Quick Read
Disney (DIS) sits down 11% year to date while Q2 EPS beat estimates at $1.57, with operating income jumping 31% year over year.
Entertainment SVOD operating income surged 88%, pushing streaming margins above 10% as Disney+ and Hulu combined for 196M subscribers.
24/7 Wall St. rates Disney a BUY with a $110 price target, citing a 14x forward P/E against guided EPS growth of 12-16%.
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Disney (NYSE:DIS) has spent 2026 grinding sideways while the underlying business quietly accelerates. Shares are down 10.98% year to date, yet streaming margins just crossed double digits and FY26 EPS growth is guided at roughly 16%. That disconnect is the entire setup for our call.
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Our 24/7 Wall St. price target for Disney is $110.07, implying 8.68% upside from $101.28. We rate Disney a buy with high confidence.
24/7 Wall St. Price Target Summary
Metric
Value
Current Price
$101.28
24/7 Wall St. Price Target
$110.07
Upside
8.68%
Recommendation
BUY
Confidence Level
90%
A Streaming Inflection Hiding Behind a Sideways Tape
Disney is down 14.3% over the past year and up 1.96% over the past week, with a 14-day RSI of 49.03 that reads as neutral. The stock sits between a 52-week low of $92.19 and a high of $123.85.
The May 6 earnings report told a much better story than the tape. Q2 FY26 adjusted EPS came in at $1.57 versus $1.4955 expected, on revenue of $25.168 billion, up 6.55% year over year. Operating income jumped 31.29%, Entertainment SVOD operating income surged 88% to $582M, and the Experiences segment posted record Q2 revenue of $9.487 billion. Management raised the buyback target to at least $8 billion.
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DIS Earnings Explorer — 24/7 Wall St. The Case for $120+
The bull thesis hinges on streaming. Entertainment SVOD just hit a 10.6% operating margin, with 196M combined Disney+ and Hulu subscribers. Add the ESPN DTC launch, the NFL Network acquisition, and double-digit FY27 EPS growth guidance, and the operating leverage story is real.
Experiences keep printing records, helped by recreation spending of $864.2 billion in April 2026, a fresh high. The $129.67 analyst target, backed by 27 Buy ratings versus 1 Sell, is the bull scenario. Hit FY27 EPS estimates with a 19x multiple and Disney trades north of $120.
DIS Analyst Ratings — 24/7 Wall St. What Could Go Wrong
Q1 FY26 free cash flow swung to negative $2.278 billion on California wildfire tax payments, and Q3 Sports operating income is guided down roughly 14% on higher programming costs. The NFL deal is $0.03 dilutive to FY26 EPS, and Polymarket traders give Disney+ only a 28% chance of reaching 150M users by September.
Bulls would counter that the Q1 cash flow hole reflected tax timing rather than operational weakness, and that Q2’s $4.941 billion in free cash flow shows the underlying engine is intact. A bear scenario clipping the multiple to 14x forward earnings drags the stock toward $88.
DIS Price Target — 24/7 Wall St. Disney Price Prediction 2026-2030
The 24/7 Wall St. price target of $110.07 is a buy with 90% confidence. The tipping factor is the SVOD margin breakout combined with a forward P/E of just 14x on a name guided to 12% to 16% EPS growth. The setup favors investors who believe streaming margins keep expanding into FY27. Investors who think Sports rights inflation eats the entire DTC win may want to wait for further evidence.
Year
24/7 Wall St. Price Target
2026
$110
2027
$122
2028
$135
2029
$148
2030
$162
These projections assume Disney executes on the double-digit EPS growth path guided for FY26 and FY27. Material upside or downside hinges on streaming margin trajectory, NFL economics, and the pace of Experiences expansion in Asia and the Middle East.
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