{"id":260796,"date":"2026-01-27T22:56:13","date_gmt":"2026-01-27T22:56:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/260796\/"},"modified":"2026-01-27T22:56:13","modified_gmt":"2026-01-27T22:56:13","slug":"eye-on-the-economy-growth-without-momentum-in-the-labor-market-opinion","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/260796\/","title":{"rendered":"EYE ON THE ECONOMY: Growth without momentum in the labor market | Opinion"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>The current macroeconomy has been described by some as a \u201cno hire\u2013no fire\u201d economy. Gross domestic product (GDP), a measure of the market value of goods and services produced, has been strong, with third-quarter estimates now at 4.4%. In the most recent quarter, growth was driven primarily by a combination of the resilient consumer, and a reversal of the import surge observed during the first quarter of the year.<\/p>\n<p>Despite the strong growth, comparable gains have not followed in the labor market. Payroll growth has slowed significantly from last year, and hiring activity has declined. Layoffs, however, have not surged. In fact, layoffs remain at historically low levels and well below a recession threshold of roughly 350,000 initial claims per week. Employers, it seems, are holding onto workers, but are increasingly reluctant to add new ones.<\/p>\n<p>kAmr=@D6C E@ 9@&gt;6[ H6 2C6 @3D6CG:?8 D:&gt;:=2C A2EE6C?D 24C@DD E96 $E2E6 @7 x?5:2?2] %96 =2E6DE DE2E6 vs! C6A@CE D9@HD C@3FDE d]`T 8C@HE9 \ud83d\ude15 E96 E9:C5 BF2CE6C[ E96 DEC@?86DE BF2CE6C=J 8C@HE9 D:?46 =2E6 a_ab] *6E ;@3 82:?D 7@C 3@E9 a_ac 2?5 a_ad 2C6 CF??:?8 2E E96 D=@H6DE A246 @7 E96 A2DE 564256[ 6I4=F5:?8 E96 D92CA =@DD6D 2DD@4:2E65 H:E9 E96 r~&#8217;xs C646DD:@?] *62C @G6C J62C[ x?5:2?2 A2JC@== 6&gt;A=@J&gt;6?E \ud83d\ude00 29625 3J C@F89=J `h[___ ;@3D[ 36=@H 3@E9 AC6\\A2?56&gt;:4 2?5 A@DE\\A2?56&gt;:4 2G6C286D @7 2AAC@I:&gt;2E6=J af[___ 2?5 bg[___ ;@3D[ C6DA64E:G6=J]k^Am<\/p>\n<p>kAmx?E6C6DE:?8=J[ a_`h AC@5F465 E96 E9:C5\\H62&lt;6DE J62C 7@C ;@3 8C@HE9 @G6C E96 A2DE 564256[ H:E9 A2JC@==D C:D:?8 3J @?=J 23@FE a_[___ ;@3D] %92E J62C 7@==@H65 E96 :&gt;A=6&gt;6?E2E:@? @7 E2C:77D \ud83d\ude15 a_`g[ :?4=F5:?8 E9@D6 @? DE66= 2?5 2=F&gt;:?F&gt;[ 2? :&gt;A@CE2?E A@:?E @7 C676C6?46 7@C E@52J]k^Am<\/p>\n<p>kAm}62C=J 2== E96 ;@3D 25565 @G6C E96 A2DE J62C \ud83d\ude15 x?5:2?2 42&gt;6 7C@&gt; 962=E942C6[ H9:49 244@F?E65 7@C C@F89=J `f[___ @7 E96 `h[___ ?6E ;@3D 82:?65] ~E96C ?@E23=6 82:?D 42&gt;6 7C@&gt; AC@76DD:@?2= 2?5 3FD:?6DD D6CG:46D[ H9:49 25565 23@FE h[___ ;@3D[ 2?5 4@?DECF4E:@?[ H9:49 4@?EC:3FE65 2?@E96C b[___]k^Am<\/p>\n<p>kAmx?5:2?2 C6&gt;2:?D 2 ?2E:@?2= 9F3 7@C 3@E9 &gt;2?F724EFC:?8 2?5 =@8:DE:4D] q@E9 D64E@CD 2C6 A2CE:4F=2C=J D6?D:E:G6 E@ EC256 A@=:4J[ 2?5 3@E9 DECF88=65 \ud83d\ude15 a_ad] %C2?DA@CE2E:@? 2?5 H2C69@FD:?8 D965 2AAC@I:&gt;2E6=J c[___ ;@3D @G6C E96 J62C[ H9:=6 &gt;2?F724EFC:?8 6&gt;A=@J&gt;6?E H2D 6DD6?E:2==J 7=2E] u@C &gt;2?F724EFC:?8[ 9@H6G6C[ a_ad C6AC6D6?E65 D@&gt;6E9:?8 @7 2 DE23:=:K2E:@? J62C 7@==@H:?8 =@DD6D @7 C@F89=J `c[___ 2?5 `_[___ ;@3D \ud83d\ude15 E96 AC:@C EH@ J62CD]k^Am<\/p>\n<p>kAm%FC?:?8 E@ {@F:DG:==6 |6EC@[ E96 =2E6DE 52E2 D9@H E92E A2JC@== 8C@HE9 92D &gt;@56DE=J 2446=6C2E65 \ud83d\ude15 E96 D64@?5 92=7 @7 E96 J62C] (9:=6 E96 &gt;@DE C646?E 7:8FC6D D9@H 2 ?6E 82:? @7 23@FE a[___ ;@3D @G6C E96 J62C[ 2G6C286 &gt;@?E9=J 82:?D \ud83d\ude15 E96 D64@?5 92=7 6I466565 E9@D6 D66? 62C=:6C \ud83d\ude15 E96 J62C] &amp;?=:&lt;6 x?5:2?2[ 962=E9 42C6 \ud83d\ude00 ?@ =@?86C E96 5@&gt;:?2?E ;@3\\4C62E:@? D64E@C \ud83d\ude15 {@F:DG:==6 |6EC@[ 255:?8 76H6C E92? `[___ ;@3D \ud83d\ude15 a_ad] {2DE J62C[ {@F:DG:==6 962=E9 42C6 5C@G6 2 D:8?:7:42?E 4@&gt;A@?6?E @7 @G6C2== ;@3 8C@HE9]k^Am<\/p>\n<p>kAm{:&lt;6 x?5:2?2[ {@F:DG:==6 \ud83d\ude00 3@E9 2 &gt;2?F724EFC:?8 C68:@? 2?5 2 =@8:DE:4D 9F3[ 2?5 3@E9 D64E@CD 6IA6C:6?465 ;@3 =@DD6D @G6C E96 A2DE J62C] |2?F724EFC:?8 6&gt;A=@J&gt;6?E 564=:?65 @?=J D=:89E=J[ 3FE EC2?DA@CE2E:@? 2?5 H2C69@FD:?8 D965 2AAC@I:&gt;2E6=J a[___ ;@3D] r@?DECF4E:@?[ 3J 4@?EC2DE[ 25565 &gt;@C6 E92? a[___ ;@3D]k^Am<\/p>\n<p>kAm%2&lt;6? E@86E96C[ a_ad DE2?5D @FE 2D @?6 @7 E96 D=@H6DE J62CD 7@C ;@3 8C@HE9 7@C 3@E9 x?5:2?2 2?5 {@F:DG:==6 |6EC@] w:896C :?E6C6DE C2E6D :?:E:2==J H6:8965 @? &gt;2?F724EFC:?8 24E:G:EJ 368:??:?8 \ud83d\ude15 a_aa] |@C6 C646?E=J[ 9@H6G6C[ E96 :&gt;A24E @7 E2C:77D 2AA62CD E@ 36 2 8C@H:?8 9625H:?5 7@C 3@E9 E96 x?5:2?2 64@?@&gt;J 2?5 E96 {@F:DG:==6 |6EC@ 2C62] %2C:77\\D6?D:E:G6 D64E@CD DF49 2D &gt;2?F724EFC:?8 2?5 EC2?DA@CE2E:@? 2?5 H2C69@FD:?8 92G6 3@C?6 E96 3CF?E @7 E96D6 67764ED] (:E9 vs! 8C@HE9 CF??:?8 DEC@?8 2?5 4@?DF&gt;6C DA6?5:?8 C6&gt;2:?:?8 C6D:=:6?E[ E2C:77D :?4C62D:?8=J DE2?5 @FE 2D 2 &lt;6J 724E@C 9@=5:?8 324&lt; ;@3 8C@HE9]k^Am<\/p>\n<p>Uric Dufrene is the Sanders Chair in Business at Indiana University Southeast.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"The current macroeconomy has been described by some as a \u201cno hire\u2013no fire\u201d economy. Gross domestic product (GDP),&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":260797,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[114,137375,24988,184,3387,85,46,3966,1973],"class_list":{"0":"post-260796","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-economy","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-covid-19-recession","10":"tag-economies","11":"tag-economy","12":"tag-gross-domestic-product","13":"tag-il","14":"tag-israel","15":"tag-macroeconomics","16":"tag-recession"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260796","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=260796"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/260796\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/260797"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=260796"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=260796"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=260796"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}