Get insights on thousands of stocks from the global community of over 7 million individual investors at Simply Wall St.
Nutanix (NTNX) has attracted fresh attention after a mixed share performance, with an 8.0% move over the past day contrasting with weaker returns over the past month and past 3 months.
In this context, investors are reassessing how the company’s current valuation lines up with its reported revenue of US$2.69b and net income of US$267.13m, alongside its global enterprise cloud footprint.
See our latest analysis for Nutanix.
Against this backdrop, Nutanix’s recent 8.0% one day share price return and 4.2% 7 day share price return sit alongside a 90 day share price return of an 18.8% decline and a 1 year total shareholder return of a 36.6% decline. This suggests shorter term momentum has cooled compared with its stronger 3 year and 5 year total shareholder returns of 61.7% and 47.0% respectively at the current share price of US$41.10.
If this kind of move has you rethinking your tech exposure, it could be a good moment to scan a focused list of 36 AI infrastructure stocks.
With Nutanix trading at US$41.10 alongside an indicated intrinsic value gap and a discount to analyst targets, the key question is whether the stock still offers a buying opportunity or whether markets are already pricing in future growth.
At $41.10 versus a narrative fair value of about $56.29, Nutanix is framed as materially undervalued, with that gap anchored on detailed revenue and earnings assumptions discounted at 8.87%.
Analysts expect earnings to reach $544.9 million (and earnings per share of $1.61) by about March 2029, up from $267.1 million today. However, there is a considerable amount of disagreement amongst the analysts, with the most bullish expecting $853.7 million in earnings and the most bearish expecting $397.9 million.
Want to see what kind of revenue runway and margin profile could support that earnings step up, and which valuation multiple the narrative leans on to tie it all together? The full story breaks down how growth, profitability and required returns interact to arrive at that fair value line in the sand.
Result: Fair Value of $56.29 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, weaker revenue visibility from server supply constraints, along with the risk of slower expansion within existing customers, could challenge the bullish earnings and valuation narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this Nutanix narrative.
While the narrative fair value of $56.29 implies Nutanix is undervalued, the current P/E of 40.8x tells a tougher story. It sits above the US Software industry at 30x and above the 34.7x fair ratio that our regression suggests the market could move toward. That premium points to higher valuation risk if growth or margins do not track expectations.
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
NasdaqGS:NTNX P/E Ratio as at Apr 2026
Mixed messages on value and growth are clear, so if this moves the stock onto your watchlist, take time to weigh both sides for yourself and check the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs.
If Nutanix is on your radar, do not stop there. A few minutes with the right screeners can surface opportunities you might regret missing later.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include NTNX.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com