Despite the global sugar market expecting a marginal surplus in 2025-26, the International Sugar Organization (ISO) has warned that El Ni\u00f1o-linked weather risks could push the market into a deficit in the following season.<\/p>\n
In its third revised outlook for the 2025-26 season, the ISO projected global sugar production at a record 182 million tonnes, up sharply from 175.9 million tonnes a year ago.\u00a0<\/p>\n
Global demand is estimated at 179.8 million tonnes compared with 179.1 million tonnes last year, resulting in a surplus of around 2.2 million tonnes, reversing the previous season’s deficit of 3.2 million tonnes.<\/p>\n
The body, however, flagged concerns for 2026-27, estimating a global deficit of 262,000 tonnes amid fears that El Ni\u00f1o conditions could disrupt rainfall patterns in key producing countries.<\/p>\n
ALSO READ:\u00a0India Bans Sugar Exports Until Sept 2026 To Cool Off Prices<\/a><\/p>\n It also projected lower export availability at 64.2 million tonnes in 2025-26 against 64.8 million tonnes a year ago, while imports are expected to decline to 63.3 million tonnes from 65.1 million tonnes. End-season stocks are pegged at 79.4 million tonnes, marginally higher than 78.9 million tonnes last year.<\/p>\n The global outlook comes days after India prohibited sugar exports till September 2026 to contain domestic prices and ensure adequate local supplies.\u00a0<\/p>\n India, the world’s second-largest sugar producer after Brazil, had earlier permitted limited exports of 1.59 million tonnes, anticipating surplus output.\u00a0<\/p>\n However, lower cane yields and concerns over monsoon disruptions prompted a policy reversal.<\/p>\n The export curb has already pushed global sugar prices higher, with both raw and white sugar futures gaining after the announcement.<\/p>\n ALSO READ:\u00a0India’s Sugar Production Surges 28% In 2025-26, Cooperative Requests MSP Hike<\/a><\/p>\n \n Essential Business<\/a> Intelligence,
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