{"id":535060,"date":"2026-07-06T02:36:07","date_gmt":"2026-07-06T02:36:07","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/535060\/"},"modified":"2026-07-06T02:36:07","modified_gmt":"2026-07-06T02:36:07","slug":"asx-healthcare-shares-have-jumped-21-since-june-can-the-recovery-continue","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/535060\/","title":{"rendered":"ASX healthcare shares have jumped 21% since June. Can the recovery continue?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The turnaround has been sharp.<\/p>\n<p>The S&amp;P\/ASX 200 Health Care Index (ASX: XHJ)\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/2026\/07\/05\/healthcare-shares-lead-the-asx-200-again-as-sector-rotation-gathers-pace-week-27-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">hit<\/a> a nine-year low on 3 June 2026, having fallen 39% over the prior twelve months.<\/p>\n<p>Since then, the index has risen by 21% in just one month, compared with a 0.7% rise in the broader S&amp;P\/ASX 200 (ASX: XJO) index over the same period.<\/p>\n<p>CSL Ltd (<a class=\"tickerized-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/tickers\/asx-csl\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ASX: CSL<\/a>), Cochlear Ltd (<a class=\"tickerized-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/tickers\/asx-coh\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ASX: COH<\/a>), and ResMed Inc (<a class=\"tickerized-link\" href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/tickers\/asx-rmd\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">ASX: RMD<\/a>) are all up.<\/p>\n<p>The question is whether this recovery is real, or whether the sector has simply bounced from deeply oversold levels.<\/p>\n<p><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"675\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/07\/health-21-16.9-1200x675.jpeg\" class=\"attachment-full size-full wp-post-image\" alt=\"Portrait, confidence and team of doctors in the hospital standing after a consultation or surgery. Success, healthcare and group of professional medical workers in collaboration at a medicare clinic.\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>Image source: Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>What drove the selloff in the first place<\/p>\n<p>Understanding the recovery requires understanding what caused the fall.<\/p>\n<p>Healthcare <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/2026\/07\/05\/healthcare-shares-lead-the-asx-200-again-as-sector-rotation-gathers-pace-week-27-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was the<\/a> worst-performing sector of all eleven ASX 200 market sectors in FY26.<\/p>\n<p>The sector was hit by a combination of factors specific to individual companies and broader macro forces.<\/p>\n<p>A stronger Australian dollar eroded the offshore profits of CSL, which generates most of its revenue in the United States. Rising interest rates weighed on the valuations of high-multiple growth stocks across the sector. Earnings downgrades at CSL and Cochlear removed the premium earnings trajectory the sector had traded on for years. And a rotation toward energy and resources stocks pulled capital away from healthcare regardless of individual company fundamentals.<\/p>\n<p>CSL: the most important recovery to watch<\/p>\n<p>CSL is up 32% since 3 June, but remains down close to 50% over the past twelve months.<\/p>\n<p>The FY26 result, due on 19 August 2026, will be the most important test of whether the recovery has earnings support or is simply a valuation rebound.<\/p>\n<p>Management has pointed to improving Behring division revenue in the second half of FY26 as the key catalyst.<\/p>\n<p>Morgans <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/2026\/06\/11\/brokers-retained-a-positive-view-on-csl-gqg-partners-anz-and-these-asx-shares-this-week\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">retains<\/a> a buy rating on CSL with a price target of $147.59. However, the broker acknowledges that a sustained recovery in sentiment may take several quarters to fully materialise as the market waits for proof in the numbers.<\/p>\n<p>ResMed: the most compelling valuation story<\/p>\n<p>ResMed is up 18% since 3 June but remains at its lowest valuation in over a decade.<\/p>\n<p>Morgans has <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/2026\/07\/05\/top-brokers-name-3-asx-shares-to-buy-next-week-5-july-2026\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">retained<\/a> its buy rating on ResMed with a price target of $41.72. The broker noted that the stock has de-rated to just 16 times forward earnings despite the market continuing to forecast double-digit earnings per share growth.<\/p>\n<p>Morgans points out that while GLP-1 therapy risks exist, current industry data and operational performance continue to support the long-term investment case.<\/p>\n<p>Q2 FY26 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/investing-education\/healthcare-shares\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">showed<\/a> ResMed revenue rising 11% to $1.42 billion with net income up 14%, confirming the underlying business is growing strongly despite the macro noise.<\/p>\n<p>Cochlear: the longest road back<\/p>\n<p>Cochlear\u00a0is up 31% since 3 June but remains the most deeply impaired of the three. Cochlear shares are still down approximately 52% year to date and 58% over twelve months.<\/p>\n<p>The majority of brokers covering the stock still <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com.au\/2026\/07\/02\/cochlear-shares-have-jumped-23-in-a-month-is-there-more-upside-ahead\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">carry<\/a> a hold rating, with the consensus price target of $137.10 implying only modest further upside at current levels.<\/p>\n<p>Bell Potter&#8217;s Christopher Watt said that while near-term trading challenges persist, the long-term opportunity remains compelling. The broker added that until there is clearer evidence that volumes are stabilising, a more balanced stance is appropriate.<\/p>\n<p>Is the recovery sustainable for ASX healthcare shares?<\/p>\n<p>The honest answer is that the recovery has largely been driven by sector rotation rather than a genuine improvement in underlying fundamentals.<\/p>\n<p>That matters because sector rotation can reverse just as quickly as it appears.<\/p>\n<p>The August reporting season will be the real test.<\/p>\n<p>CSL&#8217;s FY26 numbers, due 19 August, will either confirm that the Behring margin recovery is tracking as management described or force another round of earnings estimate cuts.<\/p>\n<p>For investors who believe the long-term investment cases for CSL, ResMed, and Cochlear are intact, the current entry points, even after a 21% sector rally, look more attractive than anything available in the past five years.<\/p>\n<p>For investors looking for a quick trade, the easy part of the recovery may already be done.<\/p>\n<p>Foolish takeaway for ASX healthcare shares<\/p>\n<p>ASX healthcare shares surged 21% in a month from a nine-year low.<\/p>\n<p>CSL, ResMed, and Cochlear have all participated meaningfully in that recovery.<\/p>\n<p>Whether the rally continues depends on the August reporting season delivering the earnings support that sector rotation alone cannot provide indefinitely.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The turnaround has been sharp. The S&amp;P\/ASX 200 Health Care Index (ASX: XHJ)\u00a0hit a nine-year low on 3&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":535061,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[34],"tags":[103,397,396,61,60],"class_list":["post-535060","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-healthcare","tag-health","tag-health-care","tag-healthcare","tag-ie","tag-ireland"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/535060","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=535060"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/535060\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/535061"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=535060"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=535060"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=535060"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}