{"id":455090,"date":"2026-05-18T15:52:10","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T15:52:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/455090\/"},"modified":"2026-05-18T15:52:10","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T15:52:10","slug":"eu-warns-iran-war-is-causing-stagflation-shock","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/455090\/","title":{"rendered":"EU warns Iran war is causing stagflation shock"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/05\/108308319-17791130681779113064-46027785666-1080pnbcnews.jpg\" alt=\"EU Commissioner: Growth down, inflation up in spring forecast\"\/><\/p>\n<p>The EU will downgrade its growth forecast because of the &#8220;stagflationary shock&#8221; caused by the Iran war, the bloc&#8217;s commissioner for the economy told CNBC.<\/p>\n<p>Valdis Dombrovskis, European Commissioner for Economy and Productivity, told CNBC&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/charlotte-reed\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Charlotte Reed<\/a> that the spring forecast, released later this week, will see economic growth figures adjusted down and inflation figures up.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We are facing a stagflationary shock,&#8221; he said on Monday, on the sidelines of the meeting of G7 finance ministers in Paris.<\/p>\n<p>Fears of stagflation have risen in recent weeks. A lasting settlement to the war in the Middle East has proven elusive and with the vital Strait of Hormuz closed, oil prices remain above $100 a barrel.<\/p>\n<p>Dombrovskis added that the margin of action by policymakers is &#8220;more limited now,&#8221; leaving little room for the kind of broad-based fiscal response seen during the coronavirus pandemic.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;We think it&#8217;s important that the support measures we take are temporary and targeted, not ones which actually sustain high demand for fossil fuels,&#8221; he added.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/05\/18\/europe-oil-shortage-iran-war-price-shock-inventory-strait-hormuz.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Strategists have warned<\/a> that global oil stockpiles are plummeting and inventories may not recover until December 2027, with physical shortages potentially looming over Europe by the end of this month.<\/p>\n<p>The International Energy Agency, in its latest monthly update, cautioned that oil inventories globally are depleting at a record pace. &#8220;Rapidly shrinking buffers amid continued disruptions may herald future price spikes ahead,&#8221; the IEA said.<\/p>\n<p>Dombrovskis described the EU&#8217;s release of strategic oil reserves as &#8220;ongoing,&#8221; and added that there are some concerns of shortages in areas such as innovation fuels.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The more protracted the conflict becomes, the more risk of some supply bottlenecks, which reinforces our message that policy response should not increase demand for fossil fuels,&#8221; he said.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.google.com\/preferences\/source?q=https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer nofollow\">Choose CNBC as your preferred source on Google and never miss a moment from the most trusted name in business news.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The EU will downgrade its growth forecast because of the &#8220;stagflationary shock&#8221; caused by the Iran war, the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":455091,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[188702,964,72,122,113,61,11829,60,123,7531,138288,7228],"class_list":["post-455090","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-lco26n","tag-breaking-news-markets","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-economy","tag-ie","tag-iran","tag-ireland","tag-markets","tag-oil-and-gas","tag-valdis-dombrovskis","tag-world-economy"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/455090","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=455090"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/455090\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/455091"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=455090"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=455090"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=455090"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}