{"id":627392,"date":"2026-09-17T10:46:15","date_gmt":"2026-09-17T10:46:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/627392\/"},"modified":"2026-09-17T10:46:15","modified_gmt":"2026-09-17T10:46:15","slug":"scientists-have-worked-it-out-when-earth-will-run-out-of-oxygen-and-its-sooner-than-we-thought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/627392\/","title":{"rendered":"Scientists have worked it out when Earth will run out of oxygen \u2013\u00a0and it&#8217;s sooner than we thought"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>For obvious reasons, it&#8217;s impossible to imagine life on Earth without oxygen. But will it ever run out? And if so, how long will our planet continue to have oxygen?<\/p>\n<p>There are a few scenarios in which we could imagine the end of life on Earth: Climate change, rising CO2, an asteroid impact, the steady brightening of the Sun.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1119\" height=\"768\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/05-Apollo-Earth-image-AS10-34-5013-4d12ccc-e1647269477586.jpeg\" alt=\"A view of Earth, our oxygen-rich blue planet, captured during Apollo 10, 18 May 1969. Credit: NASA \/ restored by Toby Ord\" class=\"wp-image-99598\"\/>A view of Earth, our oxygen-rich blue planet, captured during Apollo 10, 18 May 1969. Credit: NASA \/ restored by Toby Ord<\/p>\n<p>Or what about in about 6 billion years, when our <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/what-will-happen-when-our-sun-dies\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Sun begins to expand <\/a>and will likely swallow the inner planets of the Solar System, including our own?<\/p>\n<p>A group of scientists worked out the most likely cause of Earth becoming uninhabitable, and they say it will be a result of our planet losing its oxygen-rich atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p>They used computer models to help them calculate when Earth will run out of oxygen.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/sun-swell-red-giant-61ff2d2.jpg\" alt=\"A star like our Sun swelling into a red giant and engulfing its orbiting planets. Credit: Stocktrek Images\/Tomasz Dabrowski \/ Getty Images\" class=\"wp-image-109028\"\/>A star like our Sun swelling into a red giant and engulfing its orbiting planets. Credit: Stocktrek Images\/Tomasz Dabrowski \/ Getty Images<br \/>\nHow did our planet get oxygen?<\/p>\n<p>Scientists point to the &#8216;Great Oxidation Event&#8217; as the moment when the levels of oxygen in Earth&#8217;s atmosphere and oceans began to rise significantly.<\/p>\n<p>This happened around 2.5 billion years ago and, while the exact cause is debated, it&#8217;s thought that single-celled organisms are largely responsible for the Great Oxidation Event.<\/p>\n<p>Whatever the cause, this was a key epoch in the evolution of Earth, producing breathable oxygen that would <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/earth-only-planet-life\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">make our planet habitable<\/a> for a variety of larger organisms.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"776\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/oxygen-earth-ocean.jpg\" alt=\"The Great Oxidation Event made Earth's atmosphere and oceans oxygen-rich about 2.5 billion years ago. Credit: Holger Leue \/ Getty Images\" class=\"wp-image-169788\"\/>The Great Oxidation Event made Earth&#8217;s atmosphere and oceans oxygen-rich about 2.5 billion years ago. Credit: Holger Leue \/ Getty Images<br \/>\nThe end of oxygen on Earth?<\/p>\n<p>Earth won&#8217;t have an oxygen rich atmosphere forever, scientists say.<\/p>\n<p>While it&#8217;s impossible to predict the future, scientists are able to use computer models to analyse a variety of different scenarios and calculate how long Earth might continue to have an oxygen-rich atmosphere.<\/p>\n<p>To examine how Earth&#8217;s atmosphere will evolve, Kazumi Ozaki, Assistant Professor at Toho University and Christopher Reinhard, Associate Professor at Georgia Institute of Technology, created a model of Earth on a computer to simulate climate and biochemical processes.<\/p>\n<p>The study, published in Nature Geoscience, found the future lifespan of Earth&#8217;s oxygen-rich atmosphere is 1 billion years.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;For many years, the lifespan of Earth&#8217;s biosphere has been discussed based on scientific knowledge about the steady brightening of the Sun and global carbonate-silicate geochemical cycle,&#8221; says Ozaki.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;One of the corollaries of such a theoretical framework is a continuous decline in atmospheric CO2 levels and global warming on geological timescales.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"800\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/Gd4-bPzWkAAQ6Jv-copy.jpg\" alt=\"Star trails and the trails of lights on Earth, as seen from the Space Station by NASA astronaut Don Pettit. Credit: NASA\/Don Pettit\" class=\"wp-image-165160\"\/>Star trails and the trails of lights on Earth, as seen from the Space Station by NASA astronaut Don Pettit. Earth&#8217;s atmopsheric airglow is visible on the horizon. Credit: NASA\/Don Pettit<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s generally thought Earth&#8217;s biosphere will come to an end in 2 billion years due to the combination of overheating and CO2 scarcity for photosynthesis.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;If true, one can expect atmospheric O2 levels will also eventually decrease in the distant future. However, it remains unclear exactly when and how this will occur.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Clearly, running a computer model to accurately predict what will happen to Earth in the next few billion years comes with its own problems.<\/p>\n<p>In order to conclude with a certain probability what might happen, Ozaki ran the computer simulation over 400,000 times, varying different aspects of the model each time.<\/p>\n<p>He found that Earth&#8217;s oxygen-rich atmosphere will last for another 1 billion years.<\/p>\n<p>After this time, &#8216;rapid deoxygenation&#8217; will occur, and our atmosphere will be reminiscent of early Earth before the Great Oxidation Event, 2.5 billion years ago.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The atmosphere after the great deoxygenation is characterised by an elevated methane, low-levels of CO2, and no ozone layer. The Earth system will probably be a world of anaerobic life forms,&#8221; says Ozaki.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"1200\" height=\"507\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/biosignatures.jpg\" alt=\"Astronomers can detect biosignatures to determine whether a planet may host life.\" class=\"wp-image-154691\"\/>Astronomers can detect biosignatures to determine whether a planet may host life.<br \/>\nLife beyond Earth<\/p>\n<p>While giving us a valuable insight into the timespan for life on Earth, the study has more cosmic implications, too.<\/p>\n<p>Oxygen is a key &#8216;<a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/biosignatures-exoplanets\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">biosignature<\/a>&#8216; that astronomers look for when observing planets beyond our Solar System, known as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.skyatnightmagazine.com\/space-science\/exoplanets\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">exoplanets<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>A biosignature is a chemical detected in the atmosphere of a distant planet that could indicate biological processes at play: in other words, life.<\/p>\n<p>The study suggests Earth&#8217;s oxygenated atmosphere is not a permanent feature, and could even account for as little as 20\u201330% of Earth&#8217;s history.<\/p>\n<p>So if an extra-terrestrial species were looking for signs of life on Earth, what&#8217;s the chance they would be observing our planet during the time when oxygen was abundant in the atmosphere and life flourished on the ground?<\/p>\n<p>Similarly, what are the chances that we ourselves are pointing our telescopes at distant planets and catching them at the point in their history when biosignatures are detectable?<\/p>\n<p>The authors of this study say it shows astronomers need to consider biosignatures that are applicable to planets with little or no oxygen, if we&#8217;re to increase our chances of finding life beyond Earth.<\/p>\n<p>Read the full paper at <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41561-021-00693-5\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\">www.nature.com\/articles\/s41561-021-00693-5<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"For obvious reasons, it&#8217;s impossible to imagine life on Earth without oxygen. But will it ever run out?&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":627393,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[61,60,82,247],"class_list":["post-627392","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-space","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-science","tag-space"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/627392","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=627392"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/627392\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/627393"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=627392"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=627392"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=627392"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}