{"id":567005,"date":"2026-07-25T03:49:24","date_gmt":"2026-07-25T03:49:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/567005\/"},"modified":"2026-07-25T03:49:24","modified_gmt":"2026-07-25T03:49:24","slug":"economy-bringing-mixed-messages-ahead-of-next-federal-reserve-meeting","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/567005\/","title":{"rendered":"Economy bringing mixed messages ahead of next federal reserve meeting"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>WASHINGTON (TNND)  \u2014 The number of Americans filing for unemployment just reached a new low not seen in more than 50 years.  Jobless claims dropped to an estimated 187,000 last week, a number not seen since September 1969.<\/p>\n<p>In an interview with The National News Desk on  Friday, Josh Bivens, Chief Economist with the Economic Policy Institute, said,<\/p>\n<p>I think what today&#8217;s numbers tell us is that so far, we still have pretty low unemployment. And we have a weird mixture of very low hiring, but very low layoffs. And it&#8217;s the layoffs which would trigger it increase in unemployment insurance applications. Those remain low.<\/p>\n<p>That bit of good news is underscored by a strong stock market and an artificial intelligence boom, signs President Donald Trump has pointed to for his read on the economy.<\/p>\n<p>Multiple times he has said, \u201cWe have the hottest country right now anywhere in the world.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>But there have been undeniable economic rain clouds as well.<\/p>\n<p>The inability to bring the war in Iran to an end and reopen the world&#8217;s biggest shipping waterway has meant oil and gas prices are spiking once again<\/p>\n<p>It\u2019s impacted not just the cost to fill up at the pump but the price of groceries and travel and expanding the risk of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/07\/23\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/07\/23\/stock-market-today-live-updates.html\" class=\"themeColorForLinks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">increasing inflation.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>&#8221; I would say I&#8217;m going to bet inflation over this whole year is going to look closer to like the 3.5% range, which is a notable jump up and which will erase a lot of real income gains for a lot of Americans,&#8221; Bivens said.<\/p>\n<p>President Donald Trump also<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/07\/23\/business\/economy\/trump-tariffs.html\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2026\/07\/23\/business\/economy\/trump-tariffs.html\" class=\"themeColorForLinks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> just implemented<\/a> a new round of  10% to 12.5% tariffs on goods from more than 80 countries.<\/p>\n<p>The new chairman of the Federal Reserve, Kevin Warsh, is under pressure from the president to lower rates at next week\u2019s meeting. The Wall Street Journal is <a href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/economy\/central-banking\/the-fed-is-heading-into-one-of-its-most-unpredictable-meetings-in-years-849198f5\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/economy\/central-banking\/the-fed-is-heading-into-one-of-its-most-unpredictable-meetings-in-years-849198f5\" class=\"themeColorForLinks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">calling<\/a> it \u201cone of its most unpredictable meetings in years\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>I think it&#8217;s one of the few times in the past five years where you didn&#8217;t have a very good sense of which way the Fed would go,  like when the economy was horribly weak in 2020 after the pandemic. Of course, they&#8217;re going to keep rate zero when inflation hit 9%. Of course they&#8217;re going to raise rates. This is one of those ones where they&#8217;ve sort of got dueling signals from unemployment and inflation. So who knows which way they&#8217;ll go,&#8221; Bivens said.<\/p>\n<p>The economy is once again looming large on voters&#8217; minds ahead of the mid-term elections.<\/p>\n<p>A new <a href=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2026\/07\/23\/as-the-2026-midterms-approach-economy-is-front-and-center\/\" target=\"_blank\" title=\"https:\/\/www.pewresearch.org\/politics\/2026\/07\/23\/as-the-2026-midterms-approach-economy-is-front-and-center\/\" class=\"themeColorForLinks\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Pew Research Center poll <\/a>finds the economy, cost of living and affordability are thetop issues they want to hear candidates running in Congressional elections talk about in their campaigns.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"WASHINGTON (TNND) \u2014 The number of Americans filing for unemployment just reached a new low not seen in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":567006,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[72,113,1961,61,1095,60,14059,115093,20673,106142,4162,2237],"class_list":["post-567005","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-federal-reserve","tag-ie","tag-inflation","tag-ireland","tag-jobless-claims","tag-midterm-elections","tag-oil-prices","tag-pew-research","tag-tariffs","tag-unemployment"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/567005","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=567005"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/567005\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/567006"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=567005"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=567005"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=567005"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}