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Celanese (CE) has caught investor attention after recent share price moves, with the stock showing a mix of strong short term returns and weaker longer term performance that raises fresh questions about valuation and risk.
See our latest analysis for Celanese.
The recent surge, including a 5.42% 1 day share price return and 30.17% year to date share price return at US$54.88, contrasts sharply with the 19.15% 1 year total shareholder return decline. This suggests momentum has picked up after a tougher stretch for long term holders.
If this move in Celanese has you rethinking where growth might come from next, it could be a good moment to broaden your search with 22 top founder-led companies.
With Celanese now trading around US$54.88, a value score of 5 and an estimated 53% intrinsic discount, the key question is whether this represents a genuine mispricing or a market that has already priced in future growth.
The most followed narrative pegs Celanese’s fair value at $51.50, slightly below the last close at $54.88, so the focus shifts to whether the earnings recovery story really underpins that gap.
Celanese’s investments in green chemistry and downstream product diversification position it to capture share as demand accelerates for sustainable materials driven by both tightening environmental regulation and increased consumer focus on circular solutions, supporting long-term top-line and margin expansion.
Curious what kind of earnings rebound and margin rebuild would need to sit behind a higher valuation than our DCF suggests today? The narrative leans on a profit turnaround, firmer pricing power and a lower future earnings multiple than many peers. If you want to see exactly how those moving parts are stitched together, the full story is worth your time.
Result: Fair Value of $51.50 (OVERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, this hinges on a fragile setup, with persistent overcapacity and weak demand in key acetyl and engineered materials markets, as well as elevated debt and interest costs that could cap flexibility.
Find out about the key risks to this Celanese narrative.
While the popular narrative sees Celanese as about 6.6% overvalued at a fair value of $51.50, our DCF model points the other way. It provides an estimate of $116.60, which implies that the current $54.88 price is trading at roughly a 53% discount. Which set of assumptions feels more realistic to you?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
CE Discounted Cash Flow as at Feb 2026
If you see the numbers differently or want to test your own assumptions against the same inputs, you can build a custom view in just a few minutes by starting with Do it your way
A great starting point for your Celanese research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
If you want to keep your momentum going, it makes sense to line up a few more candidates now instead of waiting for the next headline move.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include CE.
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