{"id":267689,"date":"2026-01-31T21:04:12","date_gmt":"2026-01-31T21:04:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/267689\/"},"modified":"2026-01-31T21:04:12","modified_gmt":"2026-01-31T21:04:12","slug":"imminent-us-attack-aims-for-iran-regime-change-tikun-olam-%d7%aa%d7%99%d7%a7%d7%95%d7%9f-%d7%a2%d7%95%d7%9c%d7%9d-%d8%a5%d8%b5%d9%84%d8%a7%d8%ad-%d8%a7%d9%84%d8%b9%d8%a7%d9%84%d9%85","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/267689\/","title":{"rendered":"Imminent US Attack Aims for Iran Regime Change \u2013 Tikun Olam \u05ea\u05d9\u05e7\u05d5\u05df \u05e2\u05d5\u05dc\u05dd \u0625\u0635\u0644\u0627\u062d \u0627\u0644\u0639\u0627\u0644\u0645"},"content":{"rendered":"

DONATE: Tikun Olam is the voice of resistance to Israeli genocide and Trump\u2019s war machine. It offers a skeptical view of Zionism and US Middle East policy, as you\u2019ll read below. Please support my work<\/a> (donate here) with a contribution.<\/p>\n

\"\"<\/a>A US attack on Iran is imminent<\/a>.\u00a0 But it promises to be on a far larger scale than the first, which was last June.\u00a0 Then, the US focused on the country\u2019s nuclear program and military assets.\u00a0 This attack will seek to annihilate the entire clerical regime: assassinate key leadership (including Ayatollah Khamenei), destroy government infrastructure (buildings and personnel), and most importantly eliminate the Revolutionary Guards as a coherent fighting force.\u00a0 Israel\u2019s Mossad spies inside Iran will undoubtedly play a key role as well.<\/p>\n

This campaign would have to be prolonged in order to achieve the wide-scale goal of total destruction, unlike the June assault which lasted twelve days and cost over $600-million. The new operation would last weeks, if not longer.\u00a0 The cost will be in the billions.<\/p>\n

The US seems confident in its ability to destroy Iran\u2019s military assets and diminish its capacity for retaliation against regional targets like Israel.\u00a0 It is likely relying on the dubious precedent of Iran\u2019s restrained response to the earlier attack.<\/p>\n

But a US effort to eliminate the Islamic Republic of Iran will elicit a far larger response. Even if our military has anticipated this and developed plans to counter it\u2013you cannot account for every eventuality.\u00a0 Even a single unforeseen vulnerability could be exploited to inflict major damage.<\/p>\n

\"pahlevi\"<\/a>Pahlevi is a creature of the US and Israel\u2013not Iran<\/p>\n

The post-attack plan, touted especially by Israel, appears to be installing Reza Pahlevi<\/a>, the son of the previous Shah overthrown in 1979, as the new ruler.\u00a0 His chief sponsors would be western powers.\u00a0 Iran would cease being an independent nation and become a satellite dominated by western influence.<\/p>\n

Despite claims that protesters in the past month have shouted pro-monarchist slogans<\/a>, Pahlevi has little support among the Iranian people.\u00a0 Any regime he heads would have to be imposed on the country and maintained by force.\u00a0 His platform advocating western-style secular democracy is sham, which he will have to jettison almost as soon as he assumes power.<\/p>\n

The hollow claims by Trump and virtually the entire US political class that Iranians deserve freedom, democracy, etc. this war will bring nothing but misery.\u00a0 Already suffering under a horrific burden of inflation, drought and critical shortages, they will suffer weeks of bombardment. Even after this stage ends, there is no guarantee that the next will relieve any of the suffering.<\/p>\n

In 2003, George Bush promised democracy in a post-Sadaam Iraq. He delivered chaos and civil war.\u00a0 Trump doesn\u2019t bother with such promises. He will deliver dictators and deals. And they (the people) will like it.<\/p>\n

\"pahlevi\"<\/a>Worshipping at the Israeli altar<\/p>\n

Even strongman leadership with a figure such as Pahlevi, will not create a coherent, fully functional state apparatus.\u00a0 Elements of the old regime will maintain networks of support and mount fierce internal resistance.\u00a0 Restive ethnic groups like the Kurds, Baloch, Azeri minorities, will demand wider rights and political autonomy.<\/p>\n

The new central government will likely resist such efforts, which would weaken the coherence of the nation.\u00a0 That could lead to multiple insurgencies throughout these regions, which would throw Iran into chaos, even civil war. In a country of 70-million, millions could die as a result.<\/p>\n

Trump appears not to have learned the lesson of post-Sadaam Iraq, during which the US de-Baathified<\/a> the country, eliminating its military and governing capabilities. The result was a years-long sectarian civil war in which 500,000 died. That eventually led to the rise of ISIS, which conquered wide swaths of the country. The US led campaign to eliminate\u00a0 ISIS cost tens of thousands more lives.<\/p>\n

The resulting strife from regime change likely would not be confined the Iran itself.\u00a0 The rivalrous groups would each have foreign sponsors promoting their interests. This might include not only individual countries like Turkey, Syria, Pakistan, and Afghanistan\u2013but forces within them allied to Iranian groups. That in turn could lead to destabilization of the entire region.<\/p>\n

Though this may not be the desired outcome of the Trump administration, the same cannot be said about Israel.\u00a0 In fact, it would welcome Iranian civil war, which would eliminate its chief regional rival.\u00a0\u00a0As I\u2019ve written here<\/a>, Israel\u2019s goal is to impose itself and its interests throughout the region.\u00a0 Besides outright military conflicts, one of its main tools is sabotage of internal social structures and promotion of sectarian conflict.\u00a0 It has done this in virtually all front-line states except those with authoritarian leaders (Egypt, Jordan) who collaborate with it.<\/p>\n

Its did so against the Assad regime by arming the al-Qaeda affiliate there and bombing military facilities.\u00a0 It continues to do so against the new regime ruled by Ahmed al-Sharaa, through its Druze allies.\u00a0 As part of this policy, it invaded southern Syria and occupies all the territory from the Golan to the outskirts of Damascus.\u00a0 It followed the same approach in Lebanon going as far back as the civil war beginning in 1975.\u00a0 It continued throughout the past 50 years, culminating in its decimation of Hezbollah and seemingly permanent occupation of southern Lebanon.<\/p>\n

Israel wants chaos. It wants bloodletting. It wants its rivals engaged in domestic conflict, even civil war.\u00a0 A weak enemy is one less to worry about.\u00a0 No doubt, Trump will care little what happens to Iran after the clerics are removed from power.\u00a0 If Israel tramples the sovereignty of Middle East nations and enforces a Pax\u00a0Israelica<\/a> (also known as Pax Hebraica<\/a>), the world will not have the will to oppose it.\u00a0 Such a new regional era in which one nation imposes its will on all the others will be a recipe for long-term instability. It will retard the development of the entire region.<\/p>\n

The world has seen hegemons come and go: Rome, Constantinople, Babylonia, Assyria, Sparta, Parthia, the US, Nazi Germany, Soviet Russia.\u00a0 They may last decades or even centuries.\u00a0 But when they fall (and they always do) they invariably wreak enormous suffering on themselves and their subjects.<\/p>\n

Israel may dominate the region for a generation or perhaps a century. But history is long and the life of a hegemon is short by comparison.\u00a0 When Israel\u2019s time comes, there will be no one to mourn its passing except its subjects, and no one to object to it.\u00a0\u00a0This cannot be an outcome that benefits anyone, certainly not Israel.\u00a0 Though unfortunately, that country is enthralled by its own power and has an advanced case of Judeo-triumphalism, with few contrarians offering a skeptical viewpoint. Hubris precedes a fall.<\/p>\n

Related<\/p>\n

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