{"id":38438,"date":"2025-09-26T06:04:15","date_gmt":"2025-09-26T06:04:15","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/38438\/"},"modified":"2025-09-26T06:04:15","modified_gmt":"2025-09-26T06:04:15","slug":"bessent-halts-argentina-crisis-as-u-s-lifeline-upends-short-bets","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/38438\/","title":{"rendered":"Bessent halts Argentina crisis as U.S. lifeline upends short bets"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Speculators seeking to profit from the selloffs racing through Argentina\u2019s markets were stopped dead in their tracks by a powerful investor willing to take the opposite side of the trade: The US government.<\/p>\n<p>The strong show of support for President Javier Milei from US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent \u2014 first by pledging to use \u201call options,\u201d and then by announcing a plan to potentially provide a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-09-24\/bessent-says-us-negotiating-20-billion-swap-line-with-argentina\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-09-24\/bessent-says-us-negotiating-20-billion-swap-line-with-argentina\" class=\"sc-4f49155c-0 hLtviE\">$20 billion lifeline<\/a>\u00a0and buy Argentina\u2019s bonds \u2014 quickly halted a rout that was burning through the government\u2019s reserves as it fended off a run on its currency.<\/p>\n<p>Whether the money materializes or not, investors said the prospect alone will likely be enough to put a floor under Argentina\u2019s stocks, bonds and currencies ahead of key national elections late next month. That\u2019s because few, if any, are willing to stand behind a bearish bet that could get blown up by another US signal of support.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThat\u2019s an outsized package and coming from Scott Bessent \u2014 who understands markets \u2014 it should stabilize here,\u201d said Ray Zucaro, chief investment officer at RVX Asset Management LLC in Miami, who currently has a neutral view on Argentina\u2019s bonds. \u201cIt is hard to be short.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>data-srcyload <\/p>\n<p>The potential intervention \u2014 which traders likened to Bill Clinton\u2019s rescue of Mexico in the mid-1990s \u00a0\u2014 offers a rare break from the Trump administration\u2019s brand of economic nationalism, in this case to help a besieged ideological ally in a country whose financial crises have had little impact on the US.<\/p>\n<p>Milei, a libertarian economist who ushered in free-market shock therapy aimed at ending the crises that have shadowed the country for decades, had some success in taming runaway inflation. But a political scandal surrounding insiders in his administration and voter anger at some of his spending cuts handed him surprisingly large defeats in recent local elections, raising fears among investors that his reforms could stall if he suffers a setback in the national midterm vote on October 26.<\/p>\n<p>The result was a\u00a0<a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-09-19\/argentina-milei-defends-peso-to-last-dollar-as-devaluation-jitters-mount\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener nofollow\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-09-19\/argentina-milei-defends-peso-to-last-dollar-as-devaluation-jitters-mount\" class=\"sc-4f49155c-0 hLtviE\">sharp selloff<\/a>\u00a0that hit everything from dollar bonds to the peso and equities \u2014 and left the government burning through foreign-exchange reserves to prevent its currency from breaking its peg to the US dollar. Markets bounced back after Bessent\u2019s announcements on Monday and Wednesday eased worries that the election could plunge Argentina toward another crisis.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis is likely to limit losses in the event of a bad October,\u201d said Gorky Urquieta, co-head of Neuberger Berman\u2019s emerging markets debt team.<\/p>\n<p>The step has also bolstered confidence that Argentina will avoid an escalating run on the currency and have enough money to cover its upcoming obligations. The Milei administration is scheduled to make more than $4 billion in debt payments in January.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThe probability of default during Milei\u2019s term decreased significantly,\u201d said Matias Montes, head of strategy at London-based EMFI Securities.<\/p>\n<p>The Trump administration\u2019s potential use of the Treasury\u2019s Exchange Stabilization Fund \u2014 a reserve created to promote orderly foreign-exchange markets \u2014 sends a strong signal that it is willing to use US power to support Milei, who Bessent characterized as \u201csystemically important US ally.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>By late Wednesday, the promise had driven the peso to a three-day rebound that left it at 1,337.50 pesos per dollar, the highest level in almost a month. Dollar bonds were up across the curve, almost erasing the losses seen after the government\u2019s defeat in the Buenos Aires vote on Sept. 7. The country\u2019s main stock exchange staged a three-day gain that pushed it up over 9%.<\/p>\n<p>Attention now turns to whether Milei can secure enough political support in October to press ahead with his policies, said Jeff Grills, head of US cross-asset and emerging-markets debt at Aegon Asset Management.\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>He said the government will likely need to revise its currency targets under the prior deal cut with the International Monetary Fund. But overall, he viewed the US help as positive. \u201cIt buys them time,\u201d he said.\n<\/p>\n<p>Fortune Global Forum returns Oct. 26\u201327, 2025 in Riyadh. CEOs and global leaders will gather for a dynamic, invitation-only event shaping the future of business. <a href=\"https:\/\/conferences.fortune.com\/event\/global-forum-2025\/summary?utm_source=fortunecom&amp;utm_medium=plealink\" target=\"_self\" aria-label=\"Go to https:\/\/conferences.fortune.com\/event\/global-forum-2025\/summary?utm_source=fortunecom&amp;utm_medium=plealink\" class=\"sc-4f49155c-0 hLtviE\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">Apply for an invitation.<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"Speculators seeking to profit from the selloffs racing through Argentina\u2019s markets were stopped dead in their tracks by&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":38439,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[9877,114,184,85,46,2635,20248],"class_list":["post-38438","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-argentina","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-il","tag-israel","tag-scott-bessent","tag-u-s-department-of-the-treasury"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38438","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=38438"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/38438\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/38439"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=38438"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=38438"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=38438"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}