{"id":420503,"date":"2026-04-27T20:15:11","date_gmt":"2026-04-27T20:15:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/420503\/"},"modified":"2026-04-27T20:15:11","modified_gmt":"2026-04-27T20:15:11","slug":"this-volcanologist-peers-into-crystal-balls-to-forecast-eruptions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/420503\/","title":{"rendered":"This volcanologist peers into \u2018crystal balls\u2019 to forecast eruptions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"article-content\">\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>        Vitals<\/p>\n<p>Hometown: San Sebasti\u00e1n, Spain<\/p>\n<p>Current position: Australian Research Council (ARC) Future Fellow and associate professor of igneous petrology and volcanology, University of Queensland<\/p>\n<p>Education\/Degrees: BSc, geology, 2006, MSc, geology, 2007, and PhD, geology, 2013, University of Zaragoza<\/p>\n<p>Scientific origin story: Asked to draw a volcano in her middle school geology class<\/p>\n<p>Undersung collaborators: Volcano observatories working with very limited resources<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Nearly 1 in 10 people live within 100 km of an active volcano. From Reykjav\u00edk, Iceland, to Yogyakarta, Indonesia, communities have accumulated deep awareness of\u2014and respect for\u2014the risks and challenges of living alongside these geologic wonders. The world underneath them, on the other hand, has remained far harder to comprehend.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">\u201cEven if Jules Verne envisioned it, accessing the inner guts of the volcano physically is impossible so far,\u201d says Teresa Ubide, a volcanologist at the University of Queensland. She has witnessed the beauties and perils of volcanism\u2014both in nearby Indonesia, a volcanically active archipelago that is home to 300 million people, and in her native Spain, which endured the La Palma eruption that lasted for 3 months in 2021 and consumed the town of Todoque.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Ubide has spent years understanding how these volcanoes work and how they are triggered so that we might better predict their eruptions and protect the millions living in their shadow. She takes an approach that Verne might have appreciated: extracting miniscule crystals from cooled magma and turning them into tiny crystal balls. In a 2024 paper in Nature Geoscience, Ubide posits that a variety of crystal known as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41561-024-01509-y\" shape=\"rect\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">clinopyroxene could<\/a> serve as \u201cvolcanic crystal balls\u201d because of their ability to forecast future eruptions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-quote--text\">&#8220;Even if Jules Verne envisioned it, accessing the inner guts of the volcano physically is impossible so far.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>          Teresa Ubide, Australian Research Council (ARC) Future Fellow and associate professor of igneous petrology and volcanology, University of Queensland<\/p>\n<p>        <a class=\"btn btn-sm font-mono text-uppercase text-dark howerBorder\" tabindex=\"0\" data-title=\"This volcanologist peers into \u2018crystal balls\u2019 to forecast eruptions\" data-print=\"true\" onclick=\"openShareModal(event)\" aria-label=\"Share, This volcanologist peers into \u2018crystal balls\u2019 to forecast eruptions\" role=\"button\">Share<br \/>\n          <\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">\u201cThey grow sequentially, like tree rings, and you see changes in the magmatic environment. The rim of the crystal\u2014the last growth ring\u2014is going to record what happens just before the eruption,\u201d Ubide says. \u201cThese crystals are the size of a chickpea if you\u2019re very lucky\u2014more often a lentil or grain of salt. The growth zones are microscopic. And you can analyze them with lasers, like we use for eye surgery. So we build this idea of how the plumbing system inside the volcano works, as if opening a doll\u2019s house.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Ubide\u2019s specialized technique, laser ablation inductively coupled plasma quadrupole mass spectrometry (LA-ICP-MS), differs from more traditional MS. With the traditional approach, researchers must crush their rock sample into a powder and dissolve it in solution for analysis. \u201cThe laser allows you to microsample: very tiny parcels, down to a few micrometers,\u201d Ubide says. By shaving away and analyzing each infinitesimal layer, researchers can chart the elemental distribution in 2D, effectively combining all the layers into a visual, millennia-long chemical timeline. Ubide is quick to share images of some of the crystals she has analyzed: vivid, chromatic rainbows of stark, concentric rims, each less than a millimeter wide and representing massive geologic events that occurred lifetimes ago.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Two-dimensional maps of clinopyroxene crystals that passed through a volcano\u2019s magma chamber display a sharp increase in chromium concentration in their outermost rims. This increase indicates the arrival of primitive magma directly from the mantle, which can \u201ctip\u201d a volcanic system to erupt.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Ubide has analyzed clinopyroxene from eruptions <a href=\"https:\/\/www.frontiersin.org\/journals\/earth-science\/articles\/10.3389\/feart.2019.00239\/full\" shape=\"rect\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">as far back as the Roman era<\/a>. In addition to chronicling a volcano\u2019s history, Ubide\u2019s technique can monitor changes in real time. During the eruption in La Palma in 2021, Ubide lasered the magmatic liquid itself. She found that, about 2 weeks before the end of the volcano\u2019s 85-day path of destruction, the chemical composition changed: chromium oxide concentrations within the clinopyroxene samples leveled off, which suggests that the influx of new magma had begun to slow. In situ monitoring like this may allow communities to better forecast and plan for the length, style, and risks of eruptions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Ubide\u2019s research on clinopyroxene crystals has also led her to an unexpected application for her method: locating novel sources of copper.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">\u201c[Copper]\u2019s such a good conductor of electricity and heat, it\u2019s the number 1 thing we need,\u201d Ubide says. \u201cOne electric car needs more than 50 kg of copper; one wind turbine needs almost 5 metric tons.\u201d Starting as early as this year, the soaring need for copper\u2014much of it to fuel clean energy technology\u2014<a href=\"https:\/\/www.mining.com\/coppers-next-shortage-is-structural-not-hype-analyst\/\" shape=\"rect\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">is expected to outpace global supply<\/a>. Demand is forecast to as much as triple within 20 years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Volcanoes, it turns out, could provide a unique glimpse into the geology of copper formation. \u201cAll magmas have a little bit of copper, but it\u2019s very, very rare\u201d that the metal accumulates, Ubide says. To thread that needle, magma that forms deep within the earth must ascend to the surface\u2014surviving a complex gauntlet of geochemical processes, recharging with new injections of magma, and precipitating crystals along the way\u2014until it finally reaches pressures low enough that it can release volatile gases rather than erupting.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">If all these stars align, however, the magma heats up sea- or groundwater. That produces a hydrothermal system of geofluids that circulate through the shallow crust and precipitate the increasingly valuable metal into fractured rocks as the fluids cool. \u201cYou want the volcano not to erupt because you lose the copper to the atmosphere,\u201d Ubide says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">The crystals document all these processes, Ubide explains. But while clinopyroxene proves especially useful for studying why a volcano erupts, it\u2019s not the only crystalline material that doubles as a dutiful geological notary.<\/p>\n<p>              <img data-lazy-src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Feature--Q_A-Teresa-Ubide-CPG---319555.webp\"  alt=\"An oblong figure made up of concentric rings of various colors. A color legend in the lower-right corner indicates the percentage of chromium concentration, ranging from dark blue at 0.1% to red and orange at 0.2\u20130.3% to yellow and white at 0.4% or higher. Another legend in the top right shows that the crystal is about 4 mm wide.\" class=\"w-100\" decoding=\"async\"\/><br \/>\n              An oblong figure made up of concentric rings of various colors. A color legend in the lower-right corner indicates the percentage of chromium concentration, ranging from dark blue at 0.1% to red and orange at 0.2\u20130.3% to yellow and white at 0.4% or higher. Another legend in the top right shows that the crystal is about 4 mm wide.<\/p>\n<p>              A map of a clinopyroxene crystal, collected from Mount Etna, shows an intense accumulation of chromium (orange) in its outer layer just prior to eruption.<\/p>\n<p>            Credit:<br \/>\n              Teresa Ubide<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Plagioclase, a type of feldspar, is more common than clinopyroxenes in the shallower, silica-rich regions that also produce copper. That means the mineral can help indicate which volcanoes have accumulated the metal. Ubide also uses LA-ICP-MS to analyze this subterranean substance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">As the race for copper intensifies, Ubide and her cohorts have discussed the possibility of outfitting a vehicle to aid in the search for copper deposits. \u201c[If] we get to the point where we can analyze the plagioclase, and if the plagioclase gives you reliable information, you could, in the future, envision a van where you go around the region, get the sample with your hammer, zap the plagioclase, and say, green light, let\u2019s drill here! Or red light, let\u2019s move on,\u201d she says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">While Ubide develops her science, she remains keenly aware of the communities on the receiving end of volcanic hazards that have the most to gain or lose from the coming copper boom. She especially remembers a local guide in Indonesia who shepherded her to the lahar, volcanic mudflow from an eruption decades earlier. \u201cThe samples we got there\u2014stunning,\u201d she says.<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">\u201cAnd this was all because this local person said, \u2018Oh, if you\u2019re interested in crystals, this lahar deposit has lots.\u2019 And he was right. It\u2019s unforgettable,\u201d she recalls. Every time she visits, Ubide draws on knowledge from Indonesian researchers, mine workers, and experienced guides in a multidisciplinary collaboration that is crucial to her work, she says. \u201cWe made long-lasting human connections.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"article-content\">Jonathan Feakins is a freelance science and history writer based in Chicago. A version of this story first appeared in ACS Central Science: cenm.ag\/volcanologist.<\/p>\n<p>\n        Chemical &amp; Engineering News<\/p>\n<p>          ISSN 0009-2347<\/p>\n<p>          Copyright \u00a9<br \/>\n            2026 American Chemical Society<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u00a0 Vitals Hometown: San Sebasti\u00e1n, Spain Current position: Australian Research Council (ARC) Future Fellow and associate professor of&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":420504,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[74796,7692,61,60,52405,82,2811],"class_list":{"0":"post-420503","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-science","8":"tag-analytical-chemistry","9":"tag-geochemistry","10":"tag-ie","11":"tag-ireland","12":"tag-physical-chemistry","13":"tag-science","14":"tag-spectroscopy"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/420503","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=420503"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/420503\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/420504"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=420503"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=420503"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=420503"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}