{"id":193913,"date":"2025-12-19T23:54:09","date_gmt":"2025-12-19T23:54:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/193913\/"},"modified":"2025-12-19T23:54:09","modified_gmt":"2025-12-19T23:54:09","slug":"will-nvidia-stock-crash-in-2026","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/193913\/","title":{"rendered":"Will Nvidia Stock Crash in 2026?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The generative AI boom is getting a little long in the tooth.<\/p>\n<p>2025 has been a banner year for Nvidia (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/quote\/nasdaq\/nvda\/\" class=\"font-bold hover:underline\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">NVDA<\/a> +3.93%) investors. Shares in the AI hardware titan have soared by 32% this year, trouncing the S&amp;P 500&#8217;s comparatively measly return of just 15%. <\/p>\n<p>That said, the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/g\/generative-ai\/\" class=\"editor-rtfLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">generative artificial intelligence (AI)<\/a> hardware boom is getting long in the tooth, leaving investors wondering if Nvidia can maintain its momentum in 2026. <\/p>\n<p>Let&#8217;s dig deeper to see what the future may bring for the stock.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Nervous person looking at a computer screen \" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"880\" height=\"748\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"h-auto max-w-full rounded object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1766188449_759_\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Image source: Getty Images.<\/p>\n<p>Nvidia is still a fantastic company <\/p>\n<p>With a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/m\/market-cap\/\" class=\"editor-rtfLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">market cap<\/a> of $4.3 trillion, Nvidia is the largest company in the world, and it didn&#8217;t get to this point by accident. The chipmaker&#8217;s continued success has relied on its ability to create a deep economic moat in an industry with a fair bit of competition. For the most part, this edge relies on Compute Unified Device Architecture (CUDA), which is Nvidia&#8217;s proprietary software platform designed to allow developers to get the most out of its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/g\/gpu\/\" class=\"editor-rtfLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">graphics processing units<\/a> (GPUs).<\/p>\n<p>Nvidia has been a pioneer in GPU technology since its founding in 1993. And this means a whole generation of developers has been trained on CUDA. It now boasts a vast ecosystem of tools and user knowledge that has given Nvidia a practically unassailable moat in its niche, even if products from rivals like Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) can deliver similar raw specs.<\/p>\n<p>The generative AI boom allowed Nvidia to leverage the advantages it has been nurturing for decades, and business is booming. Third-quarter revenue soared 62% year over year to $57 billion, driven by the continued popularity of new data center AI chips such as the Blackwell series. <\/p>\n<p>According to CEO Jensen Huang, compute demand continues to accelerate. And Nvidia plans to release a new class of GPUs called Rubin, designed to tackle AI video generation in late 2026. On the surface, everything looks fantastic. But there are some rising uncertainties. <\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Nvidia Stock Quote\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"64\" height=\"64\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"w-full flex-none object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/12\/1766188449_355_\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Today&#8217;s Change<\/p>\n<p>(3.93%) $6.85<\/p>\n<p>Current Price<\/p>\n<p>$180.99<\/p>\n<p>Key Data Points<\/p>\n<p>Market Cap<\/p>\n<p>$4.2T<\/p>\n<p>Day&#8217;s Range<\/p>\n<p>$176.34 &#8211; $181.45<\/p>\n<p>52wk Range<\/p>\n<p>$86.62 &#8211; $212.19<\/p>\n<p>Volume<\/p>\n<p>325M<\/p>\n<p>Avg Vol<\/p>\n<p>192M<\/p>\n<p>Gross Margin<\/p>\n<p>70.05%<\/p>\n<p>Dividend Yield<\/p>\n<p>0.02%<\/p>\n<p>What are the challenges?<\/p>\n<p>While Nvidia&#8217;s business model is great for its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/s\/shareholder\/\" class=\"editor-rtfLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">shareholders<\/a>, it doesn&#8217;t seem ideal for its customers. Nvidia sells its hardware at tremendous markups. The entire company boasted a gross margin of 73.4% in the third quarter (popular products like Blackwell probably boast even higher margins). And these are the types of numbers you would typically expect to see in software companies that don&#8217;t sell physical products. <\/p>\n<p>Nvidia is maximizing profit, as it should. But its clients also have a fiduciary responsibility to reduce their costs if possible. And this dilemma might come to a head over the next few years &#8212; especially as industry leaders like OpenAI continue to post eye-popping cash burn. The ChatGPT maker is believed to have lost more than $11.5 billion in its most recent quarter. And one analyst at Deutsche Bank thinks the problem could worsen, with total combined losses spiraling to $140 billion by 2029.<\/p>\n<p>As a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/p\/pick-and-shovel\/\" class=\"editor-rtfLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">picks-and-shovels<\/a> infrastructure provider, Nvidia can still win, even when some of its biggest customers lose. That said, the losses on the consumer-facing side of the AI equation suggest the industry foundations are very uncertain, which could eventually drive investors away. <\/p>\n<p>Furthermore, more Nvidia customers are investing in Application-Specific Integrated Circuits (ASICs), which are also known as custom chips. These are workload-specific AI chips that can perform specialized tasks for significantly cheaper than Nvidia&#8217;s large general-purpose GPUs. Many of Nvidia&#8217;s top clients, like Alphabet, OpenAI, and Amazon, are already investing heavily in in-house chip design. <\/p>\n<p>Will Nvidia crash in 2026?<\/p>\n<p>Although Nvidia faces mounting challenges as clients continue losing money or increasingly turn to more affordable custom chips, a crash seems very unlikely. Despite the company&#8217;s market cap of $4.3 trillion, its stock is reasonably priced considering its growth rate. <\/p>\n<p>With a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/f\/forward-pe\/\" class=\"editor-rtfLink\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">forward price-to-earnings<\/a> (P\/E) multiple of 23, the stock is actually much cheaper than the Nasdaq 100 average of 26. This dynamic suggests a significant slowdown is already baked into Nvidia&#8217;s current valuation.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The generative AI boom is getting a little long in the tooth. 2025 has been a banner year&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":193914,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[345,343,344,85,46,125],"class_list":{"0":"post-193913","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-il","12":"tag-israel","13":"tag-technology"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193913","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=193913"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/193913\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/193914"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=193913"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=193913"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=193913"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}