{"id":620379,"date":"2026-09-10T13:04:20","date_gmt":"2026-09-10T13:04:20","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/620379\/"},"modified":"2026-09-10T13:04:20","modified_gmt":"2026-09-10T13:04:20","slug":"weatherwatch-ai-model-beats-standard-methods-at-predicting-cyclones-hurricanes","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/620379\/","title":{"rendered":"Weatherwatch: AI model beats standard methods at predicting cyclones | Hurricanes"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Google\u2019s WeatherNext AI model is better than existing systems at forecasting cyclones, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10953-2\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a paper<\/a> published in Nature.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The AI-based technology gives an extra day of warning, providing a three-day forecast for hurricanes or typhoons that is as accurate as previous two-day predictions.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">But this is just one AI tool transforming weather forecasting, part of a gradual shift that has been gaining momentum over the past year.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Numerical forecasting dates back more than a century to Weather Prediction By Numerical Process, a book by Lewis Fry Richardson, who was a pioneering Met Office mathematician. At that time, the calculations had to be carried out by hand. It took more than six weeks to generate a daily forecast, making the method impractical until the introduction of computers. Even with modern supercomputers, processing power can still be a limiting factor.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">AI sidesteps this, because rather than having to make detailed calculations like physics models, it develops predictions based on patterns learned from training data.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">AI-based systems now rival conventional models for forecasting on several scales, especially longer-term predictions. And while they are not necessarily superior, they can produce comparable forecasts faster and at lower cost.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">There is resistance to AI in many areas. In weather forecasting though, it is generally <a href=\"https:\/\/wmo.int\/resources\/wmo-bulletin\/wmo-bulletin-vol-74-2-2025\/forecasting-future-role-of-artificial-intelligence-transforming-weather-prediction-and-policy\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">being welcomed<\/a> as a useful new capability.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Google\u2019s WeatherNext AI model is better than existing systems at forecasting cyclones, according to a paper published in&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":620380,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[220,218,219,61,60,80],"class_list":["post-620379","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-artificial-intelligence","tag-ai","tag-artificial-intelligence","tag-artificialintelligence","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-technology"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620379","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=620379"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/620379\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/620380"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=620379"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=620379"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=620379"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}