Relative Oceanic Ni\u00f1o Index<\/a>, or RONI, which takes that broader warming trend into consideration. Even using that handicap, however, this El Ni\u00f1o is on track to be unprecedented.\n <\/p>\n\n \u201cThis is a genuinely remarkable event,\u201d said University of California climate scientist Daniel Swain in a YouTube briefing on El Ni\u00f1o broadcast this week.\n <\/p>\n
\n \u201cWe\u2019re already at record-breaking or record-tying territory now, and we\u2019re expected to skyrocket,\u201d he said.\n <\/p>\n
\n The effects of each El Ni\u00f1o tend to be unique, and society is in uncharted territory with this one. Never has there been an El Ni\u00f1o this intense, nor has a powerful El Ni\u00f1o taken place against a background climate that was as hot as it is now. These factors make its impacts somewhat of a wild card, experts say, with the effects of global warming acting in concert with El Ni\u00f1o to heighten the severity of heat waves and other disasters.\n <\/p>\n
\n Just because the Super El Ni\u00f1o is expected to be record-strong does not mean that its impacts will be markedly worse or are guaranteed to occur in most of the locations that are typically affected, NOAA forecasters cautioned in their update.\n <\/p>\n
\n However, it does increase the odds of typical El Ni\u00f1o impacts, particularly in the fall and winter months when its influence on the weather in the Northern Hemisphere peaks.\n <\/p>\n
\n In the US, this can mean unusually wet conditions from California across the southern tier of the country, all the way to Florida. In addition, El Ni\u00f1o winters tend to be milder and drier than average in parts of the Midwest.\n <\/p>\n
\n El Ni\u00f1o boosts global average temperatures, with the El Ni\u00f1o signal riding on top of the human-caused global warming trend, like an ascending escalator. El Ni\u00f1o events are the steps upwards, while human-caused climate change is the longer-term, steady upward trend of the escalator.\n <\/p>\n
\n Because of the strength of this El Ni\u00f1o, it is virtually certain that 2027 will set a record for the hottest year on record, and possible that 2026 will as well.\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"There is a nearly 70% chance that the building Super El Ni\u00f1o will be the strongest such event…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":592713,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[246,61,60,82],"class_list":["post-592712","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-environment","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/592712","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=592712"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/592712\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/592713"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=592712"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=592712"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=592712"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}