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If you are wondering whether VinFast Auto’s current share price reflects its true worth, you are not alone. This article walks through the key numbers that matter for value focused investors.
Over the past year the stock has fallen 15.0%, with a 2.3% decline over the last 7 days and a 1.2% decline over the last 30 days, while year to date it is down 0.9% from its last close of US$3.35.
Recent attention on VinFast Auto has centered on how its share price performance lines up with expectations for the business, as investors weigh the risks of a relatively young listed company against its long term ambitions. This backdrop helps explain why some traders are treating the recent share price moves as a sentiment reset rather than a clear signal on long term value.
On Simply Wall St’s valuation checks, VinFast Auto scores 2 out of 6 for value, as shown in its valuation score. Next we will look at how different methods such as multiples and discounted cash flow can frame that result, before finishing with a way of thinking about valuation that goes beyond any single model.
VinFast Auto scores just 2/6 on our valuation checks. See what other red flags we found in the full valuation breakdown.
A Discounted Cash Flow model estimates what a business could be worth today by projecting its future cash flows and then discounting those back into present value terms. It is essentially asking what those future cash flows are worth to you right now.
For VinFast Auto, the model used is a 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach based on cash flow projections in ₫. The latest twelve month free cash flow is a loss of ₫70.16 million. Analyst inputs and Simply Wall St extrapolations then project free cash flow through to 2035, with the 2030 estimate sitting at ₫23.93 million, of which ₫9.94 million is the discounted amount in today’s money.
When all projected cash flows are added and discounted, the model points to an estimated intrinsic value of US$4.01 per share, compared with the recent share price of US$3.35. That implies the shares trade at roughly a 16.4% discount to this particular DCF estimate.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests VinFast Auto is undervalued by 16.4%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 885 more undervalued stocks based on cash flows.
VFS Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026
Story Continues
For companies where earnings are weak or volatile, the P/S ratio is often more useful than P/E because it compares the share price to revenue, which tends to be more stable than profits. It helps you gauge how much investors are paying for each dollar of sales, which can be especially relevant for a business that is still building scale.
What counts as a normal or fair P/S ratio usually reflects how quickly investors expect revenue to grow and how much risk they see in the business. Higher growth expectations and lower perceived risk often go hand in hand with higher multiples; lower growth or higher risk usually means a lower P/S looks more appropriate.
VinFast Auto currently trades on a P/S of 3.04x, compared with an Auto industry average of 0.80x and a peer average of 1.78x. Simply Wall St’s Fair Ratio for VinFast Auto is 0.08x, which is its proprietary view of what a suitable P/S could be after considering factors like earnings growth, industry, profit margins, market cap and risk. This Fair Ratio aims to go further than simple peer or industry comparisons by tailoring the multiple to the company’s own profile. Since the current P/S of 3.04x is higher than the Fair Ratio of 0.08x, the stock screens as expensive on this metric.
Result: OVERVALUED
NasdaqGS:VFS P/S Ratio as at Jan 2026
P/S ratios tell one story, but what if the real opportunity lies elsewhere? Discover 1425 companies where insiders are betting big on explosive growth.
Earlier we mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation, so let us introduce you to Narratives, which are simply your own story about a company, tied directly to your view of its fair value, future revenue, earnings and margins.
On Simply Wall St, a Narrative is a clear link between what you believe about a business, the financial forecast that follows from that view, and the fair value that drops out at the end, all in one place on the Community page that is already used by millions of investors.
Instead of just looking at a single DCF or P/S number, you can use Narratives to see whether your fair value is above or below the current share price. This can help you decide whether you want to buy, hold or sell, and your view updates automatically as new information such as news or earnings becomes available.
For VinFast Auto, one investor might create a Narrative with a higher fair value based on optimistic assumptions for long term revenue and margins. Another might build a Narrative with a lower fair value that reflects more cautious expectations, and you can compare both side by side to see which story you find more convincing.
Do you think there’s more to the story for VinFast Auto? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
NasdaqGS:VFS 1-Year Stock Price Chart
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include VFS.
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