{"id":521021,"date":"2026-06-27T09:56:18","date_gmt":"2026-06-27T09:56:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/521021\/"},"modified":"2026-06-27T09:56:18","modified_gmt":"2026-06-27T09:56:18","slug":"people-think-science-is-about-the-truth-its-not-why-everything-we-know-about-the-universe-could-be-mere-guesswork","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/521021\/","title":{"rendered":"&#8220;People think science is about the truth. It&#8217;s not&#8221; \u2013\u00a0Why everything we know about the Universe could be mere guesswork"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>I\u2019m convinced that, when I was a physics student, a lecturer quoted: &#8220;There\u2019s speculation, then there\u2019s more speculation, then there\u2019s cosmology.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>But when I recently tried to track down a source for these words of wisdom, three were mentioned: the cosmologist Edward Harrison, the physicist Lev Landau and, rather embarrassingly, me.<\/p>\n<p>So maybe I made it up. But that doesn\u2019t mean there are no grounds for concern.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/star-trek-teleportation-b13db08.jpg\" alt=\"Could teleportation - as seen in Star Trek - ever be possible? Credit: CBS Photo Archive \/ Getty Images\" class=\"wp-image-104031\"\/>Credit: CBS Photo Archive \/ Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>Science and the problem with the truth<\/p>\n<p>Science depends on our ability to test theories. Some mistakenly think it\u2019s about uncovering the truth \u2013 it\u2019s not.<\/p>\n<p>Science is always provisional, but it attempts to give us the best theory based on current evidence.<\/p>\n<p>The reason cosmology will always carry a strong aroma of speculation is that experiments are rarely possible.<\/p>\n<p>Even observational evidence is usually indirect, relying on building assumption on top of assumption, leaving a dangerously crumbly edifice.<\/p>\n<p>Something that doesn\u2019t help is an attitude brilliantly summed up in a quote that is legitimately attributed to Lev Landau: &#8220;Cosmologists are often in error but never in doubt.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>To take two examples: with limited supporting evidence, the theories behind cosmic inflation and dark energy are regularly presented as fact.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1063\" height=\"1183\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/2.-Abell-370-dragon-arc.jpg\" alt=\"This image of Abell 370, a galaxy cluster 4 billion lightyears away, shows several arcs of light, including the 'Dragon Arc' (lower left of centre). These arcs are caused by gravitational lensing, when light from distant galaxies is warped by the cluster's gravity. Credit: NASA, ESA\/Hubble, HST Frontier Fields\" class=\"wp-image-179239\"\/>This image of Abell 370, a galaxy cluster 4 billion lightyears away, shows several arcs of light, including the &#8216;Dragon Arc&#8217; (lower left of centre). These arcs are caused by gravitational lensing, when light from distant galaxies is warped by the cluster&#8217;s gravity. Credit: NASA, ESA\/Hubble, HST Frontier Fields<br \/>\nWhy space science is so difficult<\/p>\n<p>Astronomers do amazing jobs providing data to feed into these theories, but they face many challenges.<\/p>\n<p>They are scanning vast distances, looking back billions of years, dealing with all manner of obstacles that get in the way of certainty.<\/p>\n<p>The Biblical wording, &#8220;For now we see through a glass, darkly,&#8221; could describe the challenges faced by astronomers.<\/p>\n<p>Take the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/measuring-distance-space\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">measurement of interstellar and intergalactic distances<\/a>, without which we couldn\u2019t detect the accelerating <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/expansion-universe\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">expansion of the Universe<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>Clearly, no one has been out there with a tape measure. Once an astronomical body is far enough away for the optical mechanism of parallax to fail, we become dependent on &#8216;standard candles&#8217;.<\/p>\n<p>If we know how bright specific types of star and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/when-stars-collapse-what-is-a-supernova\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">supernovae<\/a> really are, we can use apparent brightness to establish their distance.<\/p>\n<p>But there are plenty of assumptions in play, some of which are beginning to look doubtful.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"871\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/1782554178_72_big-bang.jpg\" alt=\"Illustration depicting the Big Bang. Credit: Marck Garlick \/ Science Photo Library \/ Getty Images\" class=\"wp-image-169673\"\/>Illustration depicting the Big Bang. Credit: Marck Garlick \/ Science Photo Library \/ Getty Images<br \/>\nThe heart of the Big Bang<\/p>\n<p>Things get even murkier with \u2018inflation\u2019. This was a patch to fix a problem in Big Bang theory.<\/p>\n<p>Fred Hoyle, a member of the group behind the early alternative, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/quasi-steady-state-theory\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">steady state theory<\/a>, was always furious that the Big Bang was repeatedly patched up, but steady state was dismissed as soon as contradictory evidence emerged.<\/p>\n<p>To explain the surprising uniformity of space soon after the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/questions-about-big-bang\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Big Bang<\/a>, theoretical theorist Alan Guth surmised that the Universe went through a brief but super-sized expansion.<\/p>\n<p>As yet, the only substantial evidence for inflation came from the BICEP2 experiment, results which were rapidly withdrawn when they were found to be caused by cosmic dust interfering with observations.<\/p>\n<p>If I\u2019m honest, we science writers don\u2019t help. If you spot titles including \u2018may\u2019 or \u2018could\u2019, the chances<br \/>are it\u2019s a story that\u2019s rich in speculation.<\/p>\n<p>We can only ever say that cosmology tries to answer scientific questions. Compared with many other sciences, we must take any cosmological certainty with a huge pinch of salt.<\/p>\n<p>Let us know your thoughts on this subject by emailing <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/mailto:contactus@skyatnightmagazine.com\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">contactus@skyatnightmagazine.com<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"I\u2019m convinced that, when I was a physics student, a lecturer quoted: &#8220;There\u2019s speculation, then there\u2019s more speculation,&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":521022,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[61,60,82,247],"class_list":["post-521021","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-space","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-science","tag-space"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/521021","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=521021"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/521021\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/521022"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=521021"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=521021"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=521021"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}