{"id":621713,"date":"2026-09-11T19:20:17","date_gmt":"2026-09-11T19:20:17","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/621713\/"},"modified":"2026-09-11T19:20:17","modified_gmt":"2026-09-11T19:20:17","slug":"social-security-cola-for-2027-may-be-highest-in-3-years-estimates","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/621713\/","title":{"rendered":"Social Security COLA for 2027 may be highest in 3 years: Estimates"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>People shop for groceries at a supermarket in Manhattan on Aug. 25, 2026 in New York City.<\/p>\n<p>Angela Weiss | AFP | Getty Images<\/p>\n<p>The Social Security <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/08\/27\/social-security-claim-cola.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">cost-of-living adjustment<\/a> for 2027 may be around 3.5% to 3.6%, according to new estimates based on government inflation data \u2014 which would push the annual adjustment to the highest in three years.<\/p>\n<p>In 2026, around 75 million Social Security and Supplemental Security Income beneficiaries saw a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssa.gov\/news\/en\/press\/releases\/2025-10-24.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">2.8% boost<\/a> to their benefits, according to the Social Security Administration.<\/p>\n<p>The <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/id\/10000899\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Social Security<\/a> COLA for 2027 may be 3.5%, factoring in the latest<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/09\/11\/cpi-inflation-breakdown-august-2026.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"> consumer price index data<\/a> released on Friday, according to Mary Johnson, an independent Social Security and Medicare policy analyst. In August, Johnson had estimated the COLA may be 3.4%.<\/p>\n<p>Johnson said how\u00a0the projected COLA\u00a0might change\u00a0will depend on volatile oil prices. Oil prices have had a significant <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/09\/11\/cpi-inflation-report-august-2026.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">impact on inflation<\/a> since the Iran war began.<\/p>\n<p>Read more CNBC personal finance coverage<\/p>\n<p>The Senior Citizens League now projects a 3.5% Social Security COLA, down from the 3.6% increase it had estimated last month. That latest estimate would increase average monthly benefit checks by $67.90, according to the nonpartisan senior group.<\/p>\n<p>Meanwhile, AARP now forecasts a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.aarp.org\/social-security\/cola-2027-increase-estimate\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">3.6% Social Security COLA<\/a> for 2027, which would increase the average retired worker&#8217;s benefit by $75 per month, the nonprofit representing Americans age 50 and over said on Friday. That is up from the 3.5% COLA that AARP had estimated in August.<\/p>\n<p>In the past decade, the Social Security COLA has ranged from 0% in 2016 to 8.7% in 2023, the highest increase in four decades,\u00a0due\u00a0to rising inflation. The COLA has\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.ssa.gov\/news\/en\/press\/releases\/2025-10-24.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">averaged about 3.1%<\/a> over the past 10 years, the Social Security Administration said in October.<\/p>\n<p><a id=\"headline0\"\/>When to expect Social Security 2027 COLA news<\/p>\n<p>The official Social Security COLA for 2027 will include one more month of government inflation data. The Social Security Administration typically announces the following year&#8217;s change in October.<\/p>\n<p>The Social Security COLA is determined by the percentage increase in third-quarter inflation data from the prior year to the current year. <\/p>\n<p>The calculation is based on a subset of the consumer price index, known as the Consumer Price Index for Urban Wage Earners and Clerical Workers, or CPI-W. The CPI-W in August increased 3.5% over the past 12 months, according to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/cpi.nr0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">data<\/a> released by the Bureau of Labor Statistics on Friday. <\/p>\n<p>The broader consumer price index <a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnbc.com\/2026\/09\/11\/cpi-inflation-report-august-2026.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">was up 3.4%<\/a> over the past 12 months as the cost of goods and services climbed in August.<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"InlineVideo-videoThumbnail\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/108361737-17891302741789130271-48309947246-1080pnbcnews.jpg\" alt=\"Consumer prices rose 0.4% in August, as expected; core inflation was higher than estimated\"\/><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"People shop for groceries at a supermarket in Manhattan on Aug. 25, 2026 in New York City. Angela&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":621714,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[14],"tags":[72,122,8574,176,22500,61,1095,60,14840,1259,174,33170,23956,33171,175,10684,22496,9198,1544,415,1615,7702,22497],"class_list":["post-621713","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-personal-finance","tag-business","tag-business-news","tag-consumer-prices","tag-finance","tag-government-pensions-and-social-security","tag-ie","tag-inflation","tag-ireland","tag-labor-economy","tag-national-security","tag-personal-finance","tag-personal-income","tag-personal-saving","tag-personal-spending","tag-personalfinance","tag-prices","tag-retiree-finances","tag-retirees","tag-retirement-planning","tag-social-issues","tag-social-security","tag-u-s-economy","tag-u-s-social-security-administration"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621713","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=621713"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/621713\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/621714"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=621713"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=621713"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=621713"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}