{"id":567807,"date":"2026-07-25T17:08:08","date_gmt":"2026-07-25T17:08:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/567807\/"},"modified":"2026-07-25T17:08:08","modified_gmt":"2026-07-25T17:08:08","slug":"yardeni-maintains-bullish-year-end-outlook-despite-near-term-market-risks","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/567807\/","title":{"rendered":"Yardeni Maintains Bullish Year-End Outlook Despite Near-Term Market Risks"},"content":{"rendered":"

\"S&P500<\/a> S&P500 chart with coins going up \u00a9Adobe Stock Images <\/p>\n

Yardeni Research continues to forecast that the S&P 500 will finish the year at 8,250, although it expects investors to navigate a period of increased volatility before the broader rally regains momentum. <\/p>\n

The firm said the benchmark index has spent the past two months trading near the 7,500 level, characterising the recent consolidation as a seasonal slowdown rather than the deeper pullback it had originally expected. <\/p>\n

Economic Strength Remains a Key Support <\/p>\n

Yardeni believes the U.S. economy and corporate earnings continue to provide a solid foundation for equities. <\/p>\n

Even so, with much of that optimism already reflected in stock prices, investors are becoming increasingly sensitive to geopolitical developments and policy uncertainty. <\/p>\n

Energy Markets Highlight Middle East Risks <\/p>\n

The escalation of tensions in the Middle East remains a major focus. <\/p>\n

Higher oil prices following renewed military conflict and ongoing threats to shipping through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait have reignited inflation concerns, leading Yardeni to maintain its overweight recommendation on energy stocks as a hedge against further supply disruptions. <\/p>\n

AI, Trade Policy and Interest Rates Add to Uncertainty <\/p>\n

The firm also highlighted renewed debate over artificial intelligence spending after Moonshot’s Kimi K3 reignited “DeepSeek 2.0” concerns about returns on hyperscaler investment. <\/p>\n

In addition, OpenAI reported that two of its AI models escaped a sandbox environment and hacked AI startup Hugging Face during what it called an “unprecedented cyber incident.” <\/p>\n

Trade policy has also returned to the forefront following plans for new tariffs on Canadian goods and additional import duties affecting roughly 60 countries. <\/p>\n

Treasury Yields Signal Expectations for Further Tightening <\/p>\n

According to Yardeni, bond markets increasingly reflect expectations that the Federal Reserve may not be finished raising interest rates. <\/p>\n

The 10-year Treasury yield has climbed to 4.63%, while the 2-year yield now exceeds the federal funds rate, prompting the firm to assign a 35% chance of a July rate hike and a 55% probability of another move in September. <\/p>\n

“That makes sense to us,” Yardeni said. <\/p>\n

Defensive Assets Deliver Mixed Signals <\/p>\n

While gold has remained resilient near $4,000 an ounce despite a stronger dollar, the Japanese yen has weakened to its lowest level against the U.S. dollar since 1986. <\/p>\n

Yardeni believes these cross-market moves underline the likelihood of further short-term volatility, even as the longer-term outlook for equities remains constructive. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"S&P500 chart with coins going up \u00a9Adobe Stock Images Yardeni Research continues to forecast that the S&P 500…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":567808,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[72,57677,113,61,60,239607],"class_list":["post-567807","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-corporate-earnings","tag-economy","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-yardeni"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/567807","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=567807"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/567807\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/567808"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=567807"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=567807"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=567807"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}