{"id":107463,"date":"2025-10-31T07:25:10","date_gmt":"2025-10-31T07:25:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/107463\/"},"modified":"2025-10-31T07:25:10","modified_gmt":"2025-10-31T07:25:10","slug":"merics-china-essentials-special-issue-chinas-next-five-year-plan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/107463\/","title":{"rendered":"MERICS China Essentials special issue: China&#8217;s next Five-Year Plan"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>By Alexander Davey<\/p>\n<p>The Central Committee\u2019s main objectives for its Five-Year Plan period are guided by six principles \u2013 first by \u201cupholding the party\u2019s overall leadership,\u201d and only second by \u201cputting the people first,\u201d according to the Fourth Plenum communiqu\u00e9. This hierarchy shows how political authority and party control take precedence over welfare-oriented governance priorities. Yet, Beijing acknowledges that sustained productivity and welfare gains require large investment in both industrial and social infrastructure.<\/p>\n<p>The leadership\u2019s priority remains the expansion of total economic output. Employment and production continue to serve as the preferred levers of welfare, rather than direct income transfers. Social stability is understood to stem from participation in the productive economy, not from welfare dependency. The concept of \u201csteadily advancing\u201d common prosperity reflects a long-term, structural approach rather than a redistributive agenda. The party\u2019s notion of fairness is based on earned improvement, not entitlement.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>The forthcoming Five-Year Plan reaffirms Beijing\u2019s reliance on state-led investment as the engine for both growth and welfare. According to a senior party-state leader, upgrading core manufacturing sectors \u2013 like chemicals, machinery, and shipbuilding \u2013 is projected to create new market space worth around EUR 1.209 trillion over the next five years.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In parallel, China plans to build or renovate over 700,000 kilometers of underground pipelines, representing more than EUR 600 billion in new investment, and accelerate the cluster development of strategic emerging industries \u2013 notably, new energy, advanced materials, aerospace, and the low-altitude economy, which they expect to generate multiple markets worth several hundred billion euros. This strategy is explicitly framed as a long-term mechanism for stimulating domestic demand.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>In their view, social welfare investment functions as an economic multiplier rather than a redistributive instrument \u2013 productive spending designed to raise growth and improve livelihoods through participation, not transfers. Growth is the prerequisite for welfare, not its consequences.<\/p>\n<p>China\u2019s next development phase thus reinforces a distinctly supply-side vision of social progress. The party\u2019s wager is that sustained investment, guided by central coordination and executed through state-led industrial policy, can generate productivity gains that underpin social welfare. Yet this approach also exposes a structural tension: redistribution remains contingent on growth, and growth on the continued effectiveness of state capital deployment. Whether this model can translate infrastructure and industrial upgrading into genuine domestic demand and social inclusion will define the success \u2013 and the limits \u2013 of the \u201ccommon prosperity\u201d agenda in the years ahead.<\/p>\n<p>Media coverage and sources:<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"By Alexander Davey The Central Committee\u2019s main objectives for its Five-Year Plan period are guided by six principles&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":107464,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[114,184,85,46],"class_list":["post-107463","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-il","tag-israel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107463","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=107463"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/107463\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/107464"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=107463"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=107463"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=107463"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}