{"id":631185,"date":"2026-09-21T07:14:11","date_gmt":"2026-09-21T07:14:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/631185\/"},"modified":"2026-09-21T07:14:11","modified_gmt":"2026-09-21T07:14:11","slug":"how-saudi-oil-scientists-ended-up-working-on-the-worlds-most-important-climate-reports-fossil-fuels","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/631185\/","title":{"rendered":"How Saudi oil scientists ended up working on the world\u2019s most important climate reports | Fossil fuels"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">On her first day as an expert author on the world\u2019s most important climate reports, Prof Julia Steinberger knew nobody else, so she sat down at a stranger\u2019s table for breakfast.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cHi, I\u2019m Julia. I\u2019m from the University of Lausanne,\u201d she said. The man across the table replied: \u201cI\u2019m Mustafa Babiker. I work with Saudi <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/business\/aramco\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Aramco<\/a>.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Aramco, Saudi Arabia\u2019s state oil company, is <a href=\"https:\/\/carbonmajors.org\/Entities\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">responsible for<\/a> more of the carbon emissions driving the escalating climate crisis than any other company in history, and the kingdom has long been a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/nov\/15\/170000-a-minute-why-saudi-arabia-is-the-biggest-blocker-of-climate-action\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">major blocker of climate action<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Wasn\u2019t that a conflict of interest, Steinberger asked. The UN\u2019s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), on which they both now sat, produces the reports that underpin UN climate negotiations and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dcceew.gov.au\/climate-change\/international-climate-action\/intergovernmental-panel\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">inform<\/a> national climate policy around the world. No, Steinberger recalls Babiker saying: he had declared the relationship on the IPCC\u2019s conflict of interest form. \u201cThat didn\u2019t seem to me a very good answer, but he was friendly and we had a very nice breakfast.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Dr Babiker has worked for Aramco for 20 years. His appointment as a coordinating lead author for the IPCC\u2019s coming Seventh Assessment Report <a href=\"https:\/\/www.politico.eu\/article\/saudi-aramco-employee-named-lead-author-of-global-climate-report\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">sparked controversy<\/a> in the climate science community last year. But a Guardian investigation, carried out in partnership with a team of international journalists, has now revealed that Babiker is far from an isolated case.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">At least a dozen IPCC lead authors are employed by or linked to Saudi Aramco, Saudi institutions and other oil and gas interests, the investigation found. One IPCC vice-chair, part of the body\u2019s leadership group, also represents the kingdom at global climate negotiations as a government employee.<\/p>\n<p>Saudi Aramco\u2019s Ras Tanura oil refinery and oil terminal. Photograph: Ahmed Jadallah\/Reuters<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The IPCC is the world\u2019s most authoritative organisation on climate science, with its reports approved by 195 countries. They are produced by hundreds of lead authors from around the world with expertise ranging from atmospheric physics to the impacts of extreme weather.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The Guardian examined the 223 lead authors in <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/working-group\/wg3\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">working group III<\/a>, the part of the IPCC that assesses how emissions can be reduced or removed from the atmosphere. Its work evaluates emissions-cutting policies and technologies and so is directly relevant to the economic interests of countries and companies. Working groups I and II cover the science of climate change and its impacts.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The investigation identified 20 cases with strong conflict of interest concerns. More than half involved authors linked to Saudi institutions, a concentration that raises broader questions about the kingdom\u2019s influence on how the reports are produced.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The IPCC\u2019s conflict of interest policy has been described as \u201cnot fit for purpose\u201d by experts who have reviewed the Guardian\u2019s investigation.<\/p>\n<p>\u2018It\u2019s the first time we have so many Saudi-linked authors\u2019<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Another Aramco employee selected as an IPCC lead author is Dr <a href=\"https:\/\/orcid.org\/0000-0003-4839-4259\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Diego Armando Moya Pinta<\/a>, who <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/diegomoyapinta\/?locale=en\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">has worked<\/a> as an energy and sustainability scientist at the company since 2022. The IPCC <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.ipcc.ch\/report\/authors\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">lists<\/a> his affiliation only as Imperial College London, where he is an honorary senior research fellow.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">As one of 14 lead authors for the chapter on energy systems, Moya Pinta will assess options for reducing emissions across the energy sector, an area with direct implications for Aramco\u2019s business. \u201cI don\u2019t think there would be any question that a case like this would fit under the IPCC\u2019s conflict of interest policy,\u201d said Prof Kevin Elliott, an academic at Michigan State University specialising in research ethics.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Yet in March 2026, the IPCC\u2019s conflict of interest committee <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.ipcc.ch\/eventmanager\/documents\/97\/060320261151-INF.%207%20-%20Report%20of%20the%20COI%20Committee.pdf\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">reported finding no conflicts of interest<\/a> among any of the authors selected for the Seventh Assessment Report, the next edition of its biggest and most influential publication.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The disconnect between the committee\u2019s conclusion and the presence of authors from the world\u2019s largest petroleum company \u201craises questions about whether the IPCC conflict of interest policy is fit for purpose or being properly applied\u201d, said Rachel Kennerley, a senior campaigner at the Center for International Environmental Law.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Alongside the two Aramco employees, working group III includes <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/posts\/kapsarc-climate-share-7363238777529495553-qfa8\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">five authors<\/a> from the King Abdullah Petroleum Studies and Research Center (KAPSARC), a Saudi government-funded thinktank chaired by the country\u2019s energy minister and whose <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kapsarc.org\/about-kapsarc\/kapsarc-today\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">stated mission<\/a> is to \u201cadvance Saudi Arabia\u2019s energy sector\u201d.<\/p>\n<p>Saudi Arabia\u2019s energy minister, Abdulaziz bin Salman Al Saud, speaking at the Future Investment Initiative in Riyadh in 2024. Photograph: Hamad I Mohammed\/Reuters<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Little-known outside energy policy circles, KAPSARC has the same number of authors in working group III as Imperial College London and Vienna\u2019s International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, <a href=\"https:\/\/apps.ipcc.ch\/report\/authors\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">making<\/a> the three institutions the most represented in the group.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Another energy systems lead author, Prof Zain Yamani, at King Fahd University of Petroleum and Minerals, was conducting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/posts\/rawan-al-qahtani-4517472ba_excited-to-share-our-latest-publication-in-share-7486121447694782464-QGzC\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">joint research<\/a> with Aramco\u2019s New Energies Research Division during the past year while also serving in his IPCC role. The <a href=\"https:\/\/pubs.acs.org\/enfuem\/article-abstract\/40\/31\/17032\/5229473\/Amine-Functionalized-Covalent-Organic-Framework?redirectedFrom=fulltext\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">resulting paper<\/a>, co-authored with two Aramco scientists, was published in July. A further IPCC lead author, Dr <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/syed-masiur-rahman-phd-9200b024\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Syed Masiur Rahman<\/a>, works at the same university, which advertises <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kfupm.edu.sa\/about-us\/connect\/careers\/why-work-with-us\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">its proximity<\/a> to Saudi Aramco as offering \u201ccountless opportunities for collaboration and innovation\u201d between the organisations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">A lead author on the chapter on carbon dioxide removal technologies, Prof <a href=\"https:\/\/www.kaust.edu.sa\/en\/study\/faculty\/hussein-hoteit\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Hussein Hoteit<\/a> at the King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, was finalising <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10130-5#Ack1\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">research<\/a> based on a demonstration project for underground carbon storage at the time of his appointment to the IPCC. Saudi Aramco conceived the project and provided substantial financial support.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cIt\u2019s the first time we have so many Saudi-linked authors in the IPCC, above all in working group III,\u201d says Dr Kari De Pryck, a political scientist at the University of Geneva, who is an expert in the organisation\u2019s governance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">De Pryck sees the growing presence of Saudi-linked authors in the context of a broader shift in the kingdom\u2019s climate diplomacy. Its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/2025\/nov\/15\/170000-a-minute-why-saudi-arabia-is-the-biggest-blocker-of-climate-action\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">longstanding opposition to cutting fossil fuel burning<\/a> in UN climate negotiations is increasingly complemented by <a href=\"https:\/\/testws.kapsarc.org\/our-offerings\/publications\/the-role-and-deployment-timing-of-direct-air-capture-in-the-kingdom-of-saudi-arabia-s-net-zero-transition\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">the promotion<\/a> of technological climate solutions. \u201cWhen it comes to the IPCC, the Saudi strategy now focuses on <a href=\"http:\/\/google.com\/url?q=https:\/\/enb.iisd.org\/intergovernmental-panel-climate-change-ipcc-62-summary?utm&amp;sa=D&amp;source=docs&amp;ust=1789216168234093&amp;usg=AOvVaw2c9z5NnAQWxkVMyZ8jebwu\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">advocating<\/a> technologies like carbon capture that would limit the impact on its fossil fuel economy,\u201d says De Pryck.<\/p>\n<p>Saudi Aramco\u2019s Manifa oilfield. Photograph: Reuters<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">There is also <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/people\/malek-al-nory\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an overlap<\/a> between the kingdom\u2019s government and the IPCC\u2019s scientific leadership. Dr Malak Al-Nory, one of working group III\u2019s seven vice-chairs, is a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/malakalnory\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">senior adviser<\/a> to the Saudi energy ministry. Vice-chairs help oversee the assessment process and guide its scientific and technical work. They also evaluate authors\u2019 conflict of interest disclosures and can refer cases to the IPCC\u2019s conflict of interest committee.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The IPCC does not preclude government-employed scientists working on its reports. Unusually however, Al-Nory has continued to represent Saudi Arabia in UN climate negotiations while serving as a vice-chair. She was <a href=\"https:\/\/unfccc.int\/documents\/658582\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">part of the kingdom\u2019s delegation<\/a> to the Bonn Climate Change Conference in June 2026, underscoring concerns about the compatibility of her dual roles.<\/p>\n<p><a data-ignore=\"global-link-styling\" href=\"#EmailSignup-skip-link-26\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">skip past newsletter promotion<\/a><\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-vf9hps\">Sign up to Down to Earth<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-djbwnz\">The planet&#8217;s most important stories. Get all the week&#8217;s environment news &#8211; the good, the bad and the essential<\/p>\n<p><img src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/1789974851_836_500.jpg\" alt=\"\" loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"dcr-gx9601\"\/><\/p>\n<p id=\"EmailSignup-skip-link-26\" tabindex=\"0\" aria-label=\"after newsletter promotion\" role=\"note\" class=\"dcr-76akua\">after newsletter promotion<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cConflict of interest rules aren\u2019t an accusation that someone has done something wrong,\u201d said Tzeporah Berman, chair of the Fossil Fuel Non-Proliferation Treaty. \u201cThey exist to protect an institution\u2019s integrity by ensuring professional, financial or governmental interests that could reasonably be perceived to influence its work are disclosed and appropriately managed.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">\u201cIf the IPCC\u2019s conflict of interest system can look at an IPCC vice-chair working for the Saudi energy ministry, Aramco employees serving as lead authors, and this concentration of authors from Saudi state-linked institutions and find nothing that needs to be managed, then the policy is clearly not fit for purpose,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n<p>A \u2018gap\u2019 between policy and reality<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Until 2011, the IPCC had no institution-wide conflict of interest policy. That changed after a bruising credibility crisis in 2010, when mistakes in its major reports and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2010\/aug\/30\/rajendra-pachauri-un-climate-change-pressure-resign\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">allegations of financial conflicts<\/a> involving its then-chair prompted <a href=\"https:\/\/www.interacademies.org\/publication\/climate-change-assessments-review-processes-procedures-ipcc\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">an independent review<\/a> of the organisation\u2019s procedures.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The resulting <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ipcc.ch\/site\/assets\/uploads\/2024\/09\/IPCC_Conflict_of_Interest_Policy_AUG_2024.pdf\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">policy<\/a> states that its purpose is \u201cto protect the legitimacy, integrity, trust, and credibility of the IPCC\u201d. It adds: \u201cIt is essential that the work of the IPCC is not compromised by any conflict of interest for those who execute it.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Kennerley said there was a gap between the IPCC\u2019s written criteria and how it operated in practice. She said national representatives had raised questions over a lack of guidelines on how the policy was enforced, adding that another major problem was transparency. Authors\u2019 conflict of interest declarations are not made public, and the conflict of interest committee provides no detail about its deliberations.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">A spokesperson for the IPCC said no authors had been referred to its conflict of interest committee as all potential conflicts of interest reported could be resolved by the working group vice-chairs. \u201cThe strength of the IPCC lies in its commitment to diverse leadership and author teams, multiple expert and government review processes, and the inclusive nature of its assessments,\u201d the spokesperson said. \u201cThese safeguards collectively support the objectivity, integrity, authority and credibility of IPCC reports.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">They said details of the review of conflict of interest declarations were confidential due to data protection legislation. \u201cThe public can judge whether relevant interests have been adequately assessed and managed [by the] assessment reports themselves, which go through robust, multistage reviews which are [publicly] documented.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Regarding the high number of experts linked to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/world\/saudiarabia\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" data-component=\"auto-linked-tag\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Saudi Arabia<\/a>, the spokesperson said: \u201cNo individual author, institution, sector or country determines the conclusions of an IPCC report. Conclusions are developed collectively by large, internationally and scientifically diverse author teams.\u201d They said IPCC authors were leading experts in their fields and deliberately drawn from a wide range of backgrounds, including government and the private sector.<\/p>\n<p>Engineers and journalists at a Saudi Aramco plant in Hawiyah in 2021.  Photograph: Amr Nabil\/AP<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Hoteit, at King Abdullah University of Science and Technology, said: \u201cThere is no conflict of interest. My research and contributions related to the IPCC work were fully funded and supported by my employer, which is acknowledged in the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41586-026-10130-5\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">referenced paper<\/a>.\u201d The multi-author paper also states: \u201cWe thank Saudi Aramco for conceiving and conducting this pilot project and for providing substantial financial support.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Aramco declined to comment, and none of the other individuals or institutions responded to requests for comment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Eleven of the 20 cases of strong potential conflicts of interest identified by the Guardian investigation were Saudi-linked, with the rest spread across other nations and linked to issues including industry collaboration, fossil-fuel sponsorship of academic institutions\u2019 research, environmental campaigning and sustainable finance.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Dr Jeroen Oomen, a climate governance researcher at Utrecht University, said: \u201cThe IPCC\u2019s mandate as the arbiter of climate science has always been based on its independence and neutrality. The conflicts [reported in this investigation] risk damaging such a reputation.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Dr Adam Standring, a researcher at the Lisbon School of Economics and Management, said the IPCC was created to bridge science and politics, and it \u201cstraddles those two worlds\u201d. That hybrid role was fundamental to its success, he said, but also a source of problems.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">Berman said: \u201cAt a time when fossil fuel interests and some governments are fighting to delay the transition away from fossil fuels, the IPCC should be fiercely protecting its independence. That means strong disclosure requirements, meaningful conflict of interest rules and safeguards capable of addressing both actual conflicts and reasonable perceptions of conflict.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">The IPCC said there was no process currently under way to amend its conflict of interest policy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dcr-1s160rg\">This investigation was developed with the support of <a href=\"https:\/\/www.journalismfund.eu\/\" data-link-name=\"in body link\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Journalismfund Europe<\/a> and is also being published in L\u2019Humanit\u00e9 in France, Lucy sui mondi in Italy and Vis\u00e3o in Portugal.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"On her first day as an expert author on the world\u2019s most important climate reports, Prof Julia Steinberger&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":631186,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[22],"tags":[246,61,60,82],"class_list":["post-631185","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-environment","tag-environment","tag-ie","tag-ireland","tag-science"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/631185","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=631185"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/631185\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/631186"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=631185"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=631185"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/ie\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=631185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}