{"id":525113,"date":"2026-06-30T02:41:17","date_gmt":"2026-06-30T02:41:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/525113\/"},"modified":"2026-06-30T02:41:17","modified_gmt":"2026-06-30T02:41:17","slug":"strong-ecnomic-performance-but-significant-risks-remain-for-ireland","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/525113\/","title":{"rendered":"Strong ecnomic performance but significant risks remain for Ireland"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Ireland\u2019s strong economic performance has given the Government a valuable opportunity to strengthen the country\u2019s long-term resilience, but significant risks remain from global uncertainty, housing shortages and the State\u2019s dependence on multinational tax receipts, according to the latest assessment from the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.imf.org\/en\/news\/articles\/2026\/06\/29\/pr26225-ireland-imf-executive-board-concludes-2026-article-iv-consultation\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">International Monetary Fund<\/a> (IMF).<\/p>\n<p>In its annual Article IV Consultation, the IMF said the Irish <a href=\"https:\/\/businessplus.ie\/tag\/economy\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"3542\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">economy <\/a>had remained resilient despite a series of external shocks, with modified gross national income estimated to have grown by around 4% in 2025.<\/p>\n<p>Growth was driven by strong consumer spending, investment and exports led by multinational enterprises (MNEs), while the Government continued to record a sizeable budget surplus thanks to robust corporation tax receipts.<\/p>\n<p>However, the Washington-based organisation expects growth to slow over the next two years, even if it remains relatively strong by international standards.<\/p>\n<p>Private consumption is forecast to weaken as employment growth and household incomes soften, while exports are expected to slow significantly during 2026.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation, which remained close to 2% during 2025, is projected to rise to around 3.5% this year due to higher energy prices before easing back towards the <a href=\"https:\/\/businessplus.ie\/tag\/european-central-bank\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"11900\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">European Central Bank<\/a>&#8216;s 2% target by 2028.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/businessplus.ie\/tag\/imf\/\" data-type=\"post_tag\" data-id=\"11125\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">IMF <\/a>warned that Ireland continues to face considerable external risks, including the ongoing conflict in the Middle East, geopolitical tensions and increasing fragmentation of global trade.<\/p>\n<p>The country&#8217;s reliance on a relatively small number of multinational companies also remains a structural vulnerability.<\/p>\n<p>The report noted that rapid advances in artificial intelligence present both opportunities and new risks, including cybersecurity threats, while domestic supply constraints continue to weigh on productivity.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF said Ireland should use its current economic strength to prepare for future challenges rather than assuming recent resilience will continue.<\/p>\n<p>It urged the Government to maintain a broadly neutral fiscal stance, arguing that with the economy operating close to full capacity, additional spending could add unnecessary inflationary pressure.<\/p>\n<p>At the same time, it backed plans to accelerate public investment, particularly in infrastructure, provided projects are delivered efficiently.<\/p>\n<p>The Fund also called for a broader tax base to reduce the State&#8217;s dependence on corporation tax, recommending greater reliance on income tax, VAT and local property taxes to provide more sustainable long-term revenues.<\/p>\n<p>Housing remains one of Ireland&#8217;s biggest structural challenges, according to the IMF, which said achieving Government housing targets would require planning reforms, higher urban density, improved construction productivity and greater private investment.<\/p>\n<p>It also highlighted the need for investment in electricity infrastructure and renewable energy to improve energy security while supporting the green transition.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"900\" height=\"600\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/Uk-property.jpg\" alt=\"IMF&#10;\" class=\"wp-image-244791\"  \/>Housing remains one of Ireland&#8217;s biggest structural challenges, according to the IMF<\/p>\n<p>The IMF said Ireland&#8217;s financial system remains resilient but warned regulators should continue monitoring risks within the country&#8217;s large non-bank financial sector and remain vigilant against growing cyber threats.<\/p>\n<p>Looking further ahead, the organisation said Ireland was well placed to benefit from advances in artificial intelligence if workers are supported through reskilling initiatives and innovation policies.<\/p>\n<p>The IMF also argued that deeper integration within the EU Single Market and new international trade agreements would help Irish businesses diversify supply chains and strengthen long-term economic growth.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Ireland\u2019s strong economic performance has given the Government a valuable opportunity to strengthen the country\u2019s long-term resilience, but&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":525114,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[61,60,43],"class_list":["post-525113","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-ireland","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/525113","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=525113"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/525113\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/525114"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=525113"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=525113"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=525113"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}