{"id":628948,"date":"2026-09-18T22:00:24","date_gmt":"2026-09-18T22:00:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/628948\/"},"modified":"2026-09-18T22:00:24","modified_gmt":"2026-09-18T22:00:24","slug":"british-home-price-increases-to-lag-inflation-this-year-and-next-reuters-poll","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/628948\/","title":{"rendered":"British home price increases to lag inflation this year and next: Reuters poll"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">By Jonathan Cable  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">LONDON, Sept 18 (Reuters) &#8211; British home prices will rise less than previously expected, achieving just 1.3% gains this year as a challenging economic environment stops people from moving while those renting properties \u200cwill face steeper increases, a Reuters poll found.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Next year the average cost of buying a home will increase \u200c2.0% while in 2028 it will rise 3.3%, according to median forecasts in the September 7 to 18 poll of 16 property market experts. Forecasts \u200bfor 2027 ranged from no change to a 3.5% rise.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">A June survey had predicted a 1.8% rise this year and 3.0% in both next year and 2028.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">&#8220;Elevated mortgage rates and a lack of stimulus mean we expect prices will remain broadly flat. We could see some modest increases in prices start to appear in 2027,&#8221; Marcus Dixon at JLL said.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The Bank of England left \u200cborrowing costs unchanged on Thursday but Governor \u2060Andrew Bailey explicitly warned that prolonged conflict in the Middle East may require tighter policy.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">On Wednesday the US Federal Reserve lifted its key interest rate and flagged more hikes were to come as \u2060did the European Central Bank last week.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Britain&#8217;s overall inflation accelerated to a five-month high of 3.1% in August, official figures showed on Wednesday. It was expected to average 3.1% this year before dropping to 2.5% in 2027 and 1.9% in 2028, a separate Reuters poll \u200bshowed.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Signalling \u200ba lack of desire to move, lenders approved the fewest mortgages \u200bfor house purchase since January 2024 in July, according \u200cto BoE data at the start of this month.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">A slowdown in the housing market appears to be levelling off as measures of buyer demand and agreed sales moved away from recent lows, the Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors said earlier this month.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">But Barratt Redrow \u2014 the country&#8217;s biggest homebuilder \u2014 lowered its home completions target on Wednesday, echoing wider strains as planning bottlenecks and cautious buyers weigh on the sector.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">In London, prices will fall 1.4% this year before recouping some of those losses \u200cand rising 0.9% in 2027, the poll found. Those forecasts were also \u200bweaker than June&#8217;s survey.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">The average price of a home in London was \u00a3646,451 ($864,176) \u200bin August, according to the latest house price index \u200bpublished by Rightmove, making buying a property out of reach for many \u2014 especially first-time buyers.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">RENTERS  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">Nationwide \u200crental prices will rise 3.0% this year and next. \u200bThey will increase 2.8% in \u200b2028, the poll said.  <\/p>\n<p class=\"text text-block paragraph text-left neo-font-paragraph-xl-reg  yf-18d6y07\" style=\"text-decoration: none; font-style: normal; text-transform: none; text-align: inherit; font-variant-numeric: normal;\">&#8220;Fewer landlords are letting out property, shrinking rental supply. At the same time, high borrowing costs are pricing many would-be buyers out of the market, pushing them into renting instead,&#8221; Liam Daly at CEBR \u200bsaid.  <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"By Jonathan Cable LONDON, Sept 18 (Reuters) &#8211; British home prices will rise less than previously expected, achieving&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":628949,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[267086,72,113,61,60,267085,17373],"class_list":["post-628948","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-british-home-prices","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-renting-properties","tag-reuters-poll"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628948","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=628948"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/628948\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/628949"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=628948"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=628948"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=628948"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}