{"id":369961,"date":"2026-04-01T20:23:18","date_gmt":"2026-04-01T20:23:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/369961\/"},"modified":"2026-04-01T20:23:18","modified_gmt":"2026-04-01T20:23:18","slug":"could-a-solar-storm-derail-the-artemis-ii-mission","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/369961\/","title":{"rendered":"Could a solar storm derail the Artemis II mission?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Every mission to deep space is fraught with danger. A hardware failure during launch, an equipment malfunction far from Earth, or a small space rock hitting the vehicle are all scenarios astronauts will train for. <\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/nasas-artemis-ii-mission-will-take-an-astronaut-crew-around-the-moon-a-space-policy-expert-describes-the-long-road-to-launch-274481\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">As humans set off<\/a> on the Artemis II mission, visiting the Moon for the first time in more than 50 years, one persistent threat they face is from solar radiation.<\/p>\n<p>Intense bursts of radiation from the Sun, known as <a href=\"https:\/\/www.undrr.org\/understanding-disaster-risk\/terminology\/hips\/et0104\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">solar particle events<\/a>, can endanger the lives of space travellers, particularly those venturing beyond low Earth orbit (LEO). During these events, high speed, charged particles stream out from the Sun and into space. <\/p>\n<p>Exposure to these particles could lead to radiation sickness or, in the worst cases, prove fatal. On space stations and other crewed vehicles travelling in LEO, astronauts are afforded a high degree of protection by the magnetic bubble surrounding Earth (the magnetosphere).<\/p>\n<p>But in interplanetary space, where Artemis II is headed, humans are much more exposed to outpourings of solar radiation.<\/p>\n<p>            Live coverage of the Artemis II mission from Nasa.<\/p>\n<p>The Sun\u2019s magnetic activity fluctuates on a cycle lasting roughly 11 years. During this cycle, sunspots (areas of reduced temperature caused by intense magnetic fields) can cause eruptions known as flares, as well as solar particle events. These rise and fall in frequency with the solar cycle. <\/p>\n<p>The current solar cycle reached its maximum, when the Sun is generally at its most active, in 2024 and is now <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swpc.noaa.gov\/products\/solar-cycle-progression\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">in a slowly declining phase<\/a> leading to the minimum, when the Sun is quietest. The current cycle should reach the minimum in 2031.<\/p>\n<p>Not all solar cycles are the same and the current one has been rather undistinguished in terms of activity, as was the previous cycle that reached maximum in 2014. Recently, however, the Sun woke from its slumber. <\/p>\n<p>            <a href=\"https:\/\/images.theconversation.com\/files\/727311\/original\/file-20260331-71-agd6wy.jpg?ixlib=rb-4.1.0&amp;q=45&amp;auto=format&amp;w=1000&amp;fit=clip\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\"><img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/file-20260331-71-agd6wy.jpg\" class=\"native-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p>              Solar activity (represented here by sunspot numbers) fluctuates on an 11-year cycle.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.swpc.noaa.gov\/products\/solar-cycle-progression\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Noaa<\/a><\/p>\n<p>On November 11 2025, a large solar particle event increased ground level radiation by about 145% for two hours, as measured by the University of Surrey\u2019s neutron monitor at the Met Office station at Lerwick, Shetland.<\/p>\n<p>This was also detected by University of Surrey <a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.surrey.ac.uk\/saira.php\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">SAIRA (Smart Atmospheric Ionising Radiation)<\/a> monitors installed on two transatlantic flights and on rapid response meteorological balloon flights at Lerwick, Cambourne and near Utrecht in the Netherlands. <\/p>\n<p>Work is in hand to unscramble this complex event to determine the radiation increases worldwide using the University of Surrey computer model <a href=\"https:\/\/spaceweather.surrey.ac.uk\/maire-s_about.php\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">MAIRE (Model for Atmospheric Ionising Radiation Effects)<\/a>. This calculates radiation levels at aviation altitudes for normal atmospheric conditions, as well as for enhanced radiation events caused by increased solar activity. <\/p>\n<p>Three immediate research papers are in production to describe the radiation monitors and their calibration, to summarise the flight data and to compare the data with available models. <\/p>\n<p>            <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/file-20260401-57-v5pfsa.jpg\" class=\"native-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>              The Earth\u2019s magnetosphere acts as a shield, protecting the planet from solar particles.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/earth.esa.int\/eogateway\/news\/satellites-expand-research-on-space-weather-and-sun-earth-interactions\/solar-activity-can-cause-havoc\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Esa<\/a><\/p>\n<p>A close call<\/p>\n<p>The solar particle event on November 11 2025 serves to tell us that, whatever the probabilities might be, the Sun can always take us by surprise.<\/p>\n<p>To underline the importance of such events for deep space missions, let\u2019s rewind the clock to 1972. At the time, the Sun was in a similar declining phase in its 11-year cycle as we are today. Then, between August 2 and August 11 1972, the Sun <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/space-radiation-the-apollo-crews-were-extremely-lucky-120339\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">unleashed one of the largest<\/a> solar particle events of the space age.<\/p>\n<p>            <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Apollo 16\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/file-20260331-69-isp1ye.jpg\" class=\"native-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>              A massive solar particle event occurred between the Apollo 16 (pictured) and Apollo 17 missions in 1972.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nasa.gov\/specials\/apollo50th\/missions.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nasa \/ Charles M. Duke Jr<\/a><\/p>\n<p>This gigantic release of charged particles from the Sun occurred in between the Apollo 16 (April 1972) and Apollo 17 (December 1972) missions to the Moon. <\/p>\n<p>This event was much bigger than the one in November 2025 \u2013 by a factor of 40. If it had taken place while astronauts were in space, the radiation dose could have caused severe illness or even death.<\/p>\n<p>The Apollo crews had a lucky escape. But the solar particle event made an impact on Earth. The ensuing geomagnetic storm is thought to have caused 4,000 US-laid mines <a href=\"https:\/\/www.atlasobscura.com\/articles\/solar-storm-sets-off-mines\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">to spontaneously detonate<\/a> in Hanoi harbour during the Vietnam war, causing confusion and alarm on both sides.<\/p>\n<p>            <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"Orion\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/file-20260331-71-mq2c85.jpg\" class=\"native-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>              Travelling to the Moon means astronauts are no longer protected by the Earth\u2019s magnetic bubble, or magnetosphere.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/plus.nasa.gov\/video\/why-the-moon\/\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nasa<\/a><\/p>\n<p>There are ways to prepare for similar events in future. The most dangerous aspect of this radiation is its high energy component, which can penetrate shielding on spacecraft. The Surrey Space Centre Space Environment &amp; Protection team are currently working on a detector, called the <a href=\"https:\/\/www.swsc-journal.org\/articles\/swsc\/full_html\/2025\/01\/swsc250005\/swsc250005.html\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">High Energy Proton instrument<\/a>, that definitively measures this high energy component of solar particle radiation. <\/p>\n<p>It does this through the light flashes emitted when the particles transit a transparent medium at velocities exceeding the speed of light. Astronauts often report seeing such flashes of light, even with their eyes closed, that can be caused by solar particles or high-energy cosmic rays passing through the retina or optic nerve.<\/p>\n<p>      Read more:<br \/>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/why-has-it-taken-so-long-to-return-to-the-moon-274640\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Why has it taken so long to return to the Moon?<\/a><\/p>\n<p>Advance warning<\/p>\n<p>The University of Surrey radiation detectors could now fly on <a href=\"https:\/\/www.esa.int\/Enabling_Support\/Space_Engineering_Technology\/Technology_CubeSats\/VMMO\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">a lunar orbiting mission<\/a> towards the end of the decade. On this mission, they will characterise the danger to lunar bases as well as to the Earth. Nasa is planning to spend US$20 billion (\u00a315 billion) on a base at the south pole of the Moon. A separate outpost is planned by China and Russia. <\/p>\n<p>Radiation warning systems can give astronauts the time they need to retreat to storm shelters within a base or spacecraft where increased and specially designed shielding is used.<\/p>\n<p>            <img decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" src=\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/file-20260401-57-lhh6qh.jpg\" class=\"native-lazy\" loading=\"lazy\"  \/><\/p>\n<p>              Engineers use storage lockers as a radiation shelter inside a mockup of Orion.<br \/>\n              <a class=\"source\" href=\"https:\/\/fr.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Fichier:Engineers_practice_building_a_radiation_shelter_inside_an_Orion_mockup.jpg\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Nasa<\/a><\/p>\n<p>If astronauts travelling in Orion \u2013 the spacecraft used on Artemis II \u2013 receive advance word of a solar storm, they are instructed to get into storage lockers in the floor of the spacecraft. This places the crew next to Orion\u2019s heat shield, making this area one of the most protected parts of the vehicle.<\/p>\n<p>Warning systems can also help on Earth. During periods of high solar radiation, controllers could instruct aircraft to fly at lower altitudes and latitudes \u2013 and in extreme cases remain grounded.<\/p>\n<p>Computing revolution<\/p>\n<p>One big difference between the Apollo and Artemis missions is in the rapid development of microelectronics since the 1960s and 70s. This has led to trillion-fold increases in computer memory density and thousand-fold improvements in speed. <\/p>\n<p>The Apollo computers were pioneering, but struggled to cope with the workload as Neil Armstrong and Edwin \u201cBuzz\u201d Aldrin descended to the lunar surface during the Apollo 11 mission in 1969. However, there is a downside to this as the technology packed into modern spacecraft is vulnerable to radiation. <\/p>\n<p>      Read more:<br \/>\n      <a href=\"https:\/\/theconversation.com\/heat-shield-safety-concerns-raise-stakes-for-nasas-artemis-ii-moon-mission-275853\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\" target=\"_blank\">Heat shield safety concerns raise stakes for Nasa\u2019s Artemis II Moon mission<\/a><\/p>\n<p>The charge depositions from individual particles often exceed the amount required to change the state of the computer memory bits. In some cases it could destroy the device. It is now arguable whether the greater hazard from solar particle events is to astronaut health or to the flight electronics aboard spacecraft.<\/p>\n<p>In 1972, the Apollo astronauts were very lucky. In this new age of exploration, when so many nations have designs on travel to deep space, we can\u2019t afford to leave astronaut safety to the whims of fortune.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Every mission to deep space is fraught with danger. A hardware failure during launch, an equipment malfunction far&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":369962,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[23],"tags":[85,46,141,145],"class_list":{"0":"post-369961","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-space","8":"tag-il","9":"tag-israel","10":"tag-science","11":"tag-space"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/369961","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=369961"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/369961\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/369962"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=369961"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=369961"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=369961"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}