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Asahi Group Holdings (TSE:2502) is back on investor radars after recent share price weakness, with the stock showing negative returns over the past week, month, past 3 months, year to date, and year.
At a last close of ¥1,558 and a market value of about ¥2.28t, the brewer and beverage group is set against a backdrop of reported annual revenue of ¥2,926,294m and net income of ¥155,563m.
See our latest analysis for Asahi Group Holdings.
The recent ¥1,558 share price comes after a 1-year total shareholder return decline of 17.64%, with shorter-term share price returns also weaker. This suggests that momentum has been fading and sentiment may be more cautious.
If you are weighing up what else to put on your radar, this can be a good moment to scan the market for other themes via 11 top founder-led companies
With a value score of 6, a reported intrinsic discount of 71.21% and a share price sitting below some analyst targets, the key question is simple: is Asahi undervalued today, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
At a last close of ¥1,558, Asahi Group Holdings trades on a P/E of 14.6x, which screens as good value compared with both peers and the wider Asian beverage sector.
The P/E ratio compares the current share price to earnings per share, so it effectively shows how much investors are paying for each unit of current earnings. For a mature brewer and beverage group with established brands in Japan, Europe, Oceania and Southeast Asia, this is a commonly watched yardstick because earnings are a key focus for many shareholders.
Here, the stock is described as good value relative to peer companies on a 20.2x average P/E, and also versus the Asian beverage industry on a 19.1x average P/E. Against an estimated fair P/E of 26.3x, the current 14.6x level sits well below where the market could potentially re rate if sentiment and assumptions shifted.
Explore the SWS fair ratio for Asahi Group Holdings
Result: Price-to-earnings of 14.6x (UNDERVALUED)
However, you still need to weigh risks such as ongoing share price weakness, with a 17.64% 1 year total return decline and a 3.52% 3 year total return decline.
Find out about the key risks to this Asahi Group Holdings narrative.
While the P/E of 14.6x points to good value, the SWS DCF model takes it further. With the share price at ¥1,558 versus an estimated future cash flow value of ¥5,412.32, this approach also suggests the stock is undervalued. However, how much weight should you put on long term cash flow assumptions?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
2502 Discounted Cash Flow as at Apr 2026
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Asahi Group Holdings for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 17 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.
With mixed signals on value and sentiment, the next step is to check the details for yourself and decide how the risk reward trade off looks in your own portfolio, starting with 5 key rewards and 1 important warning sign
If Asahi has you thinking about what else could fit your watchlist, this is the moment to cast the net wider and pressure test fresh ideas.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include 2502.T.
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