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With no single headline event driving fresh attention, Fox (FOXA) is on investors’ radar as they reassess its recent share performance and fundamentals, including revenue of US$16.474b and net income of US$2.035b.
See our latest analysis for Fox.
Fox’s recent trading has been relatively steady, with the share price at US$72.78 and a 90 day share price return of 12.58% sitting alongside a 1 year total shareholder return of 43.55%. This combination points to momentum that has been building over a longer period.
If Fox has you rethinking media exposure, it could also be a good moment to scan fast growing stocks with high insider ownership for other stocks showing strong trends and committed insiders.
With Fox trading close to analyst targets and its recent 1 year return already strong, the big question is whether the current valuation still leaves room for upside or if the market is already pricing in future growth.
Fox’s most followed narrative puts fair value at about $73.22, only slightly above the recent $72.78 close, which keeps the focus firmly on the assumptions behind that number.
Digital transformation efforts, while showing growth at Tubi, are relatively modest compared to major pure play streaming competitors; if Fox fails to scale its digital business as quickly as needed to offset declines in its linear business, long term top line growth and overall earnings will stagnate or decline.
Curious what is baked into that fair value? The narrative leans heavily on steady revenue, softer margins, and a different earnings multiple than today. The exact mix may surprise you.
Result: Fair Value of $73.22 (ABOUT RIGHT)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, there are still clear risks here, including ongoing subscriber declines and rising sports rights costs. These factors could pressure margins and challenge the current fair value story.
Find out about the key risks to this Fox narrative.
Our DCF model points to a fair value of $69.73 for Fox, while the current price sits at $72.78, which screens as overvalued on this measure. That sits awkwardly beside the narrative fair value of $73.22, so which set of assumptions do you trust more?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
FOXA Discounted Cash Flow as at Jan 2026
If you look at the numbers and come to a different conclusion, or simply prefer to test your own assumptions, you can build a fresh view in minutes by starting with Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Fox research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
If Fox has sharpened your thinking, do not stop there. Use the Simply Wall St screener to uncover fresh stock ideas that might fit your plan.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include FOXA.
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