{"id":373612,"date":"2026-04-03T21:32:08","date_gmt":"2026-04-03T21:32:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/373612\/"},"modified":"2026-04-03T21:32:08","modified_gmt":"2026-04-03T21:32:08","slug":"marchs-jobs-rally-conceals-weakness-in-labor-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/373612\/","title":{"rendered":"March\u2019s jobs rally conceals weakness in labor market"},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">We are so back?<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">After a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hr-brew.com\/stories\/2026\/03\/06\/february-job-losses-whiplash-employers\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">dour jobs report in February<\/a>, March delivered surprisingly strong gains for the US labor market, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics\u2019 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bls.gov\/news.release\/empsit.nr0.htm\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">latest employment situation report<\/a>. In fact, March\u2019s job growth marked the highest monthly gains so far for President Trump\u2019s second administration.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">However, looking beyond top-line payroll gains, something concerning is brewing within the economy, as people out of work gradually exit the labor market. That could be worrying for employers down the line, should job gains persist, one expert said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">Diving into the data. Employers added 178,000 jobs in March, beating <a href=\"https:\/\/www.reuters.com\/world\/us\/us-employment-growth-likely-rebounded-march-war-casting-shadow-over-labor-market-2026-04-03\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">economists\u2019 expectations of 60,000<\/a>. Healthcare, recovering from strikes earlier this winter, led in job growth by industry, adding 76,000 jobs. That was followed by construction, which added 26,00 jobs, and transportation and warehousing, which added 21,000.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">Additionally, the topline unemployment rate fell slightly from 4.4% to 4.3% in March. Looking at the topline job gains and unemployment may suggest \u201ca really good report,\u201d Nicole Bachaud, a labor economist at ZipRecruiter, told HR Brew. Looking under the hood, however, shows a different picture. \u201cWhen you look underneath at some of the underlying foundational numbers, it tells a quite different story.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">For people who have a job, the labor market has remained fairly stable. Layoffs have <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hr-brew.com\/stories\/2026\/03\/31\/february-job-demand-employers-pause\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">changed little month over month<\/a>, per the BLS\u2019s latest JOLTS data. The employment population ratio for prime working age individuals (ages 25 to 54) has also remained elevated at 80.7%.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">\u201cThese folks have barely been affected by labor market cooling\u2014low hiring, low firing keeps people who already have a job relatively secure,\u201d Guy Berger, a labor economist and senior fellow at the Burning Glass Institute, <a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/posts\/guyberger_bls-march-jobs-report-recap-1-this-was-share-7445825133543419904-Vv1T?utm_source=share&amp;utm_medium=member_desktop&amp;rcm=ACoAAB99vesB4f-zje72amb5_gDIp4mHGWHp9pY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">wrote on LinkedIn<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">People who are out of work, however, face a different reality. The number of people unemployed long term (approximated a little over six months or longer) declined slightly month over month, by 78,000 to 1.82 million. However, that cohort has grown by 322,000 over the past year, and now make up 25.4% of all unemployed people. The share of those unemployed long term may also be ticking down simply because people are opting to exit the labor market instead of attempting to keep looking for a job, Bachaud said.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">Relatedly, the share of people marginally attached to the labor force\u2014meaning they looked for a job sometime in the last year, but not in the four weeks prior to taking the BLS\u2019s survey and, therefore, are not counted as unemployed\u2014rose by 325,000 month over month to 1.9 million. And the share of discouraged workers\u2014a subset of the marginally attached labor force, but believe there are no jobs available for them\u2014rose by 144,000 month over month to 510,000.<\/p>\n<p>Quick-to-read HR news &amp; insights<\/p>\n<p class=\"inline-subscribe\">From recruiting and retention to company culture and the latest in HR tech, HR Brew delivers up-to-date industry news and tips to help HR pros stay nimble in today\u2019s fast-changing business environment.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">Moreover, with fewer foreign-born workers in the US due to the Trump administration\u2019s immigration crackdown, the labor force participation rate fell to 61.9%, the lowest it\u2019s been since late 2021, partly because native-born workers tend to have lower labor participation rates than foreign-born workers, Bachaud said. This will impact industries that depend on skilled immigrant workers, and where native-born workers are unable or unwilling to fill jobs, such as construction, manufacturing, and mining, she added.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">\u201cWe\u2019re really seeing the pool of available workers shrinking quite dramatically,\u201d Bachaud said. \u201cThis is going to create more challenges moving forward, as job growth does continue to increase, we\u2019re going to find ourselves in a much tighter labor market later on in 2026.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">Zoom out. With a reacceleration in job gains in January (when the economy added 160,000) and March, Bachaud expects that job growth could continue throughout 2026. However, with a shrinking labor pool, employers will have difficulty finding the skilled talent to fill open roles.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">Right now, TA professionals should focus on building talent pipelines, and training and skilling workers to fill vacant roles, Bachaud said. \u201cThose who prepare now for what that next phase of a tighter labor market looks like, that\u2019s who\u2019s going to become the winners and who\u2019s going to come out on top.\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">There\u2019s one problem, though: Employers want to recruit talent that <a href=\"https:\/\/www.hr-brew.com\/stories\/2026\/03\/31\/february-job-demand-employers-pause\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">already has the skills<\/a> they need. They don\u2019t want to invest in training new hires.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">\u201cCompanies want that right talent. Precision matters,\u201d Raj Namboothiry, SVP at Manpower US, previously told HR Brew. \u201cThere\u2019s less appetite for, \u2018Okay, we\u2019re going to train you.\u2019\u201d<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">But Bachaud warned that HR leaders who neglect to plan for future talent shortages will regret it, especially once the majority of boomers have retired, creating more labor shortages.<\/p>\n<p class=\"dist__StyledText-sc-5791265-8 bdIWsa\">\u201cAs this retirement class kind of gets closer and more things start to open up, I think businesses are maybe gonna wish they had focused more on developing the next set of talents, when that tightness becomes more of a challenge,\u201d she said.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"We are so back? After a dour jobs report in February, March delivered surprisingly strong gains for the&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":373613,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[3],"tags":[42,43,40,38,41,39],"class_list":{"0":"post-373612","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-headlines","8":"tag-headlines","9":"tag-news","10":"tag-top-news","11":"tag-top-stories","12":"tag-topnews","13":"tag-topstories"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/373612","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=373612"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/373612\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/373613"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=373612"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=373612"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=373612"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}