A Recession Model That’s Never Been Wrong Just Hit 49%. That Was Before the Iran War.
The first few months of 2026 have been difficult for investors. The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is down…
Moody’s Recession Model Is Just 1 Percentage Point Away From a Signal That Has Never Been Wrong.
After sliding nearly 6% so far this year, the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) could be in for more…
Bill Ackman told spooked investors to get over the Iran war and buy Fannie and Freddie. Stocks surged 40% the next day
Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, the two government-sponsored businesses designed to prop up mortgages, ripped on Monday after…
The Iran war spills over into the U.S. economy: Inflation rises and growth slows – MarketWatch
The Iran war spills over into the U.S. economy: Inflation rises and growth slows MarketWatchUS business activity slips to…
NZ recession risk returns as Iran war drives petrol toward $4
Why the alarm: Oil shock hits consumer budgets hard At the heart of the crisis is oil. Global…
Recession odds hit 49% for next 12 months says Moody’s Mark Zandi
With alarming headlines coming out of the Middle East, economists will be wary of sharing forecasts that might…
Goldman just raised recession odds to 25%. Here’s what Trump’s war economy is doing to jobs
Goldman Sachs is sounding a new alarm: the U.S. economy is slipping, and the war in Iran is…
‘Ghost GDP’ and a white-collar recession: Substack’s top finance writer warns of AI’s 2028 crisis
“Ghost in the machine” isn’t just an album by The Police. It’s a midcentury term, coined around 1949,…
We studied 70 countries’ economic data for the last 60 years and something big about market crashes changed 25 years ago
National economies are increasingly moving in sync and responding to the same booms and busts as a result…
EYE ON THE ECONOMY: Growth without momentum in the labor market | Opinion
The current macroeconomy has been described by some as a “no hire–no fire” economy. Gross domestic product (GDP),…
3 Healthcare Threats That Will Soon Become Too Big To Solve
Healthcare faces three urgent threats that require a coordination solution getty Most industries enjoy a luxury that U.S.…
Research Shows The 2008 Recession Had One Major Lasting Psychological Impact
The Great Recession of 2008 marked a particularly difficult time for Americans, with effects that reverberated around the…