![\"Harry](\"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/Harry-Murphy-Cruise-1-150x150.jpg\")
<\/p>\nA prolonged Iran conflict isn\u2019t just a geopolitical crisis \u2013 it\u2019s a direct economic shock to Australian households, industries, and states. Our economists map the full cascade: from Strait of Hormuz closures to your fuel bill, mortgage stress, and local job market.<\/p>\n
Key Takeaways:
\u2013 Global Recession Mechanics\u00a0\u2013\u00a0Understand exactly how a sustained Iran war triggers a global growth collapse \u2013 and the inflation surge that comes with it.
\u2013 Australia\u2019s Exposure Map\u00a0\u2013\u00a0Why Australia cannot escape \u2013 the domestic capacity constraints that make us uniquely vulnerable to external price shocks.
\u2013 Fuel & Shipping Price Paths\u00a0\u2013\u00a0See how Strait of Hormuz disruption flows through energy and shipping costs directly into Australian consumer prices.
\u2013 Household Financial Stress\u00a0\u2013\u00a0How surging inflation and rising unemployment hit household spending \u2013 and which demographics face the sharpest squeeze.
\u2013 Industry-by-Industry Risk\u00a0\u2013\u00a0Fuel-reliant sectors face first-order shocks. We rank industries by exposure so you can identify where risk is most acute.
\u2013 State & Regional Impacts\u00a0\u2013\u00a0Not all states are equal. Industry concentration drives divergent regional outcomes \u2013 we map which states and households are hit hardest.<\/p>\n
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This webinar is being held on our new platform, ON24. If you do not receive your confirmation email, please check your junk and spam folders.<\/p>\n
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Harry Murphy Cruise is the Head of Economic Research and Global Trade at Oxford Economics Australia. He leads the Australian Macroeconomic Service and global trade initiatives, including TradePrism. Harry frequently provides insights to major media outlets, including CNBC, BBC, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal. His research primarily focuses on global trade and investment flows, with particular interest in the challenges and opportunities of economic decoupling.<\\\/p>\\n\\n\\n\\n<\/p>\n
Harry holds a master\\u2019s degree in international and development economics from the Australian National University and a bachelor\\u2019s degree in arts and commerce from Monash University. He is a PhD candidate at ANU, exploring the role of China\\u2019s diverse households and firms in the country\\u2019s economic transition.<\\\/p>\\n\\n\\n\\n<\/p>\n
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Harry was the Head of China and Australia Economics at Moody’s Analytics. He was previously responsible for Australian state and territory analysis at Deloitte Access Economics.<\\\/p>\\n\\n\\n\\n<\/p>\n
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Speakers <\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Harry Murphy Cruise<\/p>\n
Harry Murphy Cruise is the Head of Economic Research and Global Trade at Oxford Economics Australia. He leads the Australian Macroeconomic Service and global trade initiatives, including TradePrism. Harry frequently provides insights to major media outlets, including CNBC, BBC, Reuters, and the Wall Street Journal. His research primarily focuses on global trade and investment flows, with particular interest in the challenges and opportunities of economic decoupling.<\/p>\n
Harry holds a master\u2019s degree in international and development economics from the Australian National University and a bachelor\u2019s degree in arts and commerce from Monash University. He is a PhD candidate at ANU, exploring the role of China\u2019s diverse households and firms in the country\u2019s economic transition.<\/p>\n
Prior to joining Oxford Economics, Harry was the Head of China and Australia Economics at Moody\u2019s Analytics. He was previously responsible for Australian state and territory analysis at Deloitte Access Economics.<\/p>\n
Head of Economic Research and Global Trade<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"A prolonged Iran conflict isn\u2019t just a geopolitical crisis \u2013 it\u2019s a direct economic shock to Australian households,…\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":382396,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[114,85,46],"class_list":{"0":"post-382395","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"has-post-thumbnail","7":"category-business","8":"tag-business","9":"tag-il","10":"tag-israel"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/382395","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=382395"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/382395\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/382396"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=382395"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=382395"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=382395"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}