Artificial intelligence (AI) chipmaker<\/a> Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA)<\/a> has had a rough couple of months, with its stock down about 17% from its October peak. The last time Nvidia’s shares were this far off their highs — almost a year ago — it took nearly six months for them to recover.<\/p>\n However, could we be in for a holiday miracle? Could the stock not only regain its lost ground, but also hit new highs in the last 10 trading days of the year?<\/p>\n Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now, when you join Stock Advisor. See the stocks \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n Here’s why it might actually happen — and the one big obstacle standing in the way.<\/p>\n Image source: Nvidia.<\/p>\n What history says<\/p>\n Nvidia’s stock is no stranger to December “mini-surges.” Just last year, for example, its shares rose 8.8% between Dec. 18 and Dec. 24. The year before that, its stock shot up 10.1% between Dec. 6 and Dec. 18. And in 2022, its shares jumped 13% between Dec. 6 and Dec. 13.<\/p>\n Those are all impressive moves, but in order for the stock to return to October’s record $207.04 closing price, it would have to rise by about 17.4%. That’s a tall order, but it isn’t impossible.<\/p>\n In fact, Nvidia’s done it before. In 2016, share prices surged a huge 33.9% between Dec. 1 and Dec. 27, with 16.8% of that rise occurring between the 16th and the 27th of the month. So a 2025 repeat isn’t outside the realm of possibility. That said, the company’s market cap<\/a> in December 2016 was less than $64 billion, a far cry from its current $4.3 trillion valuation.<\/p>\n Plus, in recent years, the stock has also seen a few double-digit declines in December. Some of them even happened alongside the stock’s record jumps. Last year, for example, right before its 8.8% surge, Nvidia had dropped 11.2%. In 2022, right after its 13% jump, shares fell 22.3%. And in some years, there was no major jump or big plunge at all.<\/p>\n Reflecting the market<\/p>\n Nvidia’s end-of-year moves have tended to mirror the overall market, only with more intensity. For example, that big 22.3% price drop in December 2022 reflected a 5.9% decline in the S&P 500. Last year, during its 11.2% December slide, the broader market also slid by 3.5%.<\/p>\n In other words, if the S&P 500<\/a> is doing well, Nvidia’s stock tends to be doing really well. If the broader market is doing badly, its shares tend to be doing really badly.<\/p>\n Unfortunately, the market’s growth has slowed over the past few quarters. Between its April 5 low and the end of the second quarter, the S&P 500 rose by a robust 24.5%. In the third quarter, it rose just 7.8%. So far in the fourth, it’s only risen 1.9%.<\/p>\n That slowing growth came despite three Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, in September, October, and December. There won’t be any further rate cuts this year.<\/p>\n That makes it unlikely that there will be a big year-end market surge that will benefit Nvidia stock. The likeliest reason for the shares to surge would be some major company-specific news.<\/p>\n What news is left?<\/p>\n But Nvidia has already put out excellent news in its third-quarter earnings report<\/a> on Nov. 19.<\/p>\n The company reported record revenue of $57 billion, up 62% year over year; per-share earnings of $1.30, up 67%; and an impressive gross margin of 73.4%, as measured under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP). Sales of its Blackwell chips<\/a> are “off the charts,” according to CEO Jensen Huang<\/a>, and cloud graphics processing units<\/a> (GPUs) are sold out. The company is expecting $65 billion in revenue in the fourth quarter, with 74.8% GAAP gross margins. <\/p>\n It’s hard to think of what more the company could possibly announce that would be enough to boost its shares by 17.4%, or about $700 billion in market value. That’s more than the entire market caps of Costco and Coca-Cola combined. <\/p>\n Unless a major issue emerges over the next couple of weeks with Alphabet’s tensor processing units (TPUs) or AMD’s high-end chips, which are expected to compete with Nvidia’s GPUs, I really can’t think of any likely scenario that would add so much value to Nvidia so quickly.<\/p>\n That’s why it doesn’t seem likely that the stock will make enough of a comeback to hit new highs by the end of 2025. But so what? Given the company’s very strong outlook, 2026 is shaping up to be a big banner year for the chipmaker, and if the price is a bit cheaper during the holidays, it offers an opportunity for new investors to buy Nvidia shares<\/a> at a discount.<\/p>\n Should you buy stock in Nvidia right now?<\/p>\n Before you buy stock in Nvidia, consider this:<\/p>\n The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks<\/a> for investors to buy now\u2026 and Nvidia wasn\u2019t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.<\/p>\n Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you\u2019d have $509,955!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005… if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you\u2019d have $1,089,460!*<\/p>\n Now, it\u2019s worth noting Stock Advisor\u2019s total average return is 968% \u2014 a market-crushing outperformance compared to 193% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.<\/p>\n See the 10 stocks \u00bb<\/a><\/p>\n *Stock Advisor returns as of December 17, 2025. <\/p>\n John Bromels<\/a> has positions in Alphabet, Coca-Cola, Costco Wholesale, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Costco Wholesale, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy<\/a>.<\/p>\n The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Key Points During each of the previous three Decembers, Nvidia’s stock has surged 8.8% or more. These surges…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":85953,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[345,343,344,85,46,125],"class_list":{"0":"post-190465","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-il","12":"tag-israel","13":"tag-technology"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190465","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=190465"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/190465\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/85953"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=190465"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=190465"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=190465"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<\/p>\n