Campaign election posters outside a polling station in Tel Aviv during Election Day, October 27, 2026. Photo by Miriam Alster/FLASH90
Higher turnout in left-wing strongholds is beginning to put pressure even on Bezalel Smotrich’s Religious Zionism party, pushing it dangerously close to the electoral threshold.
Every right-wing vote that goes to a party failing to cross the threshold could effectively strengthen the left-wing bloc, which would then receive a larger share of the seats.
If overall turnout reaches around 80%, and the surge comes mainly from voters backing the anti-Netanyahu parties, the right could lose more seats than even its worst polls predicted.