Several coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are currently hurtling toward Earth, with the first due to arrive within 24 hours. The impacts could ring Earth’s magnetic field like a bell, triggering moderate (G2) geomagnetic storm conditions and pushing the northern lights farther south than usual.

NOAA space weather forecasters have issued a G2 (moderate) geomagnetic storm watch for March 19 (UTC) — which translates to late March 18 in North America — when the main bulk of the first CME is expected to arrive. G2 conditions could come about if the CME’s magnetic field is favorably aligned, or “geoeffective,” allowing auroras to dip into mid-latitudes. There is also a chance that strong (G3 conditions) could develop, which would see northern lights spread even farther south.

These active conditions may persist through March 21 as multiple CMEs are expected to arrive in quick succession. Aurora chasers, get those camera batteries charged and your alerts switched on — the next few nights could be very exciting.

Aurora forecast courtesy of NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center. (Image credit: Map: NOAA Space Weather Prediction Center, background aurora: Daisy Dobrijevic. Graphic created in Canva Pro.)

NOAA aurora forecast map, the following 16 U.S. states appear fully or partially above the aurora view line:

AlaskaNorth DakotaMinnesotaMontanaWisconsinSouth DakotaIdahoMaineVermontNew HampshireWashingtonIowaOregonNew YorkWyomingIllinois

But remember, auroras can be relatively unpredictable. The list is based on current forecast data at the time of publication, but if conditions strengthen, northern lights could reach much farther south than expected. Equally, if conditions don’t align, we could end up sitting in the dark with no auroras at all. Whether the incoming CMEs deliver impressive aurora shows or end in disappointment largely depends on their magnetic orientation when they hit Earth. If the CME’s magnetic field is aligned southward — a component known as Bz — it can link up with Earth’s magnetic field, allowing solar energy to stream into our atmosphere and fuel geomagnetic storms. But if it’s oriented northward, Earth’s magnetic field deflects much of that energy, and the show may never materialize.

Some CME’s contain both north- and south-facing fields, which can lead to patchy or fluctuating activity — keeping forecasters and aurora chasers on their toes. We won’t know the CME’s true magnetic orientation until it’s sampled directly by solar wind satellites like DSCOVR and ACE, positioned about a million miles from Earth.

NOAA’s 3-day forecast, geomagnetic storm activity is expected to be best at the following times:

Swipe to scroll horizontally

EDT

GMT

Activity

11 p.m. (March 18) – 2 a.m. (March 19)

0300-0600 (March 19)

Minor (G1) geomagnetic storming possible

2 a.m. – 8 a.m. (March 19)

0600-1200 (March 19)

Moderate (G2) geomagnetic storming possible


G2 geomagnetic storm watch issued by NOAA. (Image credit: NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center)

iOS and Android. However, any similar app should work well. I also use the “Space Weather Live” app, which is available on iOS and Android, to get a deeper understanding of whether the current space weather conditions are favorable for aurora sightings. Want to capture the perfect northern lights photo? Our how to photograph auroras guide can help.

Editor’s Note: If you snap a photo of the northern or southern lights and would like to share it with Space.com’s readers, send your photo(s), comments, and your name and location to spacephotos@space.com.