{"id":354080,"date":"2026-03-23T16:56:10","date_gmt":"2026-03-23T16:56:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/354080\/"},"modified":"2026-03-23T16:56:10","modified_gmt":"2026-03-23T16:56:10","slug":"iran-conflict-prompts-questions-about-chinas-export-power-amid-fractured-supply-chains","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/354080\/","title":{"rendered":"Iran conflict prompts questions about China\u2019s export power amid fractured supply chains"},"content":{"rendered":"

As the Iran war fuels global fears of stagflation<\/a>, a debate is intensifying over whether the crisis poses an immediate risk to China\u2019s sources of external demand or a strategic opening for its exporters.<\/p>\n

Mirroring the supply chain upheavals of the pandemic era, the crisis has prompted new questions about whether China will be able to leverage its industrial base and supply-side resilience if a prolonged conflict further fractures global supply chains.<\/p>\n

\u201cChina\u2019s economy looks strong on the surface but is structurally fragile underneath,\u201d cautioned Alicia Garcia-Herrero, chief economist for the Asia-Pacific region at Natixis.<\/p>\n

\u201cIf the oil shock tips the global economy into a severe downturn, export orders collapse. Chinese factories slow. Jobs are lost \u2026 a global recession would hurt China as much as anyone, and possibly more in some areas.\u201d<\/p>\n

At a media briefing last week, the International Monetary Fund said that every 10 per cent increase in oil prices \u2013 if sustained through the year \u2013 could trigger a 40-basis-point rise in global headline inflation and a 0.1 to 0.2 per cent contraction in global output.<\/p>\n

Citing that estimate, Ding Shuang, chief economist for Greater China and North Asia at Standard Chartered, said a prolonged conflict would inevitably suppress demand for Chinese exports.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"As the Iran war fuels global fears of stagflation, a debate is intensifying over whether the crisis poses…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":354081,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[117005,171980,114,1657,1130,60396,29920,184,3472,85,19127,117780,46,1437,30592,6807,11471,40039,15624,45540,108014],"class_list":["post-354080","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-alicia-garcia-herrero","tag-bernard-chan","tag-business","tag-china","tag-covid-19","tag-ding-shuang","tag-economist-intelligence-unit","tag-economy","tag-exports","tag-il","tag-international-monetary-fund","tag-iran-war","tag-israel","tag-japan","tag-natixis","tag-oil-prices","tag-south-korea","tag-standard-chartered","tag-taiwan","tag-ukraine-war","tag-xu-tianchen"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354080","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=354080"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/354080\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/354081"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=354080"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=354080"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=354080"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}