{"id":391209,"date":"2026-04-14T08:20:13","date_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:20:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/391209\/"},"modified":"2026-04-14T08:20:13","modified_gmt":"2026-04-14T08:20:13","slug":"kenya-risks-losing-over-480-million-yearly-in-remittances-as-middle-east-war-hits-economy","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/391209\/","title":{"rendered":"Kenya risks losing over $480 million yearly in remittances as Middle East war hits economy"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>\n        An update report released by the Institute of Economic Affairs and reported by Eastleigh Voice warned that remittances from the Gulf could decline sharply if the conflict persists and Kenyan workers in the region are forced to return home or face unstable employment.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n         \u201cIn the case that remittance inflows collapsed, $40 million in monthly remittances from the Gulf would be at risk,\u201d the report said, equivalent to about $480 million annually.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        Remittances from the Gulf to Kenya rose to more than $4 billion by 2024, underscoring the region\u2019s importance to household incomes and foreign exchange inflows.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        In January 2026, the Central Bank of Kenya reported total remittances of $411.3 million, with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates among the largest Gulf sources.\n    <\/p>\n<p>                    <img width=\"790\" height=\"421\" alt=\"Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) Chief Executive Officer Kwame Owino. (Photo: Handout)\" title=\"Institute of Economic Affairs (IEA) Chief Executive Officer Kwame Owino. (Photo: Handout)\" class=\"image lazyloaded imgWithMetaData\" src=\"data:image\/svg+xml;charset=utf8,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D'http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg'%20width%3D'790'%20height%3D'421'%20data-ring-placeholder%3D'1'%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-original=\"https:\/\/ocdn.eu\/pulscms-transforms\/1\/ktIktkpTURBXy9mNDlhZGUxZDZmMDQ1YjZkY2VkOWFlZDk3YzczZDk4Ny5qcGeSlQMAAM0Fjs0C9ZUCzQMWzQGlwsM\" fetchpriority=\"low\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\"\/> <\/p>\n<p>        Business activity weakens as oil prices rise<\/p>\n<p>\n        Meanwhile, Kenya\u2019s private sector activity has already begun to deteriorate as the conflict pushes oil prices higher.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        The latest Purchasing Managers\u2019 Index from S&amp;P Global fell to 47.7 in March from 50.4 in February, marking the first contraction since August and <a href=\"https:\/\/businessday.ng\/world\/article\/middle-east-war-drags-kenyas-business-activity-to-eight-month-low\/#:~:text=Firms%20attributed%20the%20slowdown%20to,energy%20prices%20begin%20to%20bite.\" id=\"5ed23084-5363-4d7d-b9e8-67907db3aac0\" data-link-role-code=\"open_new_tab\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"nofollow noopener\">the weakest reading in eight months<\/a>.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        Survey data showed the first decline in new orders in seven months, prompting firms to scale back output as demand weakened.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        The PMI has now fallen for four consecutive months, signalling a broader slowdown in economic momentum.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        Higher oil prices linked to tensions around the Strait of Hormuz are feeding into transport, food and production costs in Kenya, a net fuel importer.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        Businesses reported rising input costs but limited ability to pass increases to consumers, reflecting fragile demand.\n    <\/p>\n<p>        Gulf investment exposure grows<\/p>\n<p>\n        Kenya has also signed expanded economic partnership agreements with the United Arab Emirates aimed at boosting trade, infrastructure and digital economy investment.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        Earlier financing from the region includes a $1.5 billion UAE loan and Saudi oil supply credit facilities used to stabilise Kenya\u2019s currency and support fuel imports.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        The country has also extended fuel supply deals with Gulf energy firms including Saudi Aramco, Emirates National Oil and Abu Dhabi National Oil, underscoring reliance on Gulf financing and energy trade.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        Despite this, officials in the Gulf are privately assessing whether the financial consequences of a prolonged conflict could prompt a review of overseas investment plans, the Financial Times reported, raising the risk of reduced capital flows to African economies.\n    <\/p>\n<p>\n        The Institute of Economic Affairs said a prolonged conflict could also pressure Kenya\u2019s foreign reserves as authorities draw down holdings to pay for more expensive imports, increasing the risk of broader macroeconomic strain.\n    <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"An update report released by the Institute of Economic Affairs and reported by Eastleigh Voice warned that remittances&hellip;\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":391210,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11],"tags":[114,184,85,46],"class_list":["post-391209","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-economy","tag-business","tag-economy","tag-il","tag-israel"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391209","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=391209"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/391209\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/391210"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=391209"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=391209"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.newsbeep.com\/il\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=391209"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}