AppLovin (APP) shares have taken investors on a ride lately. The stock saw a dip this week, giving back 5% over the last day and down 12% from last week. Despite these declines, it has posted gains of 8% for the past month and a remarkable 79% over the past 3 months.
See our latest analysis for AppLovin.
Zooming out, AppLovin’s 1-year total shareholder return is an eye-catching 314%, with momentum accelerating sharply in recent months. Moves like these suggest investors are warming up to its potential, even after short-term corrections.
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With such strong returns and robust growth, investors are left wondering whether AppLovin is still flying under the radar or if Wall Street has already captured all of its upside in the current price. Is there a real buying opportunity here?
With AppLovin’s fair value pegged at $613.59 by the most-followed narrative, the last close price of $600.32 is just a notch below, pointing to a slightly undervalued stance even after the recent rally.
*Expanded rollout of the self-service AXON ads manager and Shopify integration is expected to open AppLovin’s platform to a massive new base of small and mid-sized advertisers globally. This could dramatically increase advertiser count and drive sustained uplift in topline revenue.*
Want to know what turbocharges this valuation? The narrative leans on an ambitious acceleration in revenue and margin expansion, fueled by disruptive platform launches. The secret assumptions behind those projections might surprise you. Unlock the full story and discover what Wall Street could be missing.
Result: Fair Value of $613.59 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what’s behind the forecasts.
However, tighter global data privacy laws or a slowdown in mobile gaming could easily challenge AppLovin’s optimistic growth narrative in the future.
Find out about the key risks to this AppLovin narrative.
While the most popular narrative sees AppLovin as slightly undervalued, a closer look at its earnings ratio tells a different story. The stock is trading at 80.8 times earnings, compared to an industry average of 35.8 and a peer group average of 49.1. This is also well above a fair ratio of 56.9. This wide gap suggests investors may be pricing in a lot of optimism, raising the stakes if growth expectations are not met. Are these high multiples setting up risk, or could they be justified by future performance?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
NasdaqGS:APP PE Ratio as at Oct 2025
If you see things differently or want to dig into the numbers yourself, you can craft your own story in just a few minutes. Do it your way
A great starting point for your AppLovin research is our analysis highlighting 2 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Companies discussed in this article include APP.
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