{"id":594776,"date":"2026-08-16T06:30:08","date_gmt":"2026-08-16T06:30:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/594776\/"},"modified":"2026-08-16T06:30:08","modified_gmt":"2026-08-16T06:30:08","slug":"machine-learning-coffies-hears-sunspots-before-we-can-see-them","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/594776\/","title":{"rendered":"Machine Learning COFFIES \u201cHears\u201d Sunspots Before We Can See Them"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>In this age of neural net \u201cAI\u201d, even the most skeptical of Butlerians have to agree that these machine learning models can be very, very good at pattern recognition if nothing else. NASA is on the same page, and to take advantage of that pattern recognition, they\u2019ve built a machine learning module called COFFIES, which stands for<a href=\"https:\/\/science.nasa.gov\/science-research\/heliophysics\/nasas-coffies-uses-ai-to-predict-storm-causing-active-regions-on-sun\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\"> Consequence Of Fields and Flows in the Interior and Exterior of the Sun<\/a>, because at NASA everything is an acronym, or at least a backronym. Like most such names, this one is at least vaguely descriptive: the model is trying to predict what\u2019s going on in the material flows and magnetic fields deep within our local star, and using those inferences is able to predict active regions\u2013 that\u2019s sunspots to us chickens \u2014 up to 12 hours before they visibly form.<\/p>\n<p>The measurements used here are indirect \u2014\u00a0 we can\u2019t chart the magnetohydrodynamic snarls deep inside a star directly, but we can measure the magnetic field and acoustic waves at and above the surface. You could say the model \u201chears\u201d sunspots forming. Like all such models, it\u2019s a bit of a black box, but heliophysicists may be able to use its predictions to help them understand their own, organic understanding of the big ball of plasma to which we all owe our lives.<\/p>\n<p>This model is thus one of the better things to come out of the \u201cAI\u201d revolution\u2013 nobody is going to <a href=\"https:\/\/hackaday.com\/2026\/04\/08\/are-we-surrendering-our-thinking-to-machines\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">give over their thinking to the machine<\/a> and stop trying to understand the Sun, and the few hours of extra warning COFFIES might potentially provide before the <a href=\"https:\/\/hackaday.com\/2019\/01\/22\/the-1859-carrington-event\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">next Carrington Event-class<\/a> geomagnetic storm could prove invaluable, especially since<a href=\"https:\/\/hackaday.com\/2026\/06\/17\/an-orbital-stormwall-could-mitigate-the-next-carrington-event\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> a flare-blocking Storm wall<\/a> remains a theoretical exercise at best. If you are interested in the sun, COFFIES has an interesting YouTube channel and, as you can see in a recent video, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=eSAKDojUk64\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">they are doing a lot with AI<\/a>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"In this age of neural net \u201cAI\u201d, even the most skeptical of Butlerians have to agree that these&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":594777,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7],"tags":[61,60,82],"class_list":["post-594776","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-science","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/594776","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=594776"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/594776\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/594777"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=594776"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=594776"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=594776"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}