{"id":428061,"date":"2026-05-02T03:43:09","date_gmt":"2026-05-02T03:43:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/428061\/"},"modified":"2026-05-02T03:43:09","modified_gmt":"2026-05-02T03:43:09","slug":"naoya-inoue-vs-junto-nakatani-prediction-who-wins-and-how","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/428061\/","title":{"rendered":"Naoya Inoue vs Junto Nakatani prediction: Who wins and how"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Naoya Inoue is set to defend his undisputed super bantamweight championship in what looks to be his toughest test in years, as he faces pound-for-pound contender Junto Nakatani in a battle of unbeaten Japanese stars at the Tokyo Dome tomorrow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Bad Left Hook will have LIVE results, updates, and reactions starting from 4:40 am ET on Saturday, May 2, 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Naoya Inoue\u2019s recent form<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">The 33-year-old Inoue (32-0, 27 KO) has continued to dominate over his last five fights, beating TJ Doheny, Ye Joon Kim, Ramon Cardenas, Murodjon Akhmadaliev, and Alan Picasso. He was last out on December 27, when he had his first fight in Riyadh, winning a wide decision over Picasso.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Both of Inoue\u2019s last two fights have gone the distance, but it probably doesn\u2019t say anything about his power declining. He\u2019s pushing himself as a 122 lb fighter in the first place, but he can still crack, and more than just the raw power, he\u2019s got excellent fundamentals, good timing, and has zip on his shots with both hands. He also is a keen body puncher and can wear opponents down if they leave the midsection open too much. Picasso was game and tough, while Akhmadaliev largely avoided contact, to be blunt about it.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">All that to say he\u2019s still plenty dangerous as a stoppage threat, despite the two straight decisions. Those decisions ended a run of 11 straight wins by KO or TKO. Inoue remains hard to argue as anything but a top three fighter in the sport, pound-for-pound.<\/p>\n<p>Junto Nakatani\u2019s recent form<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Nakatani (32-0, 24 KO) moved up to the super bantamweight division on that same December 27 card in Riyadh and got a really tough fight from Sebastian Hernandez. Nakatani, 28, still looked good in that fight, but he had to fight a lot harder for that one than we generally see, which could say as much about Hernandez\u2019s quality as it does Nakatani\u2019s adjustment to a new division.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Even if it was more the latter, Nakatani should come into this one feeling more comfortable at the weight. And Hernandez is a natural 122 lb fighter, too, which Inoue isn\u2019t, though Inoue is entirely legit at the weight. Like Inoue, Nakatani has traveled up in weight over the years.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Over his last five, Nakatani has beaten Hernandez, Ryosuke Nishida, David Cuellar, Tasana Salapat (Petch CP Freshmart), and Vincent Astrolabio. Only Hernandez gave him any real trouble; he stopped all the others in six rounds or less. At his best, Nakatani is a vicious sharpshooter from the southpaw stance and could present real stylistic challenges for Inoue.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup\">Catch all the action from the Tokyo Dome as Naoya Inoue faces his toughest challenge in Junto Nakatani, live on DAZN!<\/p>\n<p><a class=\"duet--cta--button tovz5r2 tovz5r0 _1b489j19 _1b489j17\" href=\"https:\/\/prf.hn\/click\/camref:1100l4uLf\/pubref:SBN050126\/[p_id:1101l394957]\/destination:https%3A%2F%2Fwww.dazn.com%2Fen-US%2Fcompetition%2FCompetition%3A1vrlovyh2o9sz1ralb1icjsf8a\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Stream Inoue vs Nakatani on DAZN!<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Who will win Inoue vs Nakatani?<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Saying that Nakatani presents stylistic issues, potentially, for the great Inoue is not to suggest the reverse isn\u2019t true. Inoue presents stylistic issues for everyone, largely because he\u2019s just so consistently good. \u201cThe Monster\u201d has himself said he doesn\u2019t really do anything special, he just sticks to the fundamentals and a sturdy approach to boxing.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">What has made Inoue exceptional is that consistency; he never seems to have an \u201coff-night,\u201d really, and no opponent has been able to really figure out how to throw him off his game. Even in moments of discomfort here and there, he stays relaxed and bounces back quickly, and every time out to date, his approach has taken over a fight and left him a convincing winner. There has been no controversy in Inoue\u2019s run.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Nakatani will need to be better than he was against Hernandez, but this is also a totally different fight. Inoue is not going to wade in and put the pressure on the way Hernandez did, or at least that shouldn\u2019t be expected and would seem, on paper, to be a really risky game plan from Inoue and his team, and they\u2019re not exactly known for being adventurous. Inoue fights his fight and he wins, that\u2019s been it to date. The challenge Nakatani faces is getting Inoue seriously out of rhythm and groove, keep him from developing that big momentum, and trying to protect the body may be a real key to how this goes for Junto.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">You figure if \u201cthe moment\u201d is going to get to somebody, it\u2019d be Nakatani. This is really the biggest fight in either\u2019s career, but Inoue has been under these really bright lights many more times. Nothing quite like headlining the Tokyo Dome against a fellow star countryman, but Inoue\u2019s had a lot more big main events than Junto has had, and Nakatani is definitely the one facing a new class of opponent.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">More than the Hernandez fight, that\u2019s what worries me from the Nakatani side. There aren\u2019t going to be rounds available to \u201cgive away\u201d or sacrifice, so if Nakatani\u2019s a little tight coming out and loses two or three rounds, that could put him in a hole, and if he feels early in-fight pressure on top of the pressure he\u2019ll feel coming in, that could be his doom.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">I like Nakatani a lot and think he\u2019s a fantastic fighter. But I\u2019m going with Naoya Inoue to stay unbeaten and keep his crown. He\u2019s just been too reliably great in his career, he\u2019s too proven at this level and on this type of stage, and I don\u2019t think time has caught up to him just yet. Nakatani\u2019s dangerous, though; if he\u2019s going to win, he has to set the tone early, he can\u2019t come out slow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"duet--article--dangerously-set-cms-markup duet--article--standard-paragraph _1nfb3k4i _16w9vov1 _16w9vov0 ls9zuh1\">Prediction: Naoya Inoue via unanimous decision<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Naoya Inoue is set to defend his undisputed super bantamweight championship in what looks to be his toughest&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":428062,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[77651,187047,61,60,112],"class_list":["post-428061","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-sports","tag-boxing-news","tag-boxing-predictions","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-sports"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/428061","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=428061"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/428061\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/428062"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=428061"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=428061"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=428061"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}