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Why Open Text (NasdaqGS:OTEX) is back on investors’ radar after its latest results
Open Text (NasdaqGS:OTEX) just posted fiscal third quarter earnings that combined higher revenue with a sharp jump in profit, beat analyst expectations, and arrived shortly after the appointment of a new chief executive.
See our latest analysis for Open Text.
The stock has reacted positively in the short term, with a 1 day share price return of 2.9% and a 7 day share price return of 4.6%. However, the year to date share price return of 25.4% and 1 year total shareholder return of 10.3% remain weak, suggesting sentiment is improving but longer term performance is still under pressure.
If you are reassessing your tech exposure after these results, it may be a good moment to look across the sector and see what else is setting up for a potential shift using our 39 AI infrastructure stocks
With earnings rising much faster than revenue and the stock still showing negative 1 year and multi year returns, the key question is whether Open Text is now undervalued or if the market is already pricing in future growth.
Price-to-Earnings of 13.5x: Is it justified?
Open Text is trading on a P/E of 13.5x, which screens as inexpensive compared to both peers and the wider US software industry at the last close of $23.69.
The P/E ratio compares the share price to earnings per share and is a common way to gauge how much investors are paying for each dollar of profit. For a mature software company with positive earnings and cash flows, it is often a useful shorthand for how the market is weighing current profitability against future expectations.
Here, several data points line up in the same direction. Open Text is flagged as trading at good value versus peers and the industry, and the P/E of 13.5x sits below the US software industry average of 29.3x and a peer average of 23.1x. It is also below an estimated fair P/E of 26.6x, which indicates the market is currently applying a lower earnings multiple than that fair value estimate.
Explore the SWS fair ratio for Open Text
Result: Price-to-Earnings of 13.5x (UNDERVALUED)
However, the weak 3 and 5 year total returns, together with modest 1.1% annual revenue growth, suggest the valuation case could be challenged if profitability momentum stalls.
Find out about the key risks to this Open Text narrative.
Another View: Cash Flows Paint an Even Cheaper Picture
The P/E points to a lowly rated stock, and our DCF model suggests Open Text at $23.69 is trading below an estimated future cash flow value of $47.93. That gap implies the market could be heavily discounting its cash generation, so what is driving that skepticism?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
OTEX Discounted Cash Flow as at May 2026
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Open Text for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 51 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match – so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Next Steps
The mix of low multiples, identified risks and potential rewards makes the picture anything but straightforward. It is worth checking the details for yourself and deciding how comfortable you are with that balance using the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs
Looking for more investment ideas?
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include OTEX.
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