland AI job loss warning as new report pinpoints which workers are most at risk"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>A new report warns AI could displace around 7% of jobs in Ireland, with higher skilled workers most at risk.<img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"A new report warns AI could displace around 7% of jobs in Ireland\" loading=\"eager\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/1_GettyImages-134249338.jpg\" \/><\/p>\n<p aria-label=\"A new report warns AI could displace around 7% of jobs in Ireland\" class=\"ImageCaption_caption-title__ccyQU\" data-testid=\"caption-title\">A new report warns AI could displace around 7% of jobs in Ireland(Image: Getty)<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">Artificial intelligence (AI) could \u201cdisplace\u201d around 7% of <a aria-label=\"\" class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishmirror.ie\/all-about\/employment\" rel=\"follow nofollow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\" target=\"_self\">current jobs<\/a> in the short to medium term, according to a new study.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The adoption of AI is also likely to lead to moderate increases in income inequality in the same period, according to a joint report from the Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI) and <a aria-label=\"\" class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishmirror.ie\/all-about\/department-of-finance\" rel=\"follow nofollow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\" target=\"_self\">Department of Finance <\/a>published on Thursday.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The study said job displacement will be mainly among workers whose roles can be partially carried out by AI, while those who keep their jobs may see wage increases related to higher productivity through the use of the technology.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The research used ESRI models and international evidence to simulate a range of scenarios.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">In its central scenario, it said <a aria-label=\"\" class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irishmirror.ie\/all-about\/ai\" rel=\"follow nofollow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\" target=\"_self\">AI adoption <\/a>among Irish firms is likely to lead to job losses and \u201cemployment shock\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">It states: \u201cIn our central scenario \u2013 drawn from credible international estimates \u2013 around 7% of current jobs could be displaced in the short\u2013medium run.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">Unlike other periods of major technological change, it said the job losses would be concentrated among highly educated workers \u2013 \u201creflecting the strong exposure of high-skilled occupations to AI technologies\u201d.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The report said: \u201cThose most likely to experience this disruption are found in higher income households, where the share of workers transitioning into unemployment is substantially larger than in lower income families.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The ESRI added: \u201cReturns to capital are also expected to increase, modestly on average, but with disproportionate benefits accruing to the highest-income households who hold most capital assets.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">\u201cTaken together, these forces produce an overall decline in average household disposable income in the short term.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The study examined Ireland\u2019s \u201ccurrent occupational structure\u201d and could not take into account what new jobs or opportunities may arise out of AI adoption.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The ESRI said Ireland\u2019s tax and welfare system is \u201cwell-placed to absorb\u201d most of the income losses for lower-income households in the short term through increased welfare entitlement and reduced tax liability.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">It will also absorb roughly half of the losses for the highest-income households.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">However, it said all the scenarios it ran result in a small to moderate increase in household income inequality, widening the gap between the rich and the poor.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The authors say the displacement of roles could have \u201csubstantial\u201d impacts on the Exchequer.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The ESRI said: \u201cIf employment losses are small or reallocation of workers is fast, Exchequer revenue may increase due to productivity gains.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">\u201cIf job displacement is large, however, income tax receipts will fall relative to the baseline and welfare spending will rise, putting significant pressure on the public finances.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">The research group said this showed the importance of investing in retraining and supporting the AI transition.<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">Report author Sorcha O\u2019Connor, of the Department of Finance, said: \u201cThe widespread adoption of AI will likely boost productivity and raise living standards in the long term. However, it\u2019s important that these benefits are widely dispersed and that everyone benefits.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"Paragraph_paragraph-text__PVKlh \" data-tmdatatrack=\"content-unit\" data-tmdatatrack-type=\"paragraph\">Want to see more of the stories you love from the Irish Mirror? <a aria-label=\"Making us your preferred source on GoogleLink opens in a new tab.\" class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=irishmirror.ie\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\" target=\"_blank\">Making us your preferred source on Google<\/a> means you\u2019ll get more of our exclusives, top stories and must-read content straight away. To add Irish Mirror as a preferred source, simply <a aria-label=\"click hereLink opens in a new tab.\" class=\"TextLink_text-link__dBSS0 TextLink_enabled__dJF3l\" href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=irishmirror.ie\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" tabindex=\"0\" target=\"_blank\">click here<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A new report warns AI could displace around 7% of jobs in Ireland, with higher skilled workers most&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":389247,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[220,1398,1392,61,60,43],"class_list":{"0":"post-389246","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-ireland","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-department-of-finance","10":"tag-employment","11":"tag-ie","12":"tag-ireland","13":"tag-news"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/389246","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=389246"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/389246\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/389247"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=389246"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=389246"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=389246"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}