{"id":232927,"date":"2026-01-11T17:41:09","date_gmt":"2026-01-11T17:41:09","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/232927\/"},"modified":"2026-01-11T17:41:09","modified_gmt":"2026-01-11T17:41:09","slug":"why-wall-street-thinks-palantir-stock-will-stall-in-2026-but-that-this-ai-stock-will-soar-40","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/232927\/","title":{"rendered":"Why Wall Street Thinks Palantir Stock Will Stall in 2026 but That This AI Stock Will Soar 40%"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Analysts prefer an AI stock in the new year that doesn&#8217;t receive nearly as much attention as Palantir.<\/p>\n<p>Palantir Technologies (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/quote\/nasdaq\/pltr\/\" class=\"font-bold hover:underline\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">PLTR<\/a> +0.36%) CEO Alex Karp described his company&#8217;s revenue growth as &#8220;otherworldly&#8221; in a recent letter to shareholders. Even if you think that&#8217;s an exaggeration, the sentiment is on point. <\/p>\n<p>Unsurprisingly, Palantir&#8217;s stock has been on a sizzling hot streak. Shares of the artificial intelligence (AI) software company skyrocketed 135% last year. However, Wall Street expects Palantir&#8217;s stock to stall in 2026 but has great expectations for another AI stock.<\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"Palantir Technologies Stock Quote\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"64\" height=\"64\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"w-full flex-none object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/1768153268_571_.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Today&#8217;s Change<\/p>\n<p>(0.36%) $0.63<\/p>\n<p>Current Price<\/p>\n<p>$177.49<\/p>\n<p>Key Data Points<\/p>\n<p>Market Cap<\/p>\n<p>$423B<\/p>\n<p>Day&#8217;s Range<\/p>\n<p>$174.75 &#8211; $178.71<\/p>\n<p>52wk Range<\/p>\n<p>$63.40 &#8211; $207.52<\/p>\n<p>Volume<\/p>\n<p>1.1M<\/p>\n<p>Avg Vol<\/p>\n<p>46M<\/p>\n<p>Gross Margin<\/p>\n<p>80.81%<\/p>\n<p>Why Wall Street isn&#8217;t all aboard the Palantir train<\/p>\n<p>The consensus 12-month <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/p\/price-target\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">price target<\/a> for Palantir reflects a potential upside of a low single-digit percentage. Of the 25 analysts who cover the stock that S&amp;P Global surveyed (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/quote\/nyse\/spgi\/\" class=\"font-bold hover:underline\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SPGI<\/a> +0.07%) in January, only four recommended buying Palantir.<\/p>\n<p>Many retail investors remain all aboard the Palantir train. Why isn&#8217;t Wall Street on board as well? The simplest (and, I&#8217;d argue, best) answer is concern about valuation.<\/p>\n<p>Analyst reports that I&#8217;ve read don&#8217;t knock Palantir&#8217;s business. They have no reason to do so. There&#8217;s little to complain about. Palantir&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/r\/rule-of-40\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Rule of 40 score<\/a> of 114% is in a league of its own. The company continues to win new customers, both in the government sector and the private sector, at an impressive rate. <\/p>\n<p>However, Palantir&#8217;s valuation is a different story. The AI software company&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/f\/forward-pe\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">forward price-to-earnings ratio<\/a> is slightly below 182. Only one member of the S&amp;P 500 (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/quote\/snpindex\/^gspc\/\" class=\"font-bold hover:underline\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">^GSPC<\/a> +0.65%) has a higher forward earnings multiple \u2013 Tesla (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/quote\/nasdaq\/tsla\/\" class=\"font-bold hover:underline\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">TSLA<\/a> +2.06%). <\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"A person wearing eyeglasses with stock charts reflecting in the glass lenses.\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"880\" height=\"588\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"h-auto max-w-full rounded object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"   src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/1768153269_403_.jpeg\"\/><\/p>\n<p class=\"caption\">Image source: Getty Images.<\/p>\n<p>Another AI stock analysts predict will soar 40% this year.<\/p>\n<p>On the other hand, Wall Street is decidedly bullish about German enterprise resource planning software company SAP (<a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/quote\/nyse\/sap\/\" class=\"font-bold hover:underline\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SAP<\/a> +2.52%). The average 12-month price target for the stock is roughly 40% higher than the current share price. Of the 15 analysts surveyed by S&amp;P Global who cover SAP, 12 rated the stock as a &#8220;buy&#8221; or a &#8220;strong buy.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>SAP doesn&#8217;t receive nearly as much AI hype as Palantir. However, the company is investing heavily in AI. For example, it has integrated <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/a\/agentic-ai\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">agentic AI<\/a> into its platform and operates a sovereign AI cloud for the European Union. <\/p>\n<p><img alt=\"SAP Stock Quote\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"64\" height=\"64\" decoding=\"async\" data-nimg=\"1\" class=\"w-full flex-none object-contain\" style=\"color:transparent\"  src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/01\/1768153269_976_.png\"\/><\/p>\n<p>Today&#8217;s Change<\/p>\n<p>(2.52%) $6.08<\/p>\n<p>Current Price<\/p>\n<p>$247.11<\/p>\n<p>Key Data Points<\/p>\n<p>Market Cap<\/p>\n<p>$281B<\/p>\n<p>Day&#8217;s Range<\/p>\n<p>$243.66 &#8211; $248.14<\/p>\n<p>52wk Range<\/p>\n<p>$233.51 &#8211; $313.28<\/p>\n<p>Volume<\/p>\n<p>84K<\/p>\n<p>Avg Vol<\/p>\n<p>1.4M<\/p>\n<p>Gross Margin<\/p>\n<p>73.82%<\/p>\n<p>Dividend Yield<\/p>\n<p>1.06%<\/p>\n<p>Why do analysts seem to like SAP so much more than Palantir? Again, the answer boils down mainly to valuation. Granted, the stock doesn&#8217;t appear to be a bargain at first glance. SAP&#8217;s forward earnings multiple is 28.5. <\/p>\n<p>But analysts factor expected growth into the valuation calculations. SAP&#8217;s <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/p\/peg-ratio\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio<\/a> is exactly 1.0 right now. This indicates a reasonably attractive valuation for a growth stock. In case you&#8217;re wondering, Palantir&#8217;s PEG ratio is nearly 2.9, which isn&#8217;t attractive.<\/p>\n<p>Is Wall Street right about Palantir and SAP?<\/p>\n<p>Palantir&#8217;s Karp believes that analysts and other Palantir skeptics are mistaken. He wrote in his November 2025 letter to shareholders: <\/p>\n<p>Some of our detractors have been left in a kind of deranged and self-destructive befuddlement. It has indeed been difficult for outsiders to appraise our business, either its significance in shaping our current geopolitics or its value in the vulgar, financial sense.<\/p>\n<p>I wouldn&#8217;t characterize any Wall Street analyst who has express reservations about Palantir as being in a &#8220;deranged and self-destructive befuddlement.&#8221; However, Karp is probably correct that his company&#8217;s robust growth has made it difficult to assess its <a href=\"https:\/\/www.fool.com\/terms\/i\/intrinsic-value\/\" class=\"text-cyan-900 hover:text-cyan-800\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">intrinsic value<\/a>. That said, I suspect that the majority of analysts who expect Palantir&#8217;s momentum will stall in 2026 are right. <\/p>\n<p>Are the analysts who are bullish about SAP also right? I have no idea if the stock will soar 40% over the next 12 months. But I predict that SAP&#8217;s shareholders will enjoy a better year in 2026 than they did in 2025.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Analysts prefer an AI stock in the new year that doesn&#8217;t receive nearly as much attention as Palantir.&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":232928,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[20],"tags":[345,343,344,85,46,125],"class_list":{"0":"post-232927","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-artificial-intelligence","8":"tag-ai","9":"tag-artificial-intelligence","10":"tag-artificialintelligence","11":"tag-il","12":"tag-israel","13":"tag-technology"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/232927","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=232927"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/232927\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/232928"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=232927"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=232927"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=232927"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}