Just over four years ago, No Time to Die, the twenty-fifth James Bond film and Daniel Craig’s last as the famous fictional spy, made its premiere. Yesterday also marked the thirtieth anniversary of the premiere of GoldenEye, Pierce Brosnan’s first outing as 007 and the start of the franchise’s long association with Omega, with Brosnan famously donning a gadget-filled Omega Seamaster Diver 300M in that film. And that got me wondering: who do the bookmakers currently tip to be the next Bond?
Four years on, and we still don’t have a clear answer on who’s taking up the mantle. There’s been plenty of speculation, though: as I reported back in May, Omega’s signing of English actor Aaron Taylor-Johnson as a brand ambassador seemed like an obvious sign that his confirmation as 007 was imminent. However, according to the most up-to-date odds from sports betting website VegasInsider, Taylor-Johnson isn’t currently the favourite.
L-R: Aaron Taylor-Johnson wearing the Omega Speedmaster Anniversary Series First Omega in Space, and Taylor-Johnson at Omega’s manufacture with Raynald Aeschlimann, President and CEO of Omega.
For years, VegasInsider has been tracking the next 007 odds from multiple bookmakers, creating an average of the most likely actors to follow in Daniel Craig’s footsteps, and for the first time ever, Callum Turner has overtaken Aaron Taylor-Johnson as the #1 most likely next James Bond with odds of +262 (or an implied probability of 27.6%), says VegasInsider.
Aaron Taylor-Johnson is in second place with odds of +280 (implied probability: 26.3%) to become the next 007, followed by Henry Cavill in third place (odds: +762, implied probability: 11.6%), Theo James in 4th place (odds: +964, implied probability: 9.4%) and Jack Lowden and Harris Dickinson are tied for 5th place to play James Bond with odds of +1534 (implied probability: 6.1%). In contrast, Eddie Redmayne – who has previously been speculated to be the next Bond and is also an Omega ambassador – has fallen out of the top 15 spots.
Callum Turner, age 35, is best known for his appearances in the Fantastic Beasts franchise, a Harry Potter spin-off.
“Callum Turner has been a steady presence in the Bond betting odds for years,” a VegasInsider spokesperson tells Time+Tide.
“Once considered an outside contender, he gradually worked his way into the top ten, and in recent months his momentum has only increased. Now, for the first time, he has overtaken Aaron Taylor-Johnson as the frontrunner to become the next 007 with odds of +262. Turner fits many of the qualities the producers are said to be seeking: he is British, his career is on the rise, and he isn’t a household name yet. That relative freshness could work strongly in his favour, as the Bond team has often preferred an actor who can grow into the role rather than someone who arrives with an established persona.”
Aaron Taylor-Johnson with a gold Omega Speedmaster at the NYC screening of Kraven the Hunter (2024).
“Still, Aaron Taylor-Johnson remains a formidable competitor. Though he has slipped to second place, his odds remain strong at +280 and just behind Turner’s. History suggests that this could be only a temporary dip – Taylor-Johnson has fallen from the top spot before, only to reclaim it weeks later. Over the past three years, he has proven the most consistent candidate, holding onto the #1 position for longer stretches than anyone else in the race,” they continue.
Henry Cavill’s role as a Longines ‘Ambassador of Elegance’ means he’s unlikely to be Bond, as he’d have to wear an Omega.
“Meanwhile, Henry Cavill continues to hold the third spot to become the next Bond with odds of +762 despite being outside the rumoured age range that the producers are targeting. At 42, he is older than some reports suggest they want, but fan enthusiasm for him remains high. It is also worth remembering that Daniel Craig was in his late 30s when he debuted in Casino Royale, and the rumoured criteria for the next Bond seem to shift quite often, so the age requirement might not be set in stone. Since the casting is allegedly set to start in 2026, the James Bond race remains wide open,” VegasInsider concludes.
My two cents? As much as I think Cavill would make a great Bond, I think it’s improbable: as we’ve previously discussed here at T+T, Cavill being signed as a Longines ambassador almost certainly precludes him from the role (this is why understanding the watch industry is important!) Turner kind of makes sense, but then, why hasn’t Omega signed him as an ambassador, too? I still think Taylor-Johnson is the most likely candidate. What I do know for certain is this: whoever becomes Bond will have a cool Omega watch on their wrist, which hopefully we enthusiasts will be able to acquire.
Hope you all have a wonderful weekend!
Jamie and the Time+Tide Team
Watch meme of the week: game over
This makes me want a pizza watch.
Wrist shot of the week: Chopard synchronicity
Check out this Chopard Alpine Eagle 41 XP TT being paired with a Chopard Ice Cube bracelet and ring that I spotted on the wrists of Chopard’s new Asia-Pacific Managing Director, Pierre-Ettore Millereau – I love the synchronicity of all those faceted surfaces, between the Alpine Eagle’s centre links and the Ice Cube pattern.
Time+Tide Shop pick of the week: Mido Multifort TV Big Date S01E02
Don’t touch that dial: Mido has returned with a Season One Episode 2 limited edition version of its Multifort TV Big Date. This model takes the ‘TV’ part of its name quite literally, swapping out the vertically brushed dial pattern standard to the collection for a multi-coloured, multi-textured dial that evokes a TV test card, also adding in a “pixel noise” effect. It’s a slightly different pattern to last year’s version, but the bigger change is that it now has a satin grey PVD case and matching bracelet, which is a finish we haven’t seen in the Multifort TV Big Date collection before. It also comes with two additional rubber straps – one in blue and one in yellow. Read Tom’s full review here.
The Mido Multifort TV Big Date S01E02 is available now from the Time+Tide Shop. Price: A$2,175
Our favourite Time+Tide coverage of the week
Pietro’s report from Geneva’s November 2025 auctions: from record breakers to hidden gems
Geneva during the auction season is a different beast – and the traditional watch press, usually in town for new watch fairs or events, is somehow less present (although our dashing European correspondent Pietro was there!), leaving space to vintage dealers and collectors. It is the time when they own the watch capital of the world, rivalling each other in knowledge, and are always happy to share their experience or their latest acquisition. It goes without saying, but the expectations were especially high for this weekend, with major auctions from the likes of Phillips, Sotheby’s, Christie’s and Antiquorum… Read Pietro’s full report (complete with exclusive photos of some of the hottest lots) here.
Will the third time be the charm for a revived Universal Genève?
In the nearly two years since Breitling announced their acquisition of the historical name, Universal Genève has been drip-feeding details about its comeback: a new website with in-depth storytelling, interviews by Georges Kern, a 2026 release date… The big-ticket items, however, were the two watch releases. First, a trio of piece unique Polerouters for the model’s 70th anniversary, and just last week, a reimagined collection of Nina Rindt Compaxes. Having unveiled these “new” models, I think we’ve seen what there is to see from the brand in terms of watches before the eventual revival this time next year – so, what do we want in 2026, and will it align with what we’re likely to see? Our resident UG superfan Borna shares his thoughts here.
Are Tudor watch movements in-house? What is Kenissi? Andrew explains all
What actually is an in-house movement? What is a manufacture calibre? What is the difference between an in-house calibre and a manufacture calibre, and what, then, does Tudor use? In this video, Andrew explores the nuanced distinction between “in-house” and “manufacture” movements in the context of Tudor, a fan-favourite watch brand that collaborates closely with the movement maker it founded, Kenissi. Tudor’s approach challenges traditional watchmaking labels by emphasising performance and value over terminology… But it’s worth explaining those nuances, so that’s what we’ve done. Watch our video on YouTube above.