{"id":225737,"date":"2026-01-07T17:47:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-07T17:47:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/225737\/"},"modified":"2026-01-07T17:47:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-07T17:47:09","slug":"maybe-we-should-pump-the-brakes-on-the-idea-that-robotaxis-are-safer","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/225737\/","title":{"rendered":"Maybe We Should Pump the Brakes on the Idea That Robotaxis Are Safer"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>It has become commonly accepted that autonomous vehicles, despite the occasional high-profile crash, are on the whole safer than human drivers. That has led to the expansion of robotaxis like those offered by Waymo and, to a lesser extent, Tesla and Zoox, to take to the roads of major American cities, with expansion happening faster than ever. But actual evidence that these self-driving rides actually are safer than having humans behind the wheel is still pretty limited, as a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/features\/2026-01-06\/are-autonomous-vehicles-safer-than-human-drivers-we-don-t-know-yet\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">recent report from Bloomberg<\/a> points out.<\/p>\n<p>There is certainly data to suggest that autonomous vehicles can cut back on the number of accidents on the road. Waymo in particular has made this information central to its pitch, <a href=\"https:\/\/waymo.com\/blog\/2024\/09\/safety-data-hub\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">claiming<\/a> to have achieved 84% fewer crashes that result in airbag deployment, 73% fewer crash-related injuries, and 48% fewer police-reported crashes compared to human drivers during its first 22 million miles on the road. But much of the data that provides the foundation of these claims comes from the company itself. As Bloomberg notes, much of the <a href=\"https:\/\/waymo.com\/safety\/research\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">research that Waymo highlights<\/a> on its website has been coauthored by Waymo employees.<\/p>\n<p>Much of that safer driving was also done in safer driving conditions than most human drivers face. It wasn\u2019t until <a href=\"https:\/\/waymo.com\/blog\/2025\/11\/taking-riders-further-safely-with-freeways\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">November 2025 that Waymo got the green light<\/a> to drive on freeways around the San Francisco Bay Area, Phoenix, and Los Angeles. Up until that point, the vast majority of miles were city driving. By comparison, about 25% of all human driving takes place on highways and freeways, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/FederalHighwayAdmin\/posts\/dyk-a-quarter-more-miles-are-traveled-on-interstates-than-other-roads-interstate\/1302551181907410\/#:~:text=%F3%B3%84%AB-,%23DYK:%20A%20quarter%20more%20miles%20are%20traveled%20on%20interstates%20than,25%20percent%20of%20all%20travel.&amp;text=161%20has%20several%20deaths%2C%20dozens,patrol%2C%20nothing%20has%20been%20done.\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">according to the Federal Highway Administration<\/a>, where speeds are much higher, and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ganassin.com\/car-accidents\/do-more-car-accidents-happen-in-town-or-on-highways\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">accidents are often more deadly<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>There is also little information about how frequently a teleoperator takes control of a vehicle. Most autonomous vehicle providers, including <a href=\"https:\/\/ukinvestormagazine.co.uk\/teleoperation-the-human-safety-net-propelling-autonomous-vehicles-forward\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Waymo<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forbes.com\/sites\/bradtempleton\/2025\/05\/17\/tesla-robotaxi-will-have-lots-of-tele-ops-ie-supervised-fsd\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Tesla<\/a>, have humans serving as remote backup drivers, able to take over control of the vehicle if it gets into an untenable situation. But the <a href=\"https:\/\/junkoyoshidaparis.substack.com\/p\/behind-waymos-independently-audited\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">companies provide little information<\/a> as to when an intervention happens or what it means when it does. Per <a href=\"https:\/\/www.dmv.ca.gov\/portal\/vehicle-industry-services\/autonomous-vehicles\/disengagement-reports\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">data<\/a> reported to California\u2019s Department of Motor Vehicles, Waymo cars experienced one disengagement every 9,793 miles, while other providers had more frequent interventions.<\/p>\n<p>The data that we do have shows that autonomous vehicles, in their limited capacity, have been safer than human drivers in ideal conditions. A <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nature.com\/articles\/s41467-024-48526-4\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">study published by authors at the Smart and Safe Transportation Lab<\/a> used a matched case-control design to compare human drivers to autonomous alternatives and found that cars equipped with \u201cAdvanced Driving Systems\u201d generally produced fewer accidents than human-driven vehicles. However, researchers found that while driving at dawn and dusk, the accident rate for ADS was 5.25 times higher. In turning scenarios, it was 1.98 times higher.<\/p>\n<p>There\u2019s also the fact that while autonomous vehicles can avoid some human errors like distracted driving, they also tend to make mistakes that people wouldn\u2019t make, like <a href=\"https:\/\/futurism.com\/ceo-dies-tesla-submersion\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">driving directly into a pond<\/a> or <a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=EpeLlW8-TEk\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">driving through an active fire scene<\/a>. The marketing around robotaxis, suggesting they are safer, can lull people inside the vehicles into behaving less safely than they otherwise would. <a href=\"https:\/\/www.iihs.org\/news\/desktopnews\/adults-admit-to-not-always-using-safety-belts-in-the-back-seat-iihs-survey-finds\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Studies have found<\/a> that people are less likely to wear their seat belt while in an Uber or Lyft, and there\u2019s little reason to believe they wouldn\u2019t do the same in an autonomous vehicle, where part of the pitch is freedom to do what they want while the robot takes the wheel.<\/p>\n<p>Safer roads would be great. So would fewer cars in general. But at this point, it\u2019s not actually as clear as the industry would like to suggest that autonomous vehicles will achieve either of those goals.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"It has become commonly accepted that autonomous vehicles, despite the occasional high-profile crash, are on the whole safer&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":225738,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[345,343,344,41471,85,46,17723,113680,33668,125],"class_list":{"0":"post-225737","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-autonomous-cars","12":"tag-il","13":"tag-israel","14":"tag-public-safety","15":"tag-robotaxis","16":"tag-self-driving-cars","17":"tag-technology"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/225737","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=225737"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/225737\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/225738"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=225737"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=225737"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=225737"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}